It’s understandable that parents with strong beliefs would feel it is their duty to see their children adopt those beliefs. But, however well-meaning these efforts are, they may be in vain. A study recently published in the British Journal of Political Science, based on data from the U.S. and U.K., found that parents who are insistent that their children adopt their political views inadvertently influence their children to abandon the belief once they become adults. The mechanism is perhaps surprising: Children who come from homes where politics is a frequent topic of discussion are more likely to talk about politics once they leave home, exposing them to new viewpoints—which they then adopt with surprising frequency.
The study, led by researcher Elias Dinas, also shows that these changes are especially likely to happen during the college years. Conservative culture warriors have warned for years that universities are outposts of liberal indoctrination—and the study seems to confirm at least some of that warning.
“Extreme parental views of the world give children a clear choice for being with the parents through agreement, or against parents through disagreement,” says Carl Pickhardt, an author and child psychologist. “Thus extremely rigid views of right/wrong, trust/distrust, love/hate can be embraced by children who want to stay connected to parents, and can be cast off by children who, for their own independence, are willing to place the parental relationship at risk.”
Friday, May 02, 2014
Attempted indoctrination fail
Interesting article at the Atlantic about how children who are brought up in very politically doctrinaire homes often rebel and adopt the opposite position as adults:
Another potential holiday destination to give a miss
Brunei introduces Islamic sharia penalties, including death by stoning for adultery
Not that I would be expecting to break the law if I went there, mind you. But no one should reward such a place with tourism.
Not that I would be expecting to break the law if I went there, mind you. But no one should reward such a place with tourism.
Competition isn't everything
Why the Audit Commission is wrong on its biggest call
Michael Pascoe's column on the Right wing's obsession with going back to the future regarding the Federal system in Australia sounds right to me. (And I say that as someone who grew up in Brisbane who can remember sewerage only being installed in the family home about 8 km from the city in the mid 1960's.) Here's the relevant section:
Michael Pascoe's column on the Right wing's obsession with going back to the future regarding the Federal system in Australia sounds right to me. (And I say that as someone who grew up in Brisbane who can remember sewerage only being installed in the family home about 8 km from the city in the mid 1960's.) Here's the relevant section:
The idea is that, if the states are given more responsibility and control of their own revenue and expenditure without federal interference, they will compete to offer the best services most
efficiently, thereby achieving improved outcomes at a lower cost. Market forces to the rescue and, praise the Lord, smaller Federal Government.
The real world is different. There are some practical problems for a start. Peter Hartcher reports that, according the report itself, the proposed reform of federation would increase overall government spending and the tax burden by $5 billion a year. Tasmanian and Bank of America Merrill Lynch chief economist, Saul Eslake, has explained that the poorest states with the lowest incomes would have to have the highest rates of tax to deliver comparable services. Neither are desirable outcomes.
Worse is the reality of what happens when our states compete: it tends to be a race to the bottom.
If you're ideologically driven by a dislike of taxes and government, Joh Bjelke-Petersen could well be your hero. He abolished death duties in Australia by dropping them in Queensland and boasting about running the lowest-taxing state. That may have been an incentive for a temporary rise in the number of people who thought Queensland was a good place to die, but the other states soon copied the move.
And while Queensland claimed the "lowest taxing" title, it also provided the worst or near-worst services, especially in education. Queenslanders ended up getting what they paid for - a backward state with a diminished long-term future - until other premiers brought it up
to the national speed....
This is not just an Australian phenomenon. The United States, spiritual home of the ideologically-driven right, is the model of competitive federalism. The result is a sadly divergent society suffering growing inequality – and that's before getting into the issue of rising education costs and debts. To be born in Mississippi means, on average, that you're a loser in the American lottery. Competitive federalism tends to keep the poor poor and the rich richer.
Putting the boot into the IPA
Propagandists masquerade as think tanks to push spurious science
What a good way to start the morning - some serious kicking of the Institute of Paid Advocacy (and to a lesser extent, the CIS).
What a good way to start the morning - some serious kicking of the Institute of Paid Advocacy (and to a lesser extent, the CIS).
Just your average ideologically driven Coalition wish list
Lateline - 01/05/2014: Audit Commission report
Like most other people, I'm sure, I had forgotten completely until I was watching Lateline last night that the incoming Howard government had a similar "Commission of Audit" back in 1996. Amusingly, many of the things recommended in that report have turned up again in this new one.
These reports can, to large extent, be ignored as being just a part of Coalition government tactics. Have a read of this part of the transcript from last night, and snigger away at how things haven't changed much over 20 years:
(1996)
BOB OFFICER, ARCHIVE: It's my pleasure to present this report.
TOM IGGULDEN: ...came not long after the last Coalition government was sworn in, the last Liberal treasurer took the same approach to the recommendations.
PETER COSTELLO, FORMER LIBERAL TREASURER, ARCHIVE: This is not a statement of government policy.
TOM IGGULDEN: The recommendations in 1996 were also broadly similar to today's...
(Excerpt from 1996 National Commission of Audit 1996)
VOICEOVER: A Medicare upfront payment for each visit to the doctor. The total replacement of university funding with scholarships, student fees and bequests. And a tougher approach to adjusting pensions.
TOM IGGULDEN: ...few were ultimately taken up...
(Excerpt from 1996 National Commission of Audit 1996)
VOICEOVER: Means testing nursing home care and the handing over to the states of key areas such as health and education.
TOM IGGULDEN: ...despite the warnings of a budget crisis to come, especially in health.
BOB OFFICER, ARCHIVE: That program is not sustainable in its current form.
Like most other people, I'm sure, I had forgotten completely until I was watching Lateline last night that the incoming Howard government had a similar "Commission of Audit" back in 1996. Amusingly, many of the things recommended in that report have turned up again in this new one.
These reports can, to large extent, be ignored as being just a part of Coalition government tactics. Have a read of this part of the transcript from last night, and snigger away at how things haven't changed much over 20 years:
(1996)
BOB OFFICER, ARCHIVE: It's my pleasure to present this report.
TOM IGGULDEN: ...came not long after the last Coalition government was sworn in, the last Liberal treasurer took the same approach to the recommendations.
PETER COSTELLO, FORMER LIBERAL TREASURER, ARCHIVE: This is not a statement of government policy.
TOM IGGULDEN: The recommendations in 1996 were also broadly similar to today's...
(Excerpt from 1996 National Commission of Audit 1996)
VOICEOVER: A Medicare upfront payment for each visit to the doctor. The total replacement of university funding with scholarships, student fees and bequests. And a tougher approach to adjusting pensions.
TOM IGGULDEN: ...few were ultimately taken up...
(Excerpt from 1996 National Commission of Audit 1996)
VOICEOVER: Means testing nursing home care and the handing over to the states of key areas such as health and education.
TOM IGGULDEN: ...despite the warnings of a budget crisis to come, especially in health.
BOB OFFICER, ARCHIVE: That program is not sustainable in its current form.
Thursday, May 01, 2014
Creepy stories
I've read of the "phone call from the dead" genre of (alleged) true life ghost stories before, but never found any examples particularly convincing. However the three listed in this post, (including one I missed recently in the Sydney Morning Herald!) give me the creeps, somewhat.
Complaining again about a show I won't watch? Hey, it's my blog...
I am no fan of the fantasy genre, so there was never much chance I would want to watch Game of Thrones. When I heard that it was relentlessly violent (especially with beheadings - I've always felt queasy contemplating those), had a fair bit of swearing, and was full of gratuitously explicit porn-like sex scenes, the chances of my watching it, ever, even if someone sent me a set of boxed DVDs, approached zero. Call me old fashioned (I do point out a conservative inclination in the title, you know) but the dark moral atmosphere which some fiction generates is a matter of concern to me, and I think it is problematic that it is not a matter of concern for so many people in Western society now.
Hence, it is with a sense of some schadenfreude that I read about the controversy that a recent rape scene had swept through the show's fans.
There seems to be a bit of a push back over the initial outrage many felt at a scene which involves (as I understand) the incredibly-dangerous-for-men-to-really-believe old trope of a rape that starts as a rape but is supposed to not be rape by the end.* It's not real life, complains the (routinely sweary herself) Helen Razer: stop talking about it. Oddly, she does acknowledge that the controversy was really kicked along by the director's attempt to justify the scene as not really being rape, yet she still thinks it is not worth talking about. And what's more, since Razer wrote her post, the actress involved has also made comments indicating that she agrees with the director. I really don't agree with Razor's argument that incredibly popular fiction that deals with rape in a highly dubious moral manner doesn't matter.
It has always seemed to me to be a "traditionally" Left wing thing to downplay the influence of fiction on real life, and hence not to care, or really think about, the message either consciously or subliminally conveyed by a story. These days, after much reading of a certain blog over the years, it seems to me that the libertarian right has adopted much the same attitude. Come to think of it, the cultural grandmother of much of what passes for libertarianism in the US, Ayn Rand, had a recurring thing about forced sex in her novels which makes most modern women feel queasy. George RR Martin, on the other hand, is a life long Democrat, supporting my initial claim.
In any event, I was happy enough with this post about the issue of depictions of rape in fiction by a male author and blogger unknown to me, and whose work I may not even like:
But his point becomes more general about the use of rape in fiction and in the show more generally:
Its not as if I suspect that the show is going to lead to incestuous rapes that would otherwise not have happened; but it does sound awfully like it is yet another modern, much praised show, in which main protagonists act very badly indeed, and yet they are played as engaging characters. And not just for 2 hours of moral bleakness in the cinema, but for scores of hours to dwell with them.
I don't see that as something to celebrate. If the rape scene has led to people dropping the show, that a happy consequence, I reckon.
Update: good to see a story in the New York Times that notes that many people are starting to make the same disgruntled observations about the use of rape in the show and books as outlined by Chuck Wendig above. I expect nothing much will be done, however, as long as people keep watching it in large numbers.
* I am reminded of the controversy a few decades back that Robert Heinlein, who got more and more eccentric in his fictional dealings with sexuality, faced when a female character in one of his books (if I remember it correctly) dealt with rape by deciding to get what enjoyment out of it she could, while simultaneously vowing to kill the rapist.
Hence, it is with a sense of some schadenfreude that I read about the controversy that a recent rape scene had swept through the show's fans.
There seems to be a bit of a push back over the initial outrage many felt at a scene which involves (as I understand) the incredibly-dangerous-for-men-to-really-believe old trope of a rape that starts as a rape but is supposed to not be rape by the end.* It's not real life, complains the (routinely sweary herself) Helen Razer: stop talking about it. Oddly, she does acknowledge that the controversy was really kicked along by the director's attempt to justify the scene as not really being rape, yet she still thinks it is not worth talking about. And what's more, since Razer wrote her post, the actress involved has also made comments indicating that she agrees with the director. I really don't agree with Razor's argument that incredibly popular fiction that deals with rape in a highly dubious moral manner doesn't matter.
It has always seemed to me to be a "traditionally" Left wing thing to downplay the influence of fiction on real life, and hence not to care, or really think about, the message either consciously or subliminally conveyed by a story. These days, after much reading of a certain blog over the years, it seems to me that the libertarian right has adopted much the same attitude. Come to think of it, the cultural grandmother of much of what passes for libertarianism in the US, Ayn Rand, had a recurring thing about forced sex in her novels which makes most modern women feel queasy. George RR Martin, on the other hand, is a life long Democrat, supporting my initial claim.
In any event, I was happy enough with this post about the issue of depictions of rape in fiction by a male author and blogger unknown to me, and whose work I may not even like:
The discussion then must be: well, why is this a problem? Rape exists in fiction. And it has to be allowed to exist in fiction. It’s a rough, tough, terrible topic, but to ignore it is all the more sickening — to sweep it under the rug and not shine a line in that dark space is basically to deny it in reality, as well. One of fiction’s chiefmost strengths is that it allows us to bring up these things and make us feel something about them — it’s addressing them, making us deal with it, and it’s being real about it.He then makes it clear that the main consequence he is concerned about is how women who have been victims of rape or sexual assault will feel when they watch the show. Well, that's a valid enough point, although I would have thought that (as he makes clear in a paragraph I quote below) as the show features an awful lot of rape, women who have a problem with that would probably have given up watching long ago.
That said, as storytellers, it’s vital to think about what we’re putting out there. There exists a mode of thought that says authors have zero social responsibility, and I’d argue that’s technically true in the same way that nobody anywhere has any social responsibility to anyone. We’re all basically just animals in a zoo, but what makes us human is thinking about the ramifications of our actions. And what makes us smart storytellers and capable authors is thinking about the ramifications of our stories. That doesn’t necessarily mean not putting scary stuff on the page (or on the screen). It just means being mindful of consequence.
But his point becomes more general about the use of rape in fiction and in the show more generally:
The problem, as I see it, with the rape scene in GoT, is many-fold.
First, it’s done in a world where rape is basically as common as horses. It’s referenced damn near every episode. Women are victims. Men are rapists. It’s practically becoming a thesis of the world. The worst thing done to women is rape. Rape, rape, rape. The show is getting rapey as shit. (More notable perhaps because the books aren’t quite so?) At this point, that’s drifting toward fetishistic and gratuitous — in part because it seems to revel in its statement.
Second, it’s more a trope than it is an actual thing. It’s lazy, cheap, short-shrifted. It’s code meant to again invoke that grayness of the characters — “Oh, look, even the most powerful can be laid low, and even those characters you like are basically pieces of shit.” The rapist-and-victim message, again. Really, we can’t do any better?
Third, it feels out of character and is a change from the book — a change that makes these characters worse and weaker than they have demonstrated in the past (at least, I’d argue).
Fourth, the rape was soft, weak, almost as ineluctable as gravity — the strong woman just sort of gives into it (and here you’ll want to discuss the was she really raped? question again but once more please be aware of the persistent lack of consent given) and makes rape look less like a violent act and more like a fact-of-life. (And it really is a fact-of-life in the GoT world, which is troubling in how it reinforces that “women = victims, men = rapists” vibe.)
The point I’m making is, if you’re going to deal with rape in your fiction, please give it weight and consequence. Do not let it drift toward being a lazy, cheap trope.
That sounds pretty reasonable to me, and one not based on what people will call my nanny-ish inclination to tell people to stop watching dark stories on TV or movies, or an excessively feminist viewpoint.
Its not as if I suspect that the show is going to lead to incestuous rapes that would otherwise not have happened; but it does sound awfully like it is yet another modern, much praised show, in which main protagonists act very badly indeed, and yet they are played as engaging characters. And not just for 2 hours of moral bleakness in the cinema, but for scores of hours to dwell with them.
I don't see that as something to celebrate. If the rape scene has led to people dropping the show, that a happy consequence, I reckon.
Update: good to see a story in the New York Times that notes that many people are starting to make the same disgruntled observations about the use of rape in the show and books as outlined by Chuck Wendig above. I expect nothing much will be done, however, as long as people keep watching it in large numbers.
* I am reminded of the controversy a few decades back that Robert Heinlein, who got more and more eccentric in his fictional dealings with sexuality, faced when a female character in one of his books (if I remember it correctly) dealt with rape by deciding to get what enjoyment out of it she could, while simultaneously vowing to kill the rapist.
My $3 clean skin shopping appears safe (and a fast food complaint)
Minimum alcohol price not in the public interest, says health agency | World news | theguardian.com
By the way, according to one calculation, Australia is the fourth most expensive country to live in. It would seem to me they are giving inadequate weighting to the cost of cheap wine.
But, by way of cost of living related complaint: I have become unhappy with McDonalds.
A price increase at my local one maybe 6 months ago seems to have made it significantly more expensive, and I have become really tired of the stuffing around with the menu. The higher quality items taken as a meal now are all over $10, even for the "small" version. The price differential between a small meal set and a medium one is tiny (about 50c?) which is typical of the obesity inducing pricing structure of fast food outlets generally, I guess.
The only "good" value there now is in the cruddy end of the menu - "burgers" which are only meat, bacon and sauce, for example.
Sure, they have introduced chicken salads which are better than they were before, but after their introductory lower price, their regular price just doesn't seem particularly good value.
And basically, they just keep moving menu items around too fast. The burger with beetroot, for example, will reappear for a mere 6 weeks (or so it seems) and disappear again. And some items appear once and never re-appear again. (My wife and I both liked a "mexican" burger on a corn bun with avocado some years ago - it has never come back to my knowledge.)
I admired the way the company re-branded itself a good few years ago now with the store upgrades to include the coffee shop sections, but with the main menu being mucked around the way it is, and the expense that now makes it hard to get away with an under $10 meal, it has lost its appeal.
I suspect I can't be the only person feeling this way. I would be curious to see how their profit is going.
By the way, according to one calculation, Australia is the fourth most expensive country to live in. It would seem to me they are giving inadequate weighting to the cost of cheap wine.
But, by way of cost of living related complaint: I have become unhappy with McDonalds.
A price increase at my local one maybe 6 months ago seems to have made it significantly more expensive, and I have become really tired of the stuffing around with the menu. The higher quality items taken as a meal now are all over $10, even for the "small" version. The price differential between a small meal set and a medium one is tiny (about 50c?) which is typical of the obesity inducing pricing structure of fast food outlets generally, I guess.
The only "good" value there now is in the cruddy end of the menu - "burgers" which are only meat, bacon and sauce, for example.
Sure, they have introduced chicken salads which are better than they were before, but after their introductory lower price, their regular price just doesn't seem particularly good value.
And basically, they just keep moving menu items around too fast. The burger with beetroot, for example, will reappear for a mere 6 weeks (or so it seems) and disappear again. And some items appear once and never re-appear again. (My wife and I both liked a "mexican" burger on a corn bun with avocado some years ago - it has never come back to my knowledge.)
I admired the way the company re-branded itself a good few years ago now with the store upgrades to include the coffee shop sections, but with the main menu being mucked around the way it is, and the expense that now makes it hard to get away with an under $10 meal, it has lost its appeal.
I suspect I can't be the only person feeling this way. I would be curious to see how their profit is going.
Serious pteropod effects already found (and how Conservative American pundits don't have a clue)
It was only recently that I referred to pteropods as the "canary in the coal mine" for ocean acidification.
Well, they have started to suffer already in one part of the world's ocean:
Goldberg has had to clarify that he was talking more about geoengineering - such as grinding up mountains of limestone and throwing into the ocean.
Of course, Goldberg has probably not read this recent paper which did not dismiss entirely the possibility of geoengineering, but noted:
Their conclusion:
Well, they have started to suffer already in one part of the world's ocean:
A NOAA-led research team has found the first evidence that acidity of continental shelf waters off the West Coast is dissolving the shells of tiny free-swimming marine snails, called pteropods, which provide food for pink salmon, mackerel and herring, according to a new paper published in Proceedings of the Royal Society BEven though these waters are naturally more acidic from local upwelling, it does not augur well for the future:
"We did not expect to see pteropods being affected to this extent in our coastal region for several decades," said William Peterson, Ph.D., an oceanographer at NOAA's Northwest Fisheries Science Center and one of the paper's co-authors. "This study will help us as we compare these results with future observations to analyze how the chemical and physical processes of ocean acidification are affecting marine organisms."While we're speaking ocean acidification, I was surprised to read recently that conservative commentator Jonah Goldberg had said Republicans should take some environmental issues more seriously, such as ocean acidification. Many people pointed out that you address both climate change and acidification the same way - by tough action to cut back on fossil fuels - but that is something about which he is not keen.
Richard Feely, senior scientist from NOAA's Pacific Marine Environmental Lab and co-author of the research article, said that more research is needed to study how corrosive waters may be affecting other species in the ecosystem. "We do know that organisms like oyster larvae and pteropods are affected by water enriched with CO2. The impacts on other species, such as other shellfish and larval or juvenile fish that have economic significance, are not yet fully understood."
Goldberg has had to clarify that he was talking more about geoengineering - such as grinding up mountains of limestone and throwing into the ocean.
Of course, Goldberg has probably not read this recent paper which did not dismiss entirely the possibility of geoengineering, but noted:
The use of ocean-based enhanced weathering [128] could more directly counter ocean acidification, increasing atmospheric CO2 drawdown through the addition to the ocean of either bicarbonate [129], carbonate minerals [130], calcium hydroxide [131] or combining the addition of liquid CO2 to the ocean with pulverized limestone [154]. All these approaches, however, involve the transport and processing of considerable bulk of materials, with associated energy costs, in order to achieve globally significant climate benefits. The land-based production of Ca(OH)2 would also require additional CO2 sequestration effort (to avoid additional CO2 release), while the various processes proposed for ‘liming the ocean’ could themselves cause large-scale ecosystem damage, by locally raising pH beyond organisms’ tolerance limits and/or decreasing light penetration, through precipitation effects.They also consider ocean fertilization and note its likely problems and limited prospect of large scale CO2 sequestration.
Their conclusion:
The potential for some CDR techniques would seem to warrant further consideration. Nevertheless, strong and rapid mitigation measures, to stabilize atmospheric CO2 at near-current levels, would provide the policy action most likely to limit ocean acidification and its associated impacts.The lesson: even when Republican pundits start trying to sound more open to environmentally friendly policies, they actually have no idea.
Floods increasing, at least in some places
Analysis of the recent rainfall and floods in England indicate that increased warming has increased flooding risk there somewhat. (A one in a 100 year flood down to one in 80 years, but that's only with .8 of a degree rise and likely at least another 1.2 degrees to go - if not more.)
As I have noted before, this attribution work is really difficult, and takes a lot of computer crunching, but I don't see much reason to doubt its conclusions.
The other caution in the article is this:
As I have noted before, this attribution work is really difficult, and takes a lot of computer crunching, but I don't see much reason to doubt its conclusions.
The other caution in the article is this:
Dr Schaller notes that the results must be understood in context, and are specific to the UK in winter. "It all depends on the region and season considered. Climate change might increase, decrease or have no effect at all on flood events," she told the BBC.
"Hirabayashi and co-workers, for example, showed that floods are expected to decrease with climate change in Central Europe. So our results are only valid for the southern UK and for winter months."
Wednesday, April 30, 2014
Sorcerers don't have human rights, apparently
In something approaching a whole metaphorical forest being in the eye of a critic, The Independent notes the hide of Saudi Arabia criticizing Norway for its human rights record.
Meanwhile, back in the desert country, sorcerers are beheaded, government internet critics are arrested, and a fierce argument continues over whether women should be allowed to drive.
Meanwhile, back in the desert country, sorcerers are beheaded, government internet critics are arrested, and a fierce argument continues over whether women should be allowed to drive.
Mini black holes under review
For those interested, here's a paper looking at mini black holes, noting that:
a. there is no evidence that they have been produced at the LHC thus far (mind you, its next run is - I think - at about double the previous energy);
b. searches for them from cosmic ray collisions in the atmosphere might have a better chance;
c. there are a lot of reasons why they might never be found - there are a lot of things not understood at that scale.
a. there is no evidence that they have been produced at the LHC thus far (mind you, its next run is - I think - at about double the previous energy);
b. searches for them from cosmic ray collisions in the atmosphere might have a better chance;
c. there are a lot of reasons why they might never be found - there are a lot of things not understood at that scale.
What I learnt from My Kitchen Rules
* Presumably, "deconstructed" (by which I mean "easier to make") versions of classic dishes are all the rage at high class restaurants (none of which I have been to for at least 12 months);
* Presumably, the other half of the menu at such restaurants comprises "confit" items;
* No one with a family would ever bother wasting an entire tin of olive oil on a confit dish, and who can be bothered standing there for 20 minutes with a thermometer anyway?;
* even snooty women with disturbing mouths that keep reminding you of the Joker (once this has been pointed out to you) are capable of reproduction;
* Ben Pobjie can be very, very funny
* Presumably, the other half of the menu at such restaurants comprises "confit" items;
* No one with a family would ever bother wasting an entire tin of olive oil on a confit dish, and who can be bothered standing there for 20 minutes with a thermometer anyway?;
* even snooty women with disturbing mouths that keep reminding you of the Joker (once this has been pointed out to you) are capable of reproduction;
* Ben Pobjie can be very, very funny
Mixed Spielberg news
I've been getting depressed waiting on Steven Spielberg to decide on his next movie project. It's been a long time since he was filming Lincoln.
Of course, I was rather underwhelmed to read that he has committed to making a live action version of Dahl's BFG, which I have never read but assume to be rather slight.
There has also been news that he may make a Cold War era film with Tom Hanks - that sounds a bit more promising, but I have grown fairly cool on Hanks, despite a pretty good turn he did as Captain Phillips.
Most promising of all, however, is that there is a script being developed by Tony Kushner for a recent book about the fascinating Egardo Mortara kidnapping case from Italy in the 1800's. Now that's potential meaty material for a good Spielberg film. I thought Kushner did a really good job on the Lincoln film, so here's hoping Spielberg takes this on.
As an aside, I don't really know what is coming up for the American summer movie season that is only weeks away. Now that I check a list - wow, there is really little to be excited about.
Of course, I was rather underwhelmed to read that he has committed to making a live action version of Dahl's BFG, which I have never read but assume to be rather slight.
There has also been news that he may make a Cold War era film with Tom Hanks - that sounds a bit more promising, but I have grown fairly cool on Hanks, despite a pretty good turn he did as Captain Phillips.
Most promising of all, however, is that there is a script being developed by Tony Kushner for a recent book about the fascinating Egardo Mortara kidnapping case from Italy in the 1800's. Now that's potential meaty material for a good Spielberg film. I thought Kushner did a really good job on the Lincoln film, so here's hoping Spielberg takes this on.
As an aside, I don't really know what is coming up for the American summer movie season that is only weeks away. Now that I check a list - wow, there is really little to be excited about.
Tuesday, April 29, 2014
Poor little rich country
BBC News - Has wealth made Qatar happy?
From the link:
From the link:
Local media report that 40% of Qatari marriages now end in divorce.
More than two-thirds of Qataris, adults and children, are obese.
Qataris benefit from free education, free healthcare, job
guarantees, grants for housing, even free water and electricity, but
abundance has created its own problems.
"It's bewildering for students to graduate and be faced with
20 job offers," one academic at an American university campus in Qatar
tells me. "People feel an overwhelming pressure to make the right
decision."
In a society where Qataris are outnumbered roughly seven-to-one by
expatriates, long-term residents speak of a growing frustration among
graduates that they are being fobbed off with sinecures while the most
satisfying jobs go to foreigners.
Hugh White on defence spending
Defence challenge: reconciling Australia's warfare shopping list with reality
I knew it was probably all pie in the sky - the Abbott promise to increase Defence spending up to 2% of GDP. Hugh White explains why:
I knew it was probably all pie in the sky - the Abbott promise to increase Defence spending up to 2% of GDP. Hugh White explains why:
Abbott has promised toincrease the defence budget, setting a target of 2 per cent of GDP by2024. That would be enough to cover all the current plans, but defence spending would have to grow at almost 5 per cent in real terms everyyear for a decade.I say we keep the Army at home for a change, and put the money into the submarine program.
This would be unprecedented in peacetime. For example it is much faster than when the Howard government grew defence spending from 2000-2007, when fiscal and economic conditions were much rosier and the ADF was heavily committed to the war on terror. One wonders whether the Abbott government is really willing for Defence spending to grow so fast when it is cutting so hard everywhere else.
If not, then big savings will have to be found. And though efficiency campaigns and personnel cuts can deliver small savings, big savings only come from cutting big investment projects.
That puts the spotlight on four big new capabilities planned for the next decade. They are the new submarines, a new class of warships, a new fleet of armoured fighting vehicles for Army, and the F-35s. Without massive defence budget increases, at least one of these
projects will need to be scrapped or drastically scaled back if the government is to produce a financially credible defence policy.
Getting both wetter and drier in India
Extremes in wet, dry spells increasing for South Asian monsoons
Ah, that old topic that climate change deniers can't get their brain around. Yes, climate can get both wetter and drier (that is, more extremes of both can happen.) It is apparently happening in parts of India, connected with the monsoon. Is climate change the cause? It's left as an open question, but you wouldn't be betting against a connection there.
Ah, that old topic that climate change deniers can't get their brain around. Yes, climate can get both wetter and drier (that is, more extremes of both can happen.) It is apparently happening in parts of India, connected with the monsoon. Is climate change the cause? It's left as an open question, but you wouldn't be betting against a connection there.
But I use a deodorant...
The scent of a man: Mice and rats stressed by male experimenters
A rather surprising finding - just the smell of male experimenters causes a stress reaction in mice and rats in labs.
A rather surprising finding - just the smell of male experimenters causes a stress reaction in mice and rats in labs.
Peter's list
I see that Peter Martin's list of hints as to what the Abbott could do regarding the Budget contains what I said in my post of a few weeks ago (keep the carbon tax, mining tax and raise the GST next election.) He also notes that leaving the current carbon scheme in place is estimated to save the Budget $6 billion over four years. That's pretty close to the money to be raised by the mooted "deficit levy", isn't it?
I don't understand enough about superannuation and its tax treatment to follow the continual suggestions made to reform it. It does seem there's significant room for movement there.
I don't understand enough about superannuation and its tax treatment to follow the continual suggestions made to reform it. It does seem there's significant room for movement there.
Red alert at the IPA
Even while I have my doubts that the "deficit levy" is necessary or wise (as a lead up to a serious proposal to expand GST somewhat, and review some tax benefits which need cutting, it may be a reasonable step, I guess), it amuses me greatly to imagine the panic button being hit at the IPA that their hoped for pet government is even considering a new tax.
Many phone calls are being made, I presume, although the attitude to the proposal by their major donors would be good to know. I mean, is reflexive opposition to all taxes written into the IPA's constitution, or does it depend on what their current major donor thinks?
The first IPA attempt at pushback appears at the AFR this morning, apparently. It's boring and predictable.
Postscript: why aren't any economics commentators making the point about the pain to the budget bottom line that abolishing the carbon tax and replacing it with Direct Action involves? I bet some people at least would prefer to have no levy and a carbon price.
Also - it is completely unpredictable what will happen with populist, but ignorant, crazy man Clive controlling the Senate. You never know - sometimes you end up with compromises that are better than the government's original deal - but I sure don't feel confident with Clive (and anyone who would follow him) in effective control the Senate.
The sooner the Palmer Party fractures, the better. Not that it will improve certainty in the short term, but it would make them unelectable next election.
Update: much amusement to be had watching the rending of clothes happening at Catallaxy threads like this one, too. Boys and girls, you conned yourselves into thinking the carbon pricing scheme and mining tax were ruining the country, despite no convincing evidence. You wanted a populist PM who would promise to remove them, forgetting perhaps that this was leaving a multi billion dollar hole in the coming budgets at a time a deficit needed to be addressed, hey? Your IPA inspired list of things the government should stop paying for is a just a dream people will not vote for - witness the 1.8% of the vote the party most committed to small government got in the WA election. So reap what you sow in terms of increased taxes from elsewhere, buddies.
Update 2: Ahah - here comes the media release, this time from Julie Novak arguing that:
It would simplify things greatly if the IPA would just release press releases saying "new taxes? - of course we always oppose them, for whatever reason strikes our fancy at the time."
Postscript: why aren't any economics commentators making the point about the pain to the budget bottom line that abolishing the carbon tax and replacing it with Direct Action involves? I bet some people at least would prefer to have no levy and a carbon price.
Also - it is completely unpredictable what will happen with populist, but ignorant, crazy man Clive controlling the Senate. You never know - sometimes you end up with compromises that are better than the government's original deal - but I sure don't feel confident with Clive (and anyone who would follow him) in effective control the Senate.
The sooner the Palmer Party fractures, the better. Not that it will improve certainty in the short term, but it would make them unelectable next election.
Update: much amusement to be had watching the rending of clothes happening at Catallaxy threads like this one, too. Boys and girls, you conned yourselves into thinking the carbon pricing scheme and mining tax were ruining the country, despite no convincing evidence. You wanted a populist PM who would promise to remove them, forgetting perhaps that this was leaving a multi billion dollar hole in the coming budgets at a time a deficit needed to be addressed, hey? Your IPA inspired list of things the government should stop paying for is a just a dream people will not vote for - witness the 1.8% of the vote the party most committed to small government got in the WA election. So reap what you sow in terms of increased taxes from elsewhere, buddies.
Update 2: Ahah - here comes the media release, this time from Julie Novak arguing that:
... the proposed deficit levy sends the signal the government wants to punish people who work hard to improve the living standards of themselves and their families....Ah, so it will hurt the "aspirational". Funnily enough, remember just a couple of weeks ago Julie was complaining about increasing the GST would disproportionately hurt the poor.
Those on higher incomes in the PAYG system already bear the brunt of the income tax burden, with more than 60% of net income tax paid by individuals earning over $80,000 each year.
It would simplify things greatly if the IPA would just release press releases saying "new taxes? - of course we always oppose them, for whatever reason strikes our fancy at the time."
Monday, April 28, 2014
It's all rather complicated..
Orthodox, celibate, gay and that's OK | David Benkof | Ops & Blogs | The Times of Israel
Gee. Via First Things, I found this long column by a gay, celibate Orthodox Jew all about how he disagrees with some opinion within Orthodox circles that celibacy is not really a reasonable option to expect of gay men.
The variety of opinion within Judaism appears quite vast, including within the Orthodox branch.
Here's a particularly unusual part of the column (with frum meaning traditionally observant, as explained near the start of the article):
Actually, it has also just occurred to me that the entire column doesn't mention masturbation, which seems a bit of an oversight if one is considering in nitty gritty detail what gay men can be (more or less) excused for doing. Are rabbis just too queasy about that topic? (Well, it's not as if there is much Christian discussion of that topic either - and it is probably fair to say that if want a religion where you'll find someone who'll excuse it for men, Islam is probably number one. Of course, some Islamic analysis even allows for temporary marriages for travelling husbands too, which is perhaps the most flexible religious attitude for men wanting sex "legitimately" that has ever been devised.)
Anyhow, it shows again the extensive reconsideration going on across many religions about how to view homosexuality.
Update: it has also occurred to me that this sort of topic used to be the favourite one of conservative but gay Catholic blogger John Heard at his Dreadnought blog. He always used to argue that Catholic insistence on celibacy for gay folk was not cruel. Googling him this morning, I see that he has changed his mind on legal gay civil marriage - he now supports it. As I say, changes are happening across the board.
Gee. Via First Things, I found this long column by a gay, celibate Orthodox Jew all about how he disagrees with some opinion within Orthodox circles that celibacy is not really a reasonable option to expect of gay men.
The variety of opinion within Judaism appears quite vast, including within the Orthodox branch.
Here's a particularly unusual part of the column (with frum meaning traditionally observant, as explained near the start of the article):
Catholic reasoning gets exceptionally detailed in terms of what straight sex can involve (people don't realise this, I am sure, because nearly all priests have given up as a lost cause any attempt to actually try to spell out the details. Given nearly all of the laity think Catholic teaching on contraception makes no sense, they have good reason not to discuss the other details of married sex.) But what Catholic reasoning tends not to get into is the preferable ways to sin sexually if you really have to. That's what makes these paragraphs sound odd.So what should a frum gay man who simply cannot achieve celibacy do? Actually, our tradition has addressed such questions. In the Gemara (Masechet Moed Katan 17a), Rabbi Il’ai states that if a man’s urges to see a prostitute overcome him, he should wear black, go to a place where he’s anonymous, and do what he must – so there’s no chilul Hashem (desecration of God’s name). That teaching shouldn’t be taken as a literal prescription for gay men looking for a legitimate sexual outlet. But it shows that the Torah doesn’t consider sexual behavior to be “all or nothing,” and that Jews should seek to attenuate sexual transgressions.Indeed, there are vastly more possibilities than the three choices many Orthodox gay men describe: promiscuity, partnered sex, and total celibacy. Every frum gay man should
seek rabbinic counsel before determining his approach to private behavior. But here’s an example of something for which a gay man might request a heter: hiring a professional, straight, non-erotic massage therapist in order to experience occasional male touch. It’s not ideal because it could lead to arousal, but it’s definitely better than actual sexual encounters – whether with a life partner or a stranger.Speaking of which, should a gay guy who feels he cannot remain celibate choose a private, exclusive bond with one man over occasional, discreet hookups with strangers? It probably depends on what “a private, exclusive bond” and “occasional, discreet hookups” mean. Such topics are precisely why Orthodox Jews go to their rabbis for
halachic advice.
Actually, it has also just occurred to me that the entire column doesn't mention masturbation, which seems a bit of an oversight if one is considering in nitty gritty detail what gay men can be (more or less) excused for doing. Are rabbis just too queasy about that topic? (Well, it's not as if there is much Christian discussion of that topic either - and it is probably fair to say that if want a religion where you'll find someone who'll excuse it for men, Islam is probably number one. Of course, some Islamic analysis even allows for temporary marriages for travelling husbands too, which is perhaps the most flexible religious attitude for men wanting sex "legitimately" that has ever been devised.)
Anyhow, it shows again the extensive reconsideration going on across many religions about how to view homosexuality.
Update: it has also occurred to me that this sort of topic used to be the favourite one of conservative but gay Catholic blogger John Heard at his Dreadnought blog. He always used to argue that Catholic insistence on celibacy for gay folk was not cruel. Googling him this morning, I see that he has changed his mind on legal gay civil marriage - he now supports it. As I say, changes are happening across the board.
Camille really knows how to praise alcohol
Camille Paglia has an opinion piece in Time arguing that the US drinking age of 21 needs to be dropped to 18, and in the course of the argument, makes many points I have when comparing drinking to marijuana:
Alcohol relaxes, facilitates interaction, inspires ideas and promotes humor and hilarity. Used in moderation, it is quickly flushed from the system, with excess punished by a hangover. But deadening pills, such as today’s massively overprescribed antidepressants, linger in body and brain and may have unrecognized long-term side effects. Those toxic chemicals, often manufactured by shadowy firms abroad, have been worrisomely present in a recent uptick of unexplained suicides and massacres. Half of the urban professional class in the U.S. seems doped on meds these days.Maybe she goes a bit over the top, but I generally agree. (Except with the decriminalising bit!)
As a libertarian, I support the decriminalization of marijuana, but there are many problems with pot. From my observation, pot may be great for jazz musicians and Beat poets, but it saps energy and willpower and can produce physiological feminization in men. Also, it is difficult to measure the potency of plant-derived substances like pot. With brand-name beer or liquor, however, purchased doses have exactly the same strength and purity from one continent to another, with no fear of contamination by dangerous street additives like PCP.
Exhilaration, ecstasy and communal vision are the gifts of Dionysus, god of wine. Alcohol’s enhancement of direct face-to-face dialogue is precisely what is needed by today’s technologically agile generation, magically interconnected yet strangely isolated by social media. Clumsy hardcore sexting has sadly supplanted simple hanging out over a beer at a buzzing dive. By undermining the art of conversation, the age-21 law has also had a disastrous effect on our arts and letters, with their increasing dullness and mediocrity. This tyrannical infantilizing of young Americans must stop!
Can't get enough Piketty
Piketty's "Capital," in a Lot Less than 696 Pages - Justin Fox - Harvard Business Review
I like this summary of the book. In particular, it makes the same point that this article in Slate did - Piketty's approach is refreshingly evidence driven. (Apparently.)
I like this summary of the book. In particular, it makes the same point that this article in Slate did - Piketty's approach is refreshingly evidence driven. (Apparently.)
So, being No 1 on the ticket wasn't why people voted LDP, hey?
I've been meaning to rub this in for a while.
The Liberal Democrat Party got a Senator (and one with a fairly high profile, as small party candidates go) in New South Wales when it got 9.5% of the vote.
Anyone inclined to argue that it was because people are warming to "small government" policies, and not because it ended up as effectively "first" on the ballot paper and had "Liberal" in its name never really had any credibility if one cared to look at the vote in the other States.
But given Leyonhjelm has had a fair bit of media exposure since his surprise win, how did the party fare in the Western Australian election? Here we go: 1.82% of the vote, just beating the Australian Christians at 1.54%.
I think we can safely say there is no inherent electoral fondness for this party in Australia.
The Liberal Democrat Party got a Senator (and one with a fairly high profile, as small party candidates go) in New South Wales when it got 9.5% of the vote.
Anyone inclined to argue that it was because people are warming to "small government" policies, and not because it ended up as effectively "first" on the ballot paper and had "Liberal" in its name never really had any credibility if one cared to look at the vote in the other States.
But given Leyonhjelm has had a fair bit of media exposure since his surprise win, how did the party fare in the Western Australian election? Here we go: 1.82% of the vote, just beating the Australian Christians at 1.54%.
I think we can safely say there is no inherent electoral fondness for this party in Australia.
Just plain nuts
A journalist/writer for Esquire was at the Bundy ranch noting what the nutters (including Bundy himself) were saying, even before he gave the world his negro analysis.
I see looking around the net that there is in fact an anti Hannity/Fox backlash who are upset at the way Bundy was dumped by the network. The right wing nut-o-sphere is going to be very active this week in attacking Fox (and even Glenn Beck, who never thought Bundy's cause was just in the first place.)
I see looking around the net that there is in fact an anti Hannity/Fox backlash who are upset at the way Bundy was dumped by the network. The right wing nut-o-sphere is going to be very active this week in attacking Fox (and even Glenn Beck, who never thought Bundy's cause was just in the first place.)
Changing attitudes in Japan
First lady Akie Abe joins gay parade in Shibuya | The Japan Times
I didn't know they had gay parades in Tokyo, but it seems surprising that the wife of the PM had attended.
My impression is that the Japanese sort of ignore homosexuality, rather than actively discriminate against it, but I could be wrong.
I didn't know they had gay parades in Tokyo, but it seems surprising that the wife of the PM had attended.
My impression is that the Japanese sort of ignore homosexuality, rather than actively discriminate against it, but I could be wrong.
While I'm praising the Weekly Standard...
...I will go on to note that they have an article arguing (with several points I had not heard before) against the "inevitable" movement towards marijuana legalisation in the US.
I would not mind betting that there is something of a push back against this policy in those States that do legalise it, perhaps within 3 to 5 years.
I would not mind betting that there is something of a push back against this policy in those States that do legalise it, perhaps within 3 to 5 years.
A Marx wannabe?
I've noted before that Henry Ergas physically reminds me of Groucho Marx. I think he's now trying to emulate him (unsuccessfully) in other ways, too. (If you imagine this dire piece of writing set to music, perhaps.)
Such is the standard of right wing economic analysis these days, eh?
Such is the standard of right wing economic analysis these days, eh?
The one right wing outlet that got it right
Uncivil Disobedience | The Weekly Standard
Several commentators are noting that The Weekly Standard called out Bundy and his supporters in very clear terms even before he made his "negro" commentary.
Some congratulations are in order for a small segment of the American Right, then.
Several commentators are noting that The Weekly Standard called out Bundy and his supporters in very clear terms even before he made his "negro" commentary.
Some congratulations are in order for a small segment of the American Right, then.
Inconsistency ignored
I suppose I can't complain too much, as I suspect that Australia can get by with a lot less than 72 of the JSFs. But I didn't realise that blustering defence minister David Johnston has not been questioned by any journalist about his change of heart:
Why, then, didn't the RAAF get a boost from the heroic Liberal Government working tirelessly to redress the legion funding injustices rendered unto Defence by Labor? Dating back to 2009, Defence Minister David Johnston made clear that he thought an order for 72 a copout, complaining on November 26 of that year that "The 2009 Defence White Paper had outlined the purchase of 100 Joint Strike Fighters but the Rudd government will now only commit to a maximum of 72, with the rest to be considered 'at a later date'."
Last year, Johnston was crystal clear in saying he thought a JSF order of less than 100 was a sign of incompetence, a broken promise, a number the Coalition supported. What's changed?
While talk is cheap - and fighter jets aren't - my takeaway from this is that a government of no surprises and no excuses surprised no observers by breaking a promise to sharply increase spending here, and didn't really offer an excuse. Seen through the prism of mooted pension and Medicare cuts, this might seem odd - but the Coalition relies on a quaint presumption that it's stronger on defence for little other reason than they say so.
Sunday, April 27, 2014
Annoying leftisms noted
I don't care much for Bill Maher, but at least I give him credit for openly admitting that politically correct Leftisms can be really annoying and over the top. His conclusion, though, is valid. Watch the video here.
And you might also want to watch him on the Bundy matter, from whom right wingers are now running with great speed.
And you might also want to watch him on the Bundy matter, from whom right wingers are now running with great speed.
Saturday, April 26, 2014
Saturday paper
Some weekends, the Saturday Sydney Morning Herald just seems to hit all the right notes.
I see that Mark Dapin has started writing for Good Weekend again. He's the sort of bloke with whom I think I would have little in the way of common topics to talk about over a beer, but I have always enjoyed his wry, self deprecating writing style. Take today's column, for example. I found it particularly interesting for the mention of the "I'm not really dead, it's all a mistake" dreams after his grandfather died, since I had many of them myself after my father died. As I think I have written before in this blog, they seem to be particularly relevant to how a certain resurrection story recently commemorated around the world may have been created; but then again, if lots of people have experienced parents dying young, as they often did back then, why wouldn't skeptics be saying "don't be daft, you've just had the generic grief dream that we've all had when Pop died." (I wonder if Mel Gibson knows how that translate that into Aramaic.)
One other writer who has started appearing regularly in Good Weekend is Benjamin Law. Look, when he's talking about himself he can come across as too gay-ly self absorbed, but he does win me over with his cheeriness and (again) a large dollop of self deprecation. He appears to enjoy good relations with his Asian family, despite his sexuality. Here are his comments today about the weird reluctance of the Australian hotel industry to embrace wi fi. He is, generally, I think, another good writer.
Speaking of self deprecation, Richard Glover reminds us (it's certainly not an original thought) that Australia loves a loser. But, like him, I think it an endearing part of the national identity rather than a problem.
As for straight journalism, David Wroe writes that one advantage of the JSF purchase is that it will boost local high tech manufacturing. This is a not insignificant point, given what's happened to the car industry:
Update: I forgot to add - Bob Ellis reviews Bob Carr's book (favourably, of course) but I can't find a link to it. I also was interested in this article about the author Stefan Zweig, who Wes Anderson said "inspired" (very loosely, apparently) The Grand Budapest Hotel.
I see that Mark Dapin has started writing for Good Weekend again. He's the sort of bloke with whom I think I would have little in the way of common topics to talk about over a beer, but I have always enjoyed his wry, self deprecating writing style. Take today's column, for example. I found it particularly interesting for the mention of the "I'm not really dead, it's all a mistake" dreams after his grandfather died, since I had many of them myself after my father died. As I think I have written before in this blog, they seem to be particularly relevant to how a certain resurrection story recently commemorated around the world may have been created; but then again, if lots of people have experienced parents dying young, as they often did back then, why wouldn't skeptics be saying "don't be daft, you've just had the generic grief dream that we've all had when Pop died." (I wonder if Mel Gibson knows how that translate that into Aramaic.)
One other writer who has started appearing regularly in Good Weekend is Benjamin Law. Look, when he's talking about himself he can come across as too gay-ly self absorbed, but he does win me over with his cheeriness and (again) a large dollop of self deprecation. He appears to enjoy good relations with his Asian family, despite his sexuality. Here are his comments today about the weird reluctance of the Australian hotel industry to embrace wi fi. He is, generally, I think, another good writer.
Speaking of self deprecation, Richard Glover reminds us (it's certainly not an original thought) that Australia loves a loser. But, like him, I think it an endearing part of the national identity rather than a problem.
As for straight journalism, David Wroe writes that one advantage of the JSF purchase is that it will boost local high tech manufacturing. This is a not insignificant point, given what's happened to the car industry:
Some $335 million in manufacturing work has already gone to Australian firms and it is hoped this will rise to $1.5 billion. All up, including servicing and support over coming decades, the government says business opportunity could reach $7.5 billion. It will not replace the car industry, but it is high-tech work and a green shoot in manufacturing.I don't know enough to say how few fighter jets one can realistically purchase to have a viable set up of local maintenance and training, but given we virtually never use fighters for anything resembling real warfare, my inclination would be to keep that number as low as possible. I suspect we could get by with many fewer than 72, though. In the 50's would be my guess.
But those opportunities depend on our buying a decent number of the fighters, also called the F-35 Lightning II, from the US. The original expectation was for 100 aircraft. The Abbott government's announcement this week takes Australia's commitment to 72 - and possibly up to 24 more when the current Super Hornet is ready for retirement from 2030 onward.
Update: I forgot to add - Bob Ellis reviews Bob Carr's book (favourably, of course) but I can't find a link to it. I also was interested in this article about the author Stefan Zweig, who Wes Anderson said "inspired" (very loosely, apparently) The Grand Budapest Hotel.
Friday, April 25, 2014
For Anzac Day
I noted here a couple of month ago how very, very impressed I was with the Australian War Memorial, after visiting it last Christmas for the first time in perhaps 25 years.
I hadn't looked at its presence on the 'net til today though. It looks like its loaded with good stuff. It is probably the only government website in existence that would be popular with all Australians of all political persuasions. (Well, not entirely sure about some Greens..)
Lets's look at a digitised official war diary at random...
Here's one talking about the return to Australia by No 16 Quota AIF in 1919. A pretty happy diary, given they were returning. I see that a heck of a lot of time in camp and on the ship was spent in organised sport: a good thing I wasn't there, then.
I also see that before they left England it was Anzac Day and there is reference to a march - I wouldn't have thought it was even recognised in 1919, but there you go. The diary entry notes:
They weren't allowed to get off at Port Said. The reason - naughty soldiers that were there before them:
They were allowed ashore at Colombo (just for the day, not overnight.) The next morning:
Anyway, just one glimpse of war time life from a random diary...
I hadn't looked at its presence on the 'net til today though. It looks like its loaded with good stuff. It is probably the only government website in existence that would be popular with all Australians of all political persuasions. (Well, not entirely sure about some Greens..)
Lets's look at a digitised official war diary at random...
Here's one talking about the return to Australia by No 16 Quota AIF in 1919. A pretty happy diary, given they were returning. I see that a heck of a lot of time in camp and on the ship was spent in organised sport: a good thing I wasn't there, then.
I also see that before they left England it was Anzac Day and there is reference to a march - I wouldn't have thought it was even recognised in 1919, but there you go. The diary entry notes:
"ANZAC DAY as far as possible observed as a holiday for all men remaining in camp."Apart from the relentless number of sporting competitions organised, there are many concerts mentioned, even a "fancy dress promenade and ball" on the ship which was pronounced to be one of the most successful events of the trip. I can't quite work out if women were involved, however. I think there is earlier mention of nursing sisters, but I don't think many, and one would imagine they would be kept far apart...
They weren't allowed to get off at Port Said. The reason - naughty soldiers that were there before them:
"I consider that the troops of the Wyreema should be punished by the fact of their larrikinism at Port Said being put before the Public in some tangible form such as the press pointing out the effect it had on all subsequent Australian troops being treated as social outcasts at the ports of call en route to Australia".The trip met some very hot weather after that - so much so that the ship's chef died of heatstroke and was buried at sea. Later, another person died of appendicitis.
They were allowed ashore at Colombo (just for the day, not overnight.) The next morning:
"A parade and roll call this morning disclosed the somewhat surprising fact that there were none missing"The actual arrival home is not described in much detail. One other odd thing - there is mention of men getting "inoculation anti-influenza". With what, I wonder?
Anyway, just one glimpse of war time life from a random diary...
Thursday, April 24, 2014
Background to Bundy
Bundy Ranch, vigilantism going mainstream: The idea that the Constitution is interpreted at the point of a gun isn’t new.
As the article says, the difference between the old constitutional vigilantism and the current version is support from the likes of Fox News and many in the Tea Party sympathetic Right wing blogosphere:
As the article says, the difference between the old constitutional vigilantism and the current version is support from the likes of Fox News and many in the Tea Party sympathetic Right wing blogosphere:
The protesters at Bundy Ranch voice the same rhetoric of constitutional vigilantism honed by the Klan, the Posse, and the militias. What has changed is that this philosophy is no longer limited to the radical fringe but has become a respectable position offered up by mainstream political figures like Nevada Sen. Dean Heller, who called the protesters “patriots,” and by a stream of Fox News commentators like Sean Hannity and Andrew Napolitano, who called Bundy a hero for standing up to federal abuse.
Emboldened by their apparent victory at Bundy Ranch, the new constitutional vigilantes are asking where they can take the fight next. Cliven Bundy declared it a victory for “We the People.” But that can only be true if we want the Constitution to mean whatever an armed mobStand proud, Rupert Murdoch. Your search for ratings and profit is making America a more dangerous place.
says it means.
Piketty responses
I haven't had time to read all of this, and will probably have a bit of trouble following some of the arguments, but Brad DeLong has an interesting looking summary of the reaction to Piketty, including the criticisms.
El Nino forecast update
I see that the BOM put out an update earlier this week, confirming that an El Nino is very likely, and could be confirmed by about July:
The likelihood of El Niño remains high, with all climate models surveyed by the Bureau now indicating El Niño is likely to occur in 2014. Six of the seven models suggest El Niño thresholds may be exceeded as early as July.
The Pacific Ocean has been warming along the equator over recent weeks, with continued warming in the central Pacific likely in coming months. Another burst of westerly winds is presently occurring in the western Pacific, and is likely to cause further warming of the sub-surface.
El Niño has an impact across much of the world, including below average rainfall in the western Pacific and Indonesian regions, and increased rainfall in the central and eastern Pacific. For Australia, El Niño is usually associated with below average rainfall, with about two thirds of El Niño events since 1900 resulting in major drought over large areas of Australia.
The amazing, poisonous hypocrisy of the current Right wing tribalism
This article at Slate ("Conservative Tribalism") gives an account of some of the issues in American which the Right used to support, but about which they have done an about face for no apparent reason other than Liberals (and Obama in particular) support them. (The biggest example - the health care reforms that were good enough for Romney when he was governor, but are now supposed to be socialist extremism - turns out to be only one of many examples.)
And for a bit of humour, the ridiculous hypocrisy of Fox News on the Bundy confrontation was skewered perfectly by Jon Stewart recently. You can watch it via Salon.
When will enough on the Right in America come back to common sense and send the Tea Party and their rich enablers packing?
And for a bit of humour, the ridiculous hypocrisy of Fox News on the Bundy confrontation was skewered perfectly by Jon Stewart recently. You can watch it via Salon.
When will enough on the Right in America come back to common sense and send the Tea Party and their rich enablers packing?
Tattoo push back
BBC News - The ways tattoos can get you into trouble
It's not just religious sensitivities or cultural values at play. In October 2012, the head of the Metropolitan Police in the UK forbade police officers and staff from getting visible tattoos because they "damaged the professional image" of the force. The US Army has also just released a new rulebook on tattoos.Excellent news.
In addition to banning extremist, indecent, sexist and racist tattoos,
soldiers are now prohibited from having tattoos on their head, face,
neck, wrists, hands and fingers. Sleeve tattoos are banned below the
elbow and knee, with the number of visible tattoos - which must be
smaller than the size of the wearer's hand - limited to four.
Cannabis and hearts
I didn't see this one coming:
Marijuana use may result in cardiovascular-related complications—even death—among young and middle-aged adults, according to a French study reported in the Journal of the American Heart Association....
Researchers note that marijuana use and any resulting health complications are likely underreported. There are 1.2 million regular users in France, and thus potentially a large amount of complications that are not detected by the French Addictovigilance System.
Wednesday, April 23, 2014
Economic guesswork (please see updates too)
Here are a couple of people with some apparent credentials in the field who think that the IPCC is doing a poor job at making accurate forecasts of the economic consequences of climate change. (They seem to think it is being too optimistic.)
Common sense suggests they are right.
But while I would not want there to be less research on the topic, I'll repeat my gripe that I find it pretty incredible that anyone thinks that economic forecasting that extends beyond about a 10 to 20 year horizon, and which is trying to take into account large uncertainties in terms of the potential for natural disasters of a scale not seen since industrialisation, has any real hope of being accurate.
The simple point is - we do not want to have to re-order the world to meet a potential for 2 to 5 degree average global temperature rise (and a global rearrangement of rainfall that would surely also be involved) if we don't really have to. Such an increase is self evidently going to be extremely disruptive (given that the difference between an ice age and a warm interglacial may be as little as 2.6 degrees), to countries both rich and poor, and the possible compounding effect of the types of natural disaster one upon the other are really impossible to foresee.
Economics should not be allowed to overrule common sense on this issue. There is plenty of reason to assume some unprecedented disasters in terms of humanitarian, cultural and economic life, so act to limit the potential now.
Update: for more detail on the confusing way economic analysis is used by the IPCC, you could do worse than read this post at Real Climate, and the comments following.
Update 2: I note from poking around The Conversation (and finding a comment by Eli Rabbett) that there is other academic support for my common sense skepticism about applying economics to climate change. Here is the abstract from a recent paper by Rosen and Guenther, which can be read in its entirety here:
Update 3: as noted in this article in The Conversation by a couple of Australians, the IPCC is right to note that emissions cuts are about ethics too. From the link:
Common sense suggests they are right.
But while I would not want there to be less research on the topic, I'll repeat my gripe that I find it pretty incredible that anyone thinks that economic forecasting that extends beyond about a 10 to 20 year horizon, and which is trying to take into account large uncertainties in terms of the potential for natural disasters of a scale not seen since industrialisation, has any real hope of being accurate.
The simple point is - we do not want to have to re-order the world to meet a potential for 2 to 5 degree average global temperature rise (and a global rearrangement of rainfall that would surely also be involved) if we don't really have to. Such an increase is self evidently going to be extremely disruptive (given that the difference between an ice age and a warm interglacial may be as little as 2.6 degrees), to countries both rich and poor, and the possible compounding effect of the types of natural disaster one upon the other are really impossible to foresee.
Economics should not be allowed to overrule common sense on this issue. There is plenty of reason to assume some unprecedented disasters in terms of humanitarian, cultural and economic life, so act to limit the potential now.
Update: for more detail on the confusing way economic analysis is used by the IPCC, you could do worse than read this post at Real Climate, and the comments following.
Update 2: I note from poking around The Conversation (and finding a comment by Eli Rabbett) that there is other academic support for my common sense skepticism about applying economics to climate change. Here is the abstract from a recent paper by Rosen and Guenther, which can be read in its entirety here:
Rarely do I find such detailed and complete vindication for a position I've espoused as a matter of common sense from people who actually know what they are talking about!The long-term economics of mitigating climate change over the long run has played a high profile role in the most important analyses of climate change in the last decade, namely the Stern Report and the IPCC's Fourth Assessment. However, the various kinds of uncertainties that affect these economic results raise serious questions about whether or not the net costs and benefits of mitigating climate change over periods as long as 50 to 100 years can be known to such a level of accuracy that they should be reported to policymakers and the public. This paper provides a detailed analysis of the derivation of these estimates of the long-term economic costs and benefits of mitigation. It particularly focuses on the role of technological change, especially for energy efficiency technologies, in making the net economic results of mitigating climate change unknowable over the long run.Because of these serious technical problems, policymakers should not base climate change mitigation policy on the estimated net economic impacts computed by integrated assessment models. Rather, mitigation policies must be forcefully implemented anyway given the actual physical climate change crisis, in spite of the many uncertainties involved in trying to predict the net economics of doing so.
Update 3: as noted in this article in The Conversation by a couple of Australians, the IPCC is right to note that emissions cuts are about ethics too. From the link:
Knowing the price of everything?
Judgements about value also come into the complex debate about future economic costs and damages from climate change.
All too often, analyses focus purely on the anticipated economic damage, using lower estimates as a rationale for less action on climate change. This is a simplistic view, as it misses three crucial points.
First, as humans we care about things that are not valued in economic markets. Most Australians care far more about the Great Barrier Reef than its (nevertheless impressive) tourism revenues would suggest. Most of us also care about species going extinct, on an emotional level quite separate from the environmental and health benefits of species diversity. Ignoring these concerns means ignoring many of the values that societies hold.
Second, climate effects will vary greatly across different regions and social groups, and this is usually not reflected in simple economic cost estimates. It is often the poor who are most at risk from climate change, and will find it harder to adapt or recover. If a citizen of an Australian beach suburb loses a A$2 million house, should this be counted as 200 times worse than a Vietnamese peasant losing their A$10,000 home?
Finally, and crucially, climate change is about risks. There is a risk – perhaps small, but we do not know how small – of catastrophic impacts. Should we ignore the risk of very bad outcomes for future generations, or should we give extra weight to them?
The IPCC’s report does not provide the answers, because the IPCC is not policy prescriptive. It aims to give decision-makers the latest reliable information, and a compass to navigate their way through decisions that should be based on deeper considerations than short-term economics or electoral tactics.
Rice issue
I didn't know that rice was a particularly problematic crop for picking up unwanted elements from the soil it's grown in.
Certainly sounds like excellent reason to always avoid Chinese grown rice, then...
Certainly sounds like excellent reason to always avoid Chinese grown rice, then...
Maurice does not have a clue
If ever there was proof needed that successful business men can be conned when it comes to science, Maurice Newman and his amazingly ignorant interview of last night provides it.
Basically, Newman seems to have read Ian Plimer's climate change denialism book and thinks it is the last word on climate science. And, of course, Tony Abbott gets business advice from this guy.
The story of climate change denialism in the future history books will be about how a large slab of ideologically motivated people were conned for decades by a handful of contrarians, not even all of them being scientists (Monckton, etc).
George Brandis' silly complaint that "mediaeval' tactics are being used against climate change skeptics was equally nonsensical.
I doubt I have seen a stupider Australian (Federal) government in my lifetime.
Update: the hard working Sou at Hotwhopper has a detailed take down of Newman's complete ignorance.
Basically, Newman seems to have read Ian Plimer's climate change denialism book and thinks it is the last word on climate science. And, of course, Tony Abbott gets business advice from this guy.
The story of climate change denialism in the future history books will be about how a large slab of ideologically motivated people were conned for decades by a handful of contrarians, not even all of them being scientists (Monckton, etc).
George Brandis' silly complaint that "mediaeval' tactics are being used against climate change skeptics was equally nonsensical.
I doubt I have seen a stupider Australian (Federal) government in my lifetime.
Update: the hard working Sou at Hotwhopper has a detailed take down of Newman's complete ignorance.
Lead and crime; and somehow, Hitler and poo, too...
A good BBC magazine article looking at the claim that removing environmental lead has caused an international drop in crime over the past several decades.
I wonder if anyone has looked at the lead intake of international criminal Hitler? Were his long standing illnesses consistent with lead poisoning? As the article says: "It causes kidney damage, inhibits body growth, causes abdominal pain, anaemia and can damage the nervous system." He definitely had digestive problems, and certainly a shot nervous system at least in the last few weeks.
I just Googled "Hitler lead poisoning" and the first couple of pages don't have hits about it. I doubt it would be true, but I am the first to make the suggestion?
Update: I have previously blogged here about Hitler's chronic flatulence. Just Googling now for articles on his health, I see this relatively recent post which is a fun read. It notes the flatulence:
My conclusion: we are lucky Hitler lived when he did and did not get a modern treatment that could have enhanced his health. But on the other hand, would Hitler been the crazy man he was if he didn't have a regular painful gut?
I can see a science fiction movie in this - time travellers who seek to change the course of history via a surreptitiously delivered fecal transplant on Hitler. (Of course, the highlight being the scene where some top Nazis investigate the noises coming from the bedroom, only to find a few men - our heroes from the future - attempting to insert the tube into the backside of an unconscious Adolf. Can anyone suggest an appropriate line of dialogue for that scene, after the initial stunned silence?)
[Update: regardless of whether anyone has ever considered whether lead was in any of the medicines or diet of Hitler, I think I can be confident that no one in the world has previously had the idea in the last paragraph. Isn't anyone going to give credit for originality? :) ]
I wonder if anyone has looked at the lead intake of international criminal Hitler? Were his long standing illnesses consistent with lead poisoning? As the article says: "It causes kidney damage, inhibits body growth, causes abdominal pain, anaemia and can damage the nervous system." He definitely had digestive problems, and certainly a shot nervous system at least in the last few weeks.
I just Googled "Hitler lead poisoning" and the first couple of pages don't have hits about it. I doubt it would be true, but I am the first to make the suggestion?
Update: I have previously blogged here about Hitler's chronic flatulence. Just Googling now for articles on his health, I see this relatively recent post which is a fun read. It notes the flatulence:
By the mid-1930s, Hitler was the ruler of Germany… and still farting like a horse.but also adds this bit of info about the crank Dr Morell's medicine:
Morell served on the board of Hageda, a pharmaceutical company that manufactured a strange mediation called Mutaflor, whose active ingredient was live bacteria cultured from the fecal matter of “a Bulgarian peasant of the most vigorous stock.”Well, isn't it an odd thing that these days, doctors may well have tried a "fecal transplant" on Hitler using the poo of a healthy Bulgarian peasant, and it might have worked! In fact, the Mutaflor idea was actually way ahead of its time, with just the delivery method being the problem.
Mutaflor was intended to treat digestive disorders- the theory being that digestive problems were caused when healthy bacteria, which lived in the intestinal tract and were essential to good digestion, were killed off or crowded out by unhealthy bacteria. Ingesting the cultured dung of a vigorous, clean-living Bulgarian peasant, the theory went, would reintroduce beneficial bacteria into an unhealthy digestive tract and restore proper function.
My conclusion: we are lucky Hitler lived when he did and did not get a modern treatment that could have enhanced his health. But on the other hand, would Hitler been the crazy man he was if he didn't have a regular painful gut?
I can see a science fiction movie in this - time travellers who seek to change the course of history via a surreptitiously delivered fecal transplant on Hitler. (Of course, the highlight being the scene where some top Nazis investigate the noises coming from the bedroom, only to find a few men - our heroes from the future - attempting to insert the tube into the backside of an unconscious Adolf. Can anyone suggest an appropriate line of dialogue for that scene, after the initial stunned silence?)
[Update: regardless of whether anyone has ever considered whether lead was in any of the medicines or diet of Hitler, I think I can be confident that no one in the world has previously had the idea in the last paragraph. Isn't anyone going to give credit for originality? :) ]
Either from the edge of the universe, or the microwave in the staff common room
Arecibo Observatory Detects Mysterious, Energetic Radio Burst – Phenomena
(I'm not serious about the microwave being the problem, but the way.)
I don't remember reading about these extremely brief bursts of radio waves (apparently) from the far flung corners of the universe before, so it's an interesting read. I see that one had been caught at Parkes radio telescope, too. Why didn't they tell me that when I was visiting there at Christmas?
(I'm not serious about the microwave being the problem, but the way.)
I don't remember reading about these extremely brief bursts of radio waves (apparently) from the far flung corners of the universe before, so it's an interesting read. I see that one had been caught at Parkes radio telescope, too. Why didn't they tell me that when I was visiting there at Christmas?
Tuesday, April 22, 2014
I would not have thought it possible
Teen stowaway survives flight from California to Hawaii in aircraft wheel well
Update: a BBC article notes that most people who try this die, but there have been more survivors (and some over quite long flights) than I expected.
Update: a BBC article notes that most people who try this die, but there have been more survivors (and some over quite long flights) than I expected.
Monday, April 21, 2014
Having a good run
John Quiggin has a string of particularly good posts at the moment. One on why he thinks small modular nuclear is going no where fast (you really have to wonder why, given vast experience with small nuclear reactors for ships and submarines); the end of manufacturing in Australia (wherein he notes what I questioned as soon as I read Gittin's column last week - do we really call food manufacturing "manufacturing"?); and finally, a post against the tribalist Right and its tu quoque argument.
All really good reading, with many intelligent comments following.
Update: By way of contrast, I wonder what I can learn from comments at that Right wing powerhouse of a blog, Catallaxy, today:
Update 2: More wisdom [sarc] from Catallaxy, this time from regular contributor Steven Kates, the Say's Law obsessive, from RMIT:
All really good reading, with many intelligent comments following.
Update: By way of contrast, I wonder what I can learn from comments at that Right wing powerhouse of a blog, Catallaxy, today:
Update 2: More wisdom [sarc] from Catallaxy, this time from regular contributor Steven Kates, the Say's Law obsessive, from RMIT:
No one is uninterested in “the environment” and everyone wants to preserve the planet whatever that might mean. But global warming is so inane and so lacking in evidence that it separates those who have common sense from some kind of herd of conformity.
Butterflies have furry necks and hairy legs
So, I'm playing with the new, still pretty cheap, digital camera my wife brought back. As I have said before, one of the best things about digital cameras is their ability to easily take macro - not to a professional standard, but to give good enough results for your average backyard photographer.
A butterfly just handily arrived as I was near the daisies:
This is from the version resized and sharpened on my computer.
I'll try uploading the unresized one to blogger and see what happens:
Not sure I can see much difference once Blogger has done its processing...
Anyway, here's a cropped shot from the unresized image (and added as "original size", even if it won't all fit in the column width. Not bad what you get with 16 megapixels:
A butterfly just handily arrived as I was near the daisies:
This is from the version resized and sharpened on my computer.
I'll try uploading the unresized one to blogger and see what happens:
Not sure I can see much difference once Blogger has done its processing...
Anyway, here's a cropped shot from the unresized image (and added as "original size", even if it won't all fit in the column width. Not bad what you get with 16 megapixels:
Blogworthy stories
* The BBC notes one of the weirdest national fads ever: Venezuelan women prepared to have silicone injected into their buttocks to make themselves more, er, attractive.
* The Atlantic runs yet another story looking at why (American) conservatives won't support climate change policies, and blaming it on "framing".
I'm getting sick of this type of analysis, as it increasingly seems it is an exercise in excusing sheer bloody mindedness in a political wing which is determined to ignore evidence and scientific analysis on a major issue affecting not just them but the entire planet. I mean, look at this chart from the article:
It is an indisputable fact that the scientific consensus has not changed over the decade of '02 to '12; the American (and Australian) right wing hostility to the issue is a factor of how their political culture has been played for the suckers that (a large part of them) are.
* Ross Douthat's initial take on Piketty is kind of interesting, even if not necessarily convincing. I would have thought that Catholics who follow long standing Catholic social teaching would actually welcome Piketty's cautionary analysis.
* In an essay from a Christian that probably contains a lot to annoy some atheists (hello, JS), the ABC's John Dickson makes one point which I think particularly rings true:
....the practice continues in spite of the ban. Up to 30% of women between 18 and 50 choose to have these injections, according to the Venezuelan Plastic Surgeons Association.Extraordinary.
Men also get injected to boost their pectoral muscles, though the numbers are lower.
The injections are made using a biopolymer silicone. The fact that this is injected freely into the body makes it more dangerous than implants, where silicone gel is contained within a shell.
The big attraction is that they are much cheaper than implants. An injection can cost as little as 2000 bolivares (£191, $318) and the whole procedure doesn't take more than 20 minutes.
But the risks are incredibly high.
"The silicone can migrate into other areas of the body, because it doesn't have any barriers. The body can also react immunologically against a foreign material, creating many problems," says Daniel Slobodianik, a cosmetic surgeon.
* The Atlantic runs yet another story looking at why (American) conservatives won't support climate change policies, and blaming it on "framing".
I'm getting sick of this type of analysis, as it increasingly seems it is an exercise in excusing sheer bloody mindedness in a political wing which is determined to ignore evidence and scientific analysis on a major issue affecting not just them but the entire planet. I mean, look at this chart from the article:
It is an indisputable fact that the scientific consensus has not changed over the decade of '02 to '12; the American (and Australian) right wing hostility to the issue is a factor of how their political culture has been played for the suckers that (a large part of them) are.
* Ross Douthat's initial take on Piketty is kind of interesting, even if not necessarily convincing. I would have thought that Catholics who follow long standing Catholic social teaching would actually welcome Piketty's cautionary analysis.
* In an essay from a Christian that probably contains a lot to annoy some atheists (hello, JS), the ABC's John Dickson makes one point which I think particularly rings true:
Tip #8. Persuasion involves three factors
Aristotle was the first to point out that persuasion occurs through three factors: intellectual (logos), psychological (pathos), and social or ethical (ethos). People rarely change their minds merely on account of objective evidence. They usually need to feel the personal relevance and impact of a claim, and they also must feel that the source of the claim - whether a scientist or a priest - is trustworthy.
Christians frequently admit that their convictions developed under the influence of all three elements. When sceptics, however, insist that their unbelief is based solely on 'evidence', they appear one-dimensional and lacking in self-awareness. They would do better to figure out how to incorporate their evidence within the broader context of its personal relevance and credibility. I think this is why Alain de Botton is a far more persuasive atheist (for thoughtful folk) than Richard Dawkins or Lawrence Kraus. It is also why churches attract more enquirers than the local sceptics club.Actually, now that I think about it, this analysis is also relevant to the earlier climate change issue, and suggests I shouldn't be so hostile to the "its all in the framing" argument. I would be if it weren't the case that those promoting the "framing" towards inaction is actually actively promoting disbelief in the objective evidence.
Sunday, April 20, 2014
Ugliness, and beauty, at Easter
So, on Friday night I was home alone, deciding what to watch, when the well reviewed Clint Eastwood movie "In the Line of Fire" started on free to air TV, and I half watched the opening sequence while trying to find a DVD.
Sure enough, within 10 minutes there's been a pistol clicked at someone's head, a hostage with a plastic bag over his head is roughed up, and Eastwood blasts away a couple of (I assume) bad guys at close range in the room in graphic detail as if it was another day in the office.
I thought it was just typical of this guy's shtick.
And in case you didn't know already: man, I just hate the guy's oeuvre - ugly, usually revenge themed, graphically violent and violence endorsing* junk, featuring an actor with a range from 0 to 1 if you're using a scale that goes to a hundred. (And in recent incarnations, usually with lots of swearing too.) As far as I am concerned, he's been a poisonous amoral stain on cinema, in fierce competition in my mind with Quentin Tarantino as to which modern film maker ranks highest in my contempt.
Obviously, I did not continue with that film, and found the DVD of the recent science fiction film Looper that I was looking for. (I bought it as an ex-rental for $2, as I was not completely confident that I would like it, but hey it got a very high rating on Rottentomatoes.)
Well, what a mistake that was.
I didn't mind the surprise element within the first few minutes when you see what "loopers" do - wait at the designated spot for a person being sent back from the future for immediate execution with a futuristic shotgun. (It's the speed with which it happens that sort of shocks, and this first one is not shown in graphic detail.)
But that was the last indication I had that I might enjoy the film.
The thing that kept coming into my mind was how intensely ugly this film is. Everything from Joseph Gordon-Levitt's face done up (with no success whatsoever, if you ask me) to look like a young Bruce Willis, the depressing future society portrayed (everyone packs a gun and uses it more or less casually, it seems, and drug addiction seems rampant - now that I think of it, it's probably pretty much how a libertarian led future would look), the entire stupid story set up, to the increasing level of violence as the movie progresses and continual profane dialogue.
Honestly, the whole scenario is pretty stupid and bizarre, and if I could make a guess, just seems to have been contrived to serve one idea pitched at some studio execs - a younger man has to fight the future version of himself. It has elements that I could see serve no real value at all (the bit about the future development of telekinesis in some people, for example.)
Now, I was so appalled by the bleak amorality of the entire exercise (not just the movie story, but the fact the movie was made at all) I could not really be bothered analysing the time travel contrivances for consistency. But others have (in fact, many reviewers noted that they doubted that it was logically consistent), but one reviewer did a particularly good job at complaining how it was nonsense, even by the loose standards one has to bring to this genre.
I have no idea at all why it got good critical reception, and the fact that so few critics reacted against its bleak and violent nature just shows what a boiled frog in the pot of declining values, so to speak, the collective body of professional cinema critics has become.
So what could redeem the weekend?
Well, I had another ex rental DVD I had been wanting to watch, and last night I did: Terrence Malick's The Tree of Life.
This is an intensely beautiful work that I cannot recommend highly enough.
Certainly it's not a movie with any normal narrative; it's more an impressionistic contemplation of Christian theodicy that imitates how human memory really is experienced in an extraordinary way.
It's almost hard to fathom how it was made - there are so many very short sequences you can't imagine it being scripted in any normal sense. (I should go looking for interview with Malick about this, but I suspect he might have shot a huge number of scenes and the movie was really created in the editing room.)
The overall thrill of the thing is how so many beautiful images are blended together in a very kinetic way. The camera is virtually never still; it swoops around but gracefully and never to jarring effect. It enhances the half dreamlike quality of memory that the film captures so perfectly. And I say that as someone who does not like the overuse of handheld camera in modern cinema, particularly action films.
Now, it is not at all clear what some sequences, particularly near the end, mean. You are left with the feeling that main characters have reached resolution, but exactly how or why is not at all clear. But hey, that is in a way one of the films features - I don't think there has ever been a movie more inviting for a re-viewing than this one.
And it is, in its way, a near perfect film for Easter (at least for those of a religious persuasion).
After Tree of Life finished, I remembered that SBS was showing Mel Gibson's Passion of the Christ. I have never seen it - there were too many reviewers complaining of the near pornographic nature of the violence to encourage me to see it. And indeed, as I turned to the channel, Jesus was on the cross, dying, and the soldier stabs his side with a spear and gets, not just blood and water flowing out as per scripture, but something like a brief fire hydrant effect.
It looked completely ludicrous, and hence I was at least satisfied that a 60 second viewing confirmed I should never bother with the film in its entirety. (I have never cared for Mel Gibson and his movies either - but he is no where near as far down on my list of Hollywood loathing as Eastwood.)
And finally, my family arrived back from their trip overseas today, safe and sound, and that's a thing of beauty in itself...
* Yes, I am aware of the plot of Gran Torino. My comment stands.
Sure enough, within 10 minutes there's been a pistol clicked at someone's head, a hostage with a plastic bag over his head is roughed up, and Eastwood blasts away a couple of (I assume) bad guys at close range in the room in graphic detail as if it was another day in the office.
I thought it was just typical of this guy's shtick.
And in case you didn't know already: man, I just hate the guy's oeuvre - ugly, usually revenge themed, graphically violent and violence endorsing* junk, featuring an actor with a range from 0 to 1 if you're using a scale that goes to a hundred. (And in recent incarnations, usually with lots of swearing too.) As far as I am concerned, he's been a poisonous amoral stain on cinema, in fierce competition in my mind with Quentin Tarantino as to which modern film maker ranks highest in my contempt.
Obviously, I did not continue with that film, and found the DVD of the recent science fiction film Looper that I was looking for. (I bought it as an ex-rental for $2, as I was not completely confident that I would like it, but hey it got a very high rating on Rottentomatoes.)
Well, what a mistake that was.
I didn't mind the surprise element within the first few minutes when you see what "loopers" do - wait at the designated spot for a person being sent back from the future for immediate execution with a futuristic shotgun. (It's the speed with which it happens that sort of shocks, and this first one is not shown in graphic detail.)
But that was the last indication I had that I might enjoy the film.
The thing that kept coming into my mind was how intensely ugly this film is. Everything from Joseph Gordon-Levitt's face done up (with no success whatsoever, if you ask me) to look like a young Bruce Willis, the depressing future society portrayed (everyone packs a gun and uses it more or less casually, it seems, and drug addiction seems rampant - now that I think of it, it's probably pretty much how a libertarian led future would look), the entire stupid story set up, to the increasing level of violence as the movie progresses and continual profane dialogue.
Honestly, the whole scenario is pretty stupid and bizarre, and if I could make a guess, just seems to have been contrived to serve one idea pitched at some studio execs - a younger man has to fight the future version of himself. It has elements that I could see serve no real value at all (the bit about the future development of telekinesis in some people, for example.)
Now, I was so appalled by the bleak amorality of the entire exercise (not just the movie story, but the fact the movie was made at all) I could not really be bothered analysing the time travel contrivances for consistency. But others have (in fact, many reviewers noted that they doubted that it was logically consistent), but one reviewer did a particularly good job at complaining how it was nonsense, even by the loose standards one has to bring to this genre.
I have no idea at all why it got good critical reception, and the fact that so few critics reacted against its bleak and violent nature just shows what a boiled frog in the pot of declining values, so to speak, the collective body of professional cinema critics has become.
So what could redeem the weekend?
Well, I had another ex rental DVD I had been wanting to watch, and last night I did: Terrence Malick's The Tree of Life.
This is an intensely beautiful work that I cannot recommend highly enough.
Certainly it's not a movie with any normal narrative; it's more an impressionistic contemplation of Christian theodicy that imitates how human memory really is experienced in an extraordinary way.
It's almost hard to fathom how it was made - there are so many very short sequences you can't imagine it being scripted in any normal sense. (I should go looking for interview with Malick about this, but I suspect he might have shot a huge number of scenes and the movie was really created in the editing room.)
The overall thrill of the thing is how so many beautiful images are blended together in a very kinetic way. The camera is virtually never still; it swoops around but gracefully and never to jarring effect. It enhances the half dreamlike quality of memory that the film captures so perfectly. And I say that as someone who does not like the overuse of handheld camera in modern cinema, particularly action films.
Now, it is not at all clear what some sequences, particularly near the end, mean. You are left with the feeling that main characters have reached resolution, but exactly how or why is not at all clear. But hey, that is in a way one of the films features - I don't think there has ever been a movie more inviting for a re-viewing than this one.
And it is, in its way, a near perfect film for Easter (at least for those of a religious persuasion).
After Tree of Life finished, I remembered that SBS was showing Mel Gibson's Passion of the Christ. I have never seen it - there were too many reviewers complaining of the near pornographic nature of the violence to encourage me to see it. And indeed, as I turned to the channel, Jesus was on the cross, dying, and the soldier stabs his side with a spear and gets, not just blood and water flowing out as per scripture, but something like a brief fire hydrant effect.
It looked completely ludicrous, and hence I was at least satisfied that a 60 second viewing confirmed I should never bother with the film in its entirety. (I have never cared for Mel Gibson and his movies either - but he is no where near as far down on my list of Hollywood loathing as Eastwood.)
And finally, my family arrived back from their trip overseas today, safe and sound, and that's a thing of beauty in itself...
* Yes, I am aware of the plot of Gran Torino. My comment stands.
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