Friday, June 28, 2019

Conservative Party analysis

I like the title:

How the Tories became a Brexit death cult in thrall to Boris Johnson

The article goes on to explain that it appears something like branch stacking (party stacking?) appears to be the explanation as to why the Conservative Party rank and file have decided that Brexit is worth anything:
Surveys can’t confirm whether this so-called Blukip phenomenon is as real as some of the self-styled victims of it, such as Anna Soubry, have alleged. But what they do seem to show is that well over a third of the current Conservative Party membership joined after the 2016 referendum, which some will take as at least circumstantial evidence and may explain why they care more about Brexit than their party’s long-term survival.

What they also show is that, while no deal wins the support of “only” 60 per cent of those members who had already joined the party by the 2015 election, that figure rises to 70 per cent for those who joined after the 2016 referendum, and to an astonishing 77 per cent of those who became Conservative Party members after the 2017 general election.

In short, attitudes on Europe have hardened among rank-and-file Tories; but part of that hardening is due to the fact that some of those with less strident views on the issue may have left the party only to be replaced by Brexiteer-ultras. That, of course, is democracy. But it’s also bloody good news for Boris Johnson – at least until he risks, as prime minister, having to disillusion and disappoint them.
 

5 comments:

Not Trampis said...

who would you vote for in the UK. The conservatives are obviously gone to gonzo and no-one in their right mind would vote for a party lead by Corbyn so I guess it is the LibDems

Steve said...

Well yeah: if the LibDems are a centrist party and on the right side of Brexit issue, why wouldn't I vote for them? Of course I don't follow British politics that closely, but I would be surprised if they have any really problematic policies.

GMB said...
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GMB said...
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GMB said...

You would really want some counter-arguments from the left to balance this anti-sovereignty anti-Brexit bigotry. Its not clear that Western Australia could defend itself separately. Or Scotland or Wales or Northern Ireland. But local sovereignty is both practical and a basic human right. And Great Britain is a major conventional and nuclear power. Great Britain can defend itself. Brexit isn't a pullout of NATO. Its just gaining back some local sovereignty from unrepresentative swill. So unless Steve is going for Brexit on a racist tribal basis, his position is unexplained and perhaps even unexplainable.

Here is a paleo pro-worker lefty who also favours Brexit.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iIZb1dCc8AA