Friday, February 05, 2010
How will this play out in Australia?
Interesting post here suggesting that Obama is going to abandon cap and trade for now (due to the impossibility of getting it through his Senate) and basically come up with a plan of incentives, just like Tony Abbott's plan.
How will this play out politically here? Abbott can claim that his plan is now like the US one. But, as the above article notes, every credible commentator believes that is a formula for achieving next to nothing.
It seems to me more and more likely that Rudd here should do a deal with the Greens that sets a low carbon price and leaves open future changes if ETS's do start taking off in enough other countries.
I suspect that if it was done quickly, it would deflect the "new tax" scare campaign of the Liberals by the time an election came around at the end of the year.
Being an average intellect is not so bad
I find it pretty laughable that in the last bit of this article they list creative people who have claimed to be bipolar, and include Stephen Fry and Sting. Great Britain much be running out of creative geniuses.
Good idea
...the head of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development's Australia desk, Claude Giorno, called on the Rudd government to apply more rigorous cost-benefit analysis to its infrastructure spending, including its $43 billion broadband network. Mr Giorno said "questions need to be answered" about Labor's broadband network because of the amount of spending involved and the apparent lack of any cost-benefit analysis.The Coalition's plan was substantially better for a country like ours.
Thursday, February 04, 2010
Another late TV recommendation
SBS has moved Mythbusters from Saturday night to Monday, but new episodes are showing (yay.)
In the old Saturday night 7.30 slot they are showing (for a short time, anyway) Monster Moves, about how they manage to relocate buildings. It was very interesting and impressive show last week, I thought.
It looks like its been on Discovery channel for some time (see link above) but I had never seen it before.
A pretty remarkable advance
Young women who have to undergo cancer treatment which might destroy their fertility will soon have this option:
Before starting cancer treatment, one walnut-size ovary is removed in a 30-minute, minimally invasive laparoscopic procedure. The tissue is then cut into pieces the size of rice grains and flash frozen in liquid nitrogen at temperatures nearing –200 degrees Celsius by a process called vitrification.
After the treatment regime is completed, should the survivor choose to become pregnant, the tissue is thawed and re-implanted onto the surface of the remaining ovary or the ligament next to the fallopian tube. Four months later—the time it takes for thawed primordial follicles (the functional units of the ovary) to mature and start ovulating—the survivor can conceive without hormones and in vitro fertilization, making the procedure a "natural" and effective way to preserve fertility in young women and girls with cancer, says Sherman Silber, director of Saint Luke's Hospital's Infertility Center of Saint Louis.
Wednesday, February 03, 2010
Small mystery explained
When I was last in Japan, I asked some people if they knew of the Sony e-reader, which I was hoping I might be able to buy and use in Australia. However, they didn't know about it.
This article explains why. (Short version, an early version of it was a market failure, and Sony stopped selling them in 2007. They are now considering a come back in the market, because it has sold pretty well in the US and England.)
As for buying them here: I thought I read the other day that they were finally going to start selling them, but now I can't find the story. Maybe I was dreaming...
On the US abandoning space
Not a bad column here (with interesting comments following) on the bleak looking future for people in space.
An odd urban legend from Japan
Interesting post here about an urban myth from Japan that involves imaginary Australian giant rats.
Modern marriage in Saudi Arabia
Riyadh: A 12-year-old Saudi girl has dropped her petition to divorce an 80-year-old man her father forced to marry in exchange for a dowry, according to media reports on Tuesday.
The girl and her mother reportedly withdrew the case on Monday in a court in Buraidah in Al Qasim province.
The girl told the court that her marriage to the man was done with her agreement, according to Okaz newspaper.
According to reports, the girl's father, who is separated from her mother, arranged her marriage to the 80-year-old in exchange for a dowry payment of $22,667 (Dh83,414).
An interesting point
Alan Kohler is one of the few commentators to give more-or-less support to the coalition policy (well, he calls it "clever" anyway), and he makes this interesting point:
....the coalition is proposing to pay the Latrobe Valley companies to convert from brown coal to gas. There are a few other ideas tacked on to make it look like a policy, not a deal, but that’s the guts of it.But the fly in the ointment is this:
It’s a good idea – first proposed in Business Spectator last November. I’m not sure the amount of money nominated – a total of $3.2 billion, with up to $2.55 billion available for power station conversion – will be enough, but it’s an opening gambit.
Hunt spelled it out towards the end of yesterday’s press conference when the journalists were nodding off listening to Tony Abbott, so what he said has been largely ignored.
He said: “One of the large power companies has provided us with their advice. Because it’s commercial-in-confidence, they didn’t want it released – but they provided us with their advice that they could convert from coal to gas for $13 per tonne under this system.
“Now we want to check that, but … the oldest and least efficient of the power providers has said to us that under the government’s ETS we’re just not going to be able to afford the capital to transition because we will be struggling just to survive… Under this they’ve said that if our balance sheets are clear and there’s an incentive to change from coal to gas, this is very attractive and we are more likely rather than less likely to change under this system.”
Presumably Tony Abbott didn’t just announce a deal with the owners of Yallourn and Hazelwood because firstly Greg Hunt didn’t have to enough time to negotiate one, and secondly because saying you’re going to hand over large dollops of cash to Hong Kong and British companies is not as good politically as saying “No Great Big New Tax” over and over (and over).This leaves a big opening to Labor to exploit.
The other problem for Abbott is that no one believes that big enough changes can be done without raising some extra money to pay for it. If he really wants an alternative that is simpler to understand, he should go for an actual low carbon tax with revenue devoted to cleaner energy research and deployment.
Sickly drinks may may make you sick
I've never understood the success of the energy drink market. They are uniformly sickly sweet (even those with artificial sweetener) and while I know younger people have a greater tolerance for sweetness until their palate gets a bit more mature, the taste of these products has always seemed over the top.
So it's interesting to note that they may be positively dangerous as well:
Gulping down a single energy drink can significantly boost the blood pressure in healthy adults, according to new Australian research.The work by researchers at the University of Adelaide and Royal Adelaide Hospital shows that the popular drinks, used by young clubbers, exercise enthusiasts and sleep-deprived mothers, can also increase the stickiness of the blood and damages blood vessel function.
That'll help your credibility Tony
Well much fun was to be had watching Kerry O'Brien put the precise questions to Abbott that the media had until now failed to ask:
KERRY O’BRIEN: Mr Abbott, you are using terminology like there's evidence evidence that carbon dioxide might be a problem. When you put that alongside what you told that audience in regional Victoria in October last year, "The climate change argument is absolute crap, however the politics are tough for us because 80 per cent of people believe climate change is a real and present danger". In other words, the only conclusion you draw from that is that you are saying, "We have to have a climate change policy because the people believe it's a danger, but I believe it's crap".Now Abbott will help distance himself from the obvious charge that he is a climate change fake by meeting with Monckton? Ha.
TONY ABBOTT: Well no, and as I said before, there was a little bit of rhetorical hyperbole in there which does not represent my considered position, I am not as evangelical about this as Prime Minister Rudd is. I am not theological about this the way Prime Minister Rudd is, but I do think it's important. And that is why I'm prepared to invest $10 billion over the coming decade to bring about things which will be good regardless, good for the environment, regardless of your views on the role of carbon dioxide in climate.
KERRY O’BRIEN: So when you say a bit of rhetorical hyperbole in that conversation with that audience you say you adjust the message to whatever audience you are playing to, if that's the case, how do we know you haven't adjusted your message for this audience?
TONY ABBOTT: Casually all of us are loose with our language, that was an occasion when I said what I shouldn't have said. It didn't represent my correct position.
KERRY O’BRIEN: There's nothing loose about the meaning of a term, nothing loose about the meaning of a term that says "absolute crap".
Tuesday, February 02, 2010
ERF! Indeed
A critical look at Tony Abbott's plan you have for reducing CO2 emissions when you don't believe there is a need for reducing CO2 emissions.
I heard Abbott on the local radio this afternoon, claiming again that the "crap" comment about AGW was a "rhetorical flourish", and in fact he believes that (to paraphrase closely) something probably is going on with the climate, and it is prudent to take steps to reduce CO2.
Well, I will wait for the criticism of Andrew Bolt and Tim Blair to begin then. They wanted a disbeliever in AGW to lead the Coalition, but they didn't get it. (Or so he says. It depends on what day you ask him, and who he is talking to.)
If Bolt is to be consistent, he should be ridiculing Abbott 'til the election for daring to spend a cent on CO2 reduction.
The Church of Biff
This is just weird:
The young man was a member of a fight team at Xtreme Ministries, a small church near Nashville that doubles as a mixed martial arts academy. Mr. Renken, who founded the church and academy, doubles as the team’s coach. The school’s motto is “Where Feet, Fist and Faith Collide.”Mr. Renken’s ministry is one of a small but growing number of evangelical churches that have embraced mixed martial arts — a sport with a reputation for violence and blood that combines kickboxing, wrestling and other fighting styles — to reach and convert young men, whose church attendance has been persistently low.
The gloomy future
When the New York Times starts talking up deficit woes, it's probably serious.
A rare recommendation
There's very, very little that I bother recommending now from the anti-AGW infested site Pajamas Media, but this article on the apparent economics of small nuclear modules (about to go into production in the States) against giant nuclear power stations is worth a look.
Leading the world in toilet technology again!
For a mere $100,000 investment, anyone who works in an office may be able to free themselves from the need to purchase toilet paper again.
I reckon my office could supply several households with toilet rolls.
But - if Australians took up the Japanese toilet bidets, it would probably save a lot more trees at better economy than this device.
Arguing targets
We'll be hearing more about this, no doubt. Especially this section:
The US previously pledged a cut of 17% from 2005 levels by 2020 (equivalent to 3% from the conventional baseline of 1990).And as for the other big players:But its current submission promises a cut "in the range of 17%, in conformity with anticipated US energy and climate legislation, recognising that the final target will be reported to the Secretariat in light of enacted legislation".
Canada will also amend its target of 17% to make it align "with the final economy-wide emissions target of the US in enacted legislation".
Among developing countries, China re-affirms that its 2020 target is a cut of 40-45% in carbon intensity and that this is to be regarded as voluntary, while India has retreated from a firm pledge to improve its energy intensity to a position where it promises to "endeavour reduce its emissions intensity" by 2020.I guess there are ways this can be spun for both Rudd and Abbott. Abbott will argue that Rudd's tiny target is still ahead of the USA; Rudd can say that what he is doing is consistent with China's "reduce carbon intensity" approach.
What I am waiting for is a journalist to say to Abbott - "what is your reasoning for taking any action at all, given that we know that a claimed majority of your party believes that there is no reason to do anything at all about CO2 emissions, and you yourself described global warming as "crap" barely 4 months ago?"
Fish oil, part 2
After recently posting about the benefits of fish oil for adults who want to slow aging, this news of another (somewhat unexpected) apparent benefit of it for the young is worth noting:
In the study, published in the Archives of General Psychiatry journal, 41 high-risk patients were given four fish oil capsules a day for three months. Only two of them developed a psychotic disorder, compared with 11 of another 40 who took a placebo...What isn't it good for?
High-powered anti-psychotic drugs can come with metabolic changes, sexual dysfunction and weight gain which are often not acceptable for young people, leading to high drop-out rates.
Very few people dropped out of the fish oil treatment regime, and a 12-month follow up showed the effect seemed to protect the brain even after the patient stopped taking the pills.