Who am I to disagree with the betting markets and journalists who are already calling it for the Coalition?
The story seems to be that the national swing to (perhaps) 51/50 in favour of Labor is uneven and won't cut it for a Shorten win.
Yet still there seems considerable uncertainty as to what will happen to many seats with Greens and Xenophon playing a big role. Not sure how Barnaby Joyce is going, but WA seems to be on the nose for the Coalition. And we haven't even had the campaign launches yet. Don't they count for anything any more?
It seems to me that Bill Shorten, and most Labor ministers, have looked pretty good in their TV appearances. Scott Morrison has not. And Turnbull - well, not entirely sure. To be honest, I have been busy and not seeing that much on TV lately.
But for what its worth, to me the "optics" of the situation indicate we should still not be writing off a hung parliament as a possible outcome.