Monday, April 20, 2009

Peter Kennedy has left the building

With a bit of TLC, priest's exile begins | The Australian

While I was down the coast, Peter Kennedy and his followers took the short walk down the road from Saint Mary's church to their new (temporary?) HQ at the Trades and Labor Council. Yes, it's like organised labor having it's very own church now. How cute.

Although Kennedy was looking all chipper on the TV news, I don't know that this reported comment should really give his congregation much encouragement:
"Our story, as it unfolds, will not change the church, nor will it change the world," Father Kennedy said. "But it is a political act which may give hope to those who feel excluded by the rules and regulations, the doctrines and dogmas, of the institutional church."
For a quite sarcastic take on events, have a read of this post at Coo-ee's Priory, (and this one) which note that Peter Kennedy may be over-estimating media interest in his private church now that the expected physical confrontation is (presumably) not going to happen:
"We are liberated now to speak out about the church. The media will come to us for our opinion from now on."
Yeah, we'll see how long that lasts.

Weekend away

We went down to the Gold Coast on the weekend, where I took this typical photo:



The weather was pretty good, and autumn (or spring) are the best times to be on the beach in South East Queensland: you don't have quite the same worry about frying your skin within 10 minutes, and once your feet get used to it, the water is warm.

It seems that the Gold Coast is suffering from the GFC to some degree: there were a few noticeable closed restaurants and such around. Price-wise, it's also probably a good time to be looking at buying a holiday unit there, as I suspect that is the type of real estate that investors are currently having to sell in a hurry. (Yes, have a look at this search at realestate.com to see what you can buy at Broadbeach for under $300,000. Someone send me $250,000 in Paypal and I'll let you stay in my apartment for 4 weeks a year in perpetuity!)

Hold this space

Missing me? No, I thought not. In any case, there's stuff to post about, but no time 'til tonight.

Saturday, April 18, 2009

Cheap real estate soon in Japan?

Japan birthrate fall world's No. 1 | The Japan Times Online
The productive population, or those aged 15 to 64, is expected to decline from 81.64 million in 2009 to 45.95 million in 2055.

Friday, April 17, 2009

A science fiction image

This video of a pair of lungs being kept "breathing" while awaiting transplant reminded me of one of Larry Niven's novels, "A Gift from Earth". More details of the point of the exercise are at Next Big Future.

Doesn't work for Madonna

Can We Reverse Aging By Changing How We Think?

Don't overlook refrigerators

Energy Secretary Steven Chu on Global Warming | Newsweek

Nothing terribly new in this interview with Steven Chu, except I hadn't heard of this before:
We now make refrigerators that are four times more energy-efficient than the refrigerators of 1975—for half the inflation-adjusted cost. The energy we save with these refrigerators is more than all of the wind and solar photovoltaic energy we produce in the United States today. Just refrigerators.
Chu claims a lot is achievable in energy efficient buildings:
..we haven't taken full advantage of the technologies that exist today. They haven't been integrated into making smarter buildings that can be 60, 80 percent more energy-efficient than existing buildings.
He says buildings use 40% of US energy. Sounds surprisingly high.

Hunger inspired post

My wife made very nice pizza last night, using the following:

bottle pizza sauce, pieces of fresh tomato, semi-dried capsicum, olives, anchovies, basil leaves, mozzarella, and (special ingredient) bits of old washed rind cheese well past its used by date.

Provided stinky cheese has not developed its own microbiological civilisation, small amounts of it on pizza are delicious.

[End of transmission to your subconscious.]

I wonder what my brain is up to now

Unconscious thought precedes conscious | Incognito | The Economist

Interesting article here on new research which suggests the brain solves problems by itself well before you are aware of it.

As the report notes, it's further extension of Libet's old research from the 1980's, that caused a philosophical stir at the time.

In some ways, I guess, the idea that the brain can work on a problem subconsciously is not uncomfortable. In fact, it's kind of handy to have a computer working in the background on an issue.

But on the other hand, the research does raise the issue of how much you really are "in control". Taken to an extreme, it encourages the idea that we are just automatons who simply live under the impression of having control. Hard to deal with the moral concept of responsibility for actions if that were true.

People had better still believe that there is still a bit of a mystery about consciousness, and that right action can be willed, otherwise the fate of humanity will be bleak indeed.

Everyone needs a hobby

Such as, sitting in a Japanese park dressed as a Nazi.

Forests not always so helpful

Dying trees may exacerbate climate change : Nature News

I have to reproduce a large part of this, because of Nature's silly way of putting stories under a paywall after a short time:

Forestry experts have again warned that climate change could transform forests from sinks to sources of carbon. The carbon storing capacity of global forests could be lost entirely if the earth heats up 2.5° Celsius above pre-industrial levels, according to a new report...

In a warmer world, subtropical and southern temperate forests such as those in the western United States, northern China, southern Europe, the Mediterranean and Australia will experience more intense and frequent droughts, increasing the incidence of fire and pests. This would lead to more carbon being released — a recent report in Science2 found that a 2005 drought in the Amazon basin released about 1.2 billion–1.6 billion tonnes of carbon (See 'Climate change crisis for rainforests').

The coniferous forests of Canada, Finland, Russia and Sweden that make up the boreal region are expected to experience more warming than forests in the equatorial zone. Although warmer temperatures could initially fuel a northward expansion of the forest, the short-term positive impacts would be cancelled out by damage from increased insect invasions, fires and storms.

The shift from sink to source is already happening. The mountain pine beetle has devastated the forests of western Canada. The outbreak currently covers 14 million hectares — roughly 3.5 times the size of Switzerland, says Allan Carroll, an insect ecologist with the Canadian Forest Service in Victoria, British Columbia. By 2020, the projected end of the outbreak, about 270 megatonnes of carbon will have been emitted to the atmosphere3. "That's the equivalent of five years of emissions from the entire transportation sector in Canada," says Carroll.

Noami and Hope

Naomi Klein on Obama and the rhetoric of hope | Comment is free | The Guardian

The somewhat nutty Naomi Klein writes a column that conservative Obama skeptics can take heart from.

A dubious honour

New Species Of Lichen Named After President Barack Obama

Lichen? How much pleasure does it give someone to be named after an inanimate bit of rock coating?

My competition of the day: what sort of newly discovered living creature should be named after Kevin Rudd?

Thursday, April 16, 2009

Good grief

Gulfnews: Lawmakers call for 'moral police' revamp

OK, I admit it, Gulf News has become my irresistible source of amusement. (I had to give the Times of India a break after the Mumbai terrorist attack.)

It is a very, very different world in the Gulf countries. Today, for example, it reports on how the Saudi religious police are getting some criticism:
Several members of the Shura Council have come down heavily on the high handedness meted out by the members of the Commission for Promotion of Virtue and Prevention of Vice or the religious police.

They noted that some Commission members are exercising excessive powers that are not in their jurisdiction and are interfering in the private affairs of individuals. They accused panel members of acts like getting into individuals' mobile phone data, reckless chasing, and inspecting women to check if they were using perfumes that "disturb others", cutting off their hairs or wearing improper dress.

Well, I wouldn't mind having a security force that can deal with overpowering aftershave that you tend to find some European men wear. But we can agree with this:

Dr Abdullah Bukhari, a member of the Shura, vehemently criticised the acts of some Commission members in storming public or private places and inspecting personal belongings.

"Their chasing of women or taking into custody of those found without a blood relative [Mahram] are not right," he reminded
But what does the good doctor, who sounds like a modernising sort of chap, then say the religious police should be doing?:
"They should concentrate mainly on busting the rackets of drugs, black magicians, sorcerers or the like rather than entangling in private affairs of individuals," he said.
Oh.

And further on the issue of child marriage, the situation is not good in Yemen:

The early marriage is a phenomenon in Yemen with respect to males and females, and it's widespread in both rural and urban areas, the report added.

Some 48 per cent of females under 15 years old get married early, and about 45 per cent of males and females get married when they are about 10 years, the report said.

Toy shops must love weddings there.

They are trying to change the law, but meeting religious objections:
A controversy has been going on in Yemen since February 11, 2009, when some Islamist MPs supported by some clerics refused as not Islamic the 17 years as the minimum age of marriage although it was voted for by the majority of the House of Representatives.
I suppose when the founder of your religion had a child bride himself, it does make for an issue.

Free for all

Gizmo's - Gizmo's Freeware Reviews | Gizmo's Freeware

The news isn't inspiring me for any post at the moment, so instead I'll just mention that I recently found the above handy website for finding just the right freeware for nearly any purpose.

It's well organised, covers all sorts of freeware (eg, open source and older versions of products that companies are now giving away for free), and reviews their features. Readers get to make their own comments and recommendations as well. (I know other sites allow for reader reviews, but this site just seems much better organised and has a more personal touch in its reviews.)

Very satisfying.

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

Tempting fate

Titanic cruise to mark anniversary of ship's fateful voyage - Telegraph

The Balmoral, operated by Fred Olsen Cruise Lines, whose parent company Harland and Wolff built the Titanic, has been chosen for the voyage.

It will carry 1,309 passengers - the same number that sailed on the fateful voyage - on the same route as the Titanic, leaving Southmapton in early April 2012 before docking at the Irish port of Cobh (formerly Queenstown), where the Titanic made its final call on April 11, 1912.

The cruise will continue to follow the route of the Titanic and, on April 14, it will arrive at the exact location the vessel sank some 100 years before, where there will be a special memorial ceremony between 11.40pm (when the ship hit the iceberg) and 2.20am on April 15 (when the ship sank).

Go on, admit it. You secretly would love to see some disaster happen on that cruise.

There's an up side? (And will teddy get a deportation order too?)

Gulfnews: Saudi Arabia to regulate marriages of young girls
Saudi Arabia plans to regulate the marriages of young girls, its justice minister was quoted as saying on Tuesday, after a court refused to nullify the marriage of an 8-year-old to a man 50 years her senior....

A court in the Saudi town of Onaiza upheld for the second time last week the marriage of the Saudi girl to a man who is about 50 years her senior, on condition he does not have sex with her until she reaches puberty...

The minister's comments suggested the practice of marrying off young girls would not be abolished. The regulations will seek to "preserve the rights, fending off blights to end the negative aspects of underage girls' marriage", he said.
In another Gulf News story of interest, being a child in the region can be pretty tough:
An 18-month-old baby has been declared an illegal resident by the Sharjah Naturalisation and Residency Department (SNRD) and has been given one week to leave the country after which she will get a one-year ban.

Nayana Sanjay Kumar was born in October 2007 at Al Qasimi hospital in Sharjah, but her parents, both Indians from Kerala, could not sponsor their new-born baby as their salary was not enough at the time.
The mother works legally as a nurse in a government hospital. Her labour is evidently welcome, just not a baby with rather distinctive eyebrows.

A worthy Bolt

Truth is beyond the Age’s imagination | Herald Sun Andrew Bolt Blog

Top marks to Andrew Bolt for his illustrated rebuttal of a profoundly ignorant Age editorial.

Condom talk

Yes, I'm late to the party in commenting on the Pope and Pell and their comments on condoms in Africa.

I'm finally prompted to do so by an article yesterday in The Age by a couple of Australian AIDS researchers who cited various studies that they say do not support the Pope's view.

Yet, they spend a lot of time in explaining the success of condoms in non-African countries, particularly those where the widespread use of prostitutes has been at the core of the problem. This is not exactly the same situation as in much of Africa. (You can read the Green article I cite below in support of that.) And besides which, if you could actually pin down Pell on the moral effect of a man visiting a prostitute using a condom, would he say that it compounds the sin, or would he allow that using one reduces the potential bad consequences and, if not a good thing, is at least morally neutral? (I admit he would probably be reluctant to answer, given that he doesn't want in any way to encourage people towards sexual immorality in the first place.)

There's the same missing-the-point in much of David Marr's spray in last weekend's Sydney Morning Herald. He talks of the success of condoms in reducing HIV in Australia - where it was always largely a problem in the gay community. Funny, but I have never noticed the Catholic bishops spending a lot of time teaching that gay men should not use condoms. Even for the heterosexual, I'm always a bit puzzled as to why people think that Catholics who are willing to sin sexually are still going to consider themselves bound by one related issue of Catholic teaching while in the act.

Anyway, the main point of this post is to point people who have not already read him to a Harvard AIDS researcher Edward Green. He wrote an opinion piece in the Washington Post entitled "The Pope may be right", but his views appear to have attracted no attention in the Australian media. Here's a key paragraph:
In 2003, Norman Hearst and Sanny Chen of the University of California conducted a condom effectiveness study for the United Nations' AIDS program and found no evidence of condoms working as a primary HIV-prevention measure in Africa. UNAIDS quietly disowned the study. (The authors eventually managed to publish their findings in the quarterly Studies in Family Planning.) Since then, major articles in other peer-reviewed journals such as the Lancet, Science and BMJ have confirmed that condoms have not worked as a primary intervention in the population-wide epidemics of Africa. In a 2008 article in Science called "Reassessing HIV Prevention" 10 AIDS experts concluded that "consistent condom use has not reached a sufficiently high level, even after many years of widespread and often aggressive promotion, to produce a measurable slowing of new infections in the generalized epidemics of Sub-Saharan Africa."
And why does he think it hasn't worked well in Africa as it has in other countries:

One reason is "risk compensation." That is, when people think they're made safe by using condoms at least some of the time, they actually engage in riskier sex.

So, the Pope and Pell have at least one high profile HIV researcher pretty much on their side. People should at least know that.

When I pointed this out at Harry Clarke's blog, he responded by suggesting that Green was just pushing his Catholic faith. I don't know if he is a practising Catholic or not, but he describes himself as a liberal, and certainly he is not saying condoms should be banned:
Don't misunderstand me; I am not anti-condom. All people should have full access to condoms, and condoms should always be a backup strategy for those who will not or cannot remain in a mutually faithful relationship. This was a key point in a 2004 "consensus statement" published and endorsed by some 150 global AIDS experts, including representatives the United Nations, World Health Organization and World Bank. These experts also affirmed that for sexually active adults, the first priority should be to promote mutual fidelity. Moreover, liberals and conservatives agree that condoms cannot address challenges that remain critical in Africa such as cross-generational sex, gender inequality and an end to domestic violence, rape and sexual coercion.
Here's an interview Green gave to the BBC recently. There you can read this snippet which more directly supports the Pell line on risk compensation in Africa:
There was one where--Norman Hurst of the University of California was one of the authors, it was published in the journal Aids--where they followed two groups of young people in Uganda, and the group that had the intensive condom promotion--and they were provided condoms after three years--they actually were found to have a greater number of sex partners. So that cancels out the risk reduction that the technology of condoms ought to provide. That's the phenomenon known as risk compensation.
Interestingly, in The Age article I initially referred to, they cited the decrease in use of prostitutes in Thailand (where condom use in brothels is very high) as evidence against the risk compensation theory. That may be true in Thailand, but it raises another issue: how much can you say that it is the widespread use of condoms that is the reason for the reduction in HIV spread there, as compared to the pretty dramatic drop in the use of prostitutes in the first place? Seems to me they just want to concentrate on the condom effect, without giving credit to decreased promiscuity.

Here is a long article of Green's that appeared last year in the religious journal First Things. Well worth reading. He disputes the re-interpretation of the Ugandan experience that The Age article notes.

It seems pretty clear that the matter of appropriate responses to HIV in Africa is the subject of some controversy within academia. It's even clear that there is at least some evidence supporting the idea of risk compensation in Africa. The Pope and Pell are not completely out on a limb here when they talk about the African experience, not that you would know that from most of the media coverage.

UPDATE: I just found this commentary at Eureka Street, arguing again that the context of the African experience of AIDS is important:

In contrast to the Western world, religious congregations and parishes were extensively involved from the beginning in caring for infected and rejected women and children. The local Catholic sisters, priests and many bishops generally recognised the dilemma and some have spoken against an absolute interdiction of condoms.

But they also recognise that the instrumental and value free programs imported from the West were less effective in Africa. The spread of AIDS had cultural roots that also needed to be addressed. A view of marriage in which the woman was more than an object, the eradication of magical views of the causes and protections against AIDS, and a culture of mutual respect and of faithfulness within marriage, were required if AIDS was to be checked. These touched the consideration of human sexuality enshrined in church teaching.

The whole article is worth reading.

UPDATE 2: another interesting take on all of this is at The Alligator.

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

"Just plain nuts"*

Mind Hacks: The chaos of R.D. Laing

Maybe I take a little too much pleasure from stories of the chaotic private lives of the famous; but this is a very good example of a physician who failed to heal himself.

He's been dead for some time now, but RD Laing was the 1960's era psychiatrist/author who promoted the idea that a mental illness was largely was a reaction to family dynamics. As Wikipedia says, Laing's views:
"...ran counter to the psychiatric orthodoxy of the day by taking the expressed feelings of the individual patient or client as valid descriptions of lived experience rather than simply as symptoms of some separate or underlying disorder....

Laing argued that the strange behavior and seemingly confused speech of people undergoing a psychotic episode were ultimately understandable as an attempt to communicate worries and concerns, often in situations where this was not possible or not permitted. Laing stressed the role of society, and particularly the family, in the development of "madness" (his term). He argued that individuals can often be put in impossible situations, where they are unable to conform to the conflicting expectations of their peers, leading to a "lose-lose situation" and immense mental distress for the individuals concerned."
Unfortunately, encouraging a belief in a full blown schizophrenic that their madness really has been caused by their family, or society at large, is rarely a helpful approach. So he has rather fallen out of favour now, at least for serious cases of madness, but you can see how appealing he would be to 1960's counterculture.

Anyhow, it turns out that his own family life was pretty much a shambles. The above link has a short outline of the story, but the full details are were in the lengthier Sunday Times article last weekend. Here's the summary:
He abandoned his first five children and left them in penury. He went on to father five more children with three different women, had innumerable affairs, was subject to violent drunken rages and became obsessed with his own fame. Yet he treated patients with extraordinary compassion and empathy, qualities he denied his own family.
Of course, he could blame his own family:
...his mother was over-protective, cold, and viewed overt displays of affection, particularly with her husband, as distasteful. Ronnie would later claim his mother made effigies of him into which she stuck pins, but none of his children believed it. It was, however, certainly true that he was not allowed to bathe on his own until he was 15.
Wikipedia puts it this way:
His parents led a life of extreme denial, exhibiting bizarre behaviour. His father David, an electrical engineer, seems often to have come to blows with his own brother, and himself had a breakdown when Laing was a teenager. His mother Amelia was described as "still more psychologically peculiar". According to one friend and neighbour, "everyone in the street knew she was mad".[5]
Following his divorce, he was involved in this very 60's experiment, amusing described in the Times article:
The idea was that patients and doctors would live together, thus breaking down the barriers between them.

A “community house” was established at Kingsley Hall, a former youth hostel in east London. Sally Vincent was unimpressed. “It seemed to me that the psychiatrists outnumbered the patients, who were all female and uniformly good-looking. Ronnie would be pompousing about dressed in white robes looking like Jesus and I’d be asking him, ‘Why has that bloke got his hands all over that girl?’ The whole thing stank.”

The Times article gives examples of a lot worse behaviour as he aged.

The interesting point is, of course, that even if he could see the source of his inner demons in his unusual upbringing, why could he not use such knowledge to become a nicer person?

* famous Gary Larson cartoon may be viewed here.