I assumed, when I read the headline:
A badger can bury a cow by itself: Study observes previously unknown caching behavior
that the cow burying badger in question was in England.
But no - it was in Utah.
Just as I was surprised recently to learn that there are tropical water otters (in Singapore, in particular), I had no idea that badgers roamed North America.
I have clear inadequacies in my knowledge of mammal distribution...
Tuesday, April 04, 2017
Frost fairs examined more closely
That's interesting - the Thames River "frost fairs", when the river froze and all those cheery Londoners rushed out to have fun on it - is not as accurate an indicator of the Little Ice Age as you might imagine.
Bad review
Sabine Hossenfeld really did not like a new book by Brian Cox, who is about to turn up on ABC with a live stargazing show tonight. (I am curious about how they are going to deal with the possibility of clouds - but I will try to remember to watch it.)
Stiglitz, Krugman..
The always readable Stiglitz and Krugman have items of interest up:
1. JS has an article in the Guardian entitled Putin's illiberal stagnation in Russia offers a valuable lesson
I liked the sarcasm (well, I think it is intended as such) in the last line:
2. Paul Krugman writes about Trump wimping out on his trade rhetoric, and recounts one incident I might have missed on TV:
1. JS has an article in the Guardian entitled Putin's illiberal stagnation in Russia offers a valuable lesson
I liked the sarcasm (well, I think it is intended as such) in the last line:
They sell their system of “illiberal democracy” on the basis of pragmatism, not some universal theory of history. These leaders claim they are simply more effective at getting things done.Can't say I know about the corruption scandal he refers to here:
That is certainly true when it comes to stirring nationalist sentiment and stifling dissent. They have been less effective, however, in nurturing long-term economic growth. Once one of the world’s two superpowers, Russia’s GDP is now about 40% of Germany’s and just over 50% of France’s. Life expectancy at birth ranks 153rd in the world, just behind Honduras and Kazakhstan.
In terms of per capita income, Russia ranks 73rd (in terms of purchasing power parity) – well below the Soviet Union’s former satellites in central and eastern Europe. The country has deindustrialised: the vast majority of its exports now come from natural resources. It has not evolved into a “normal” market economy, but rather into a peculiar form of crony-state capitalism.
Yes, Russia still punches above its weight in some areas, such as nuclear weapons.
Fifteen years ago, when I wrote Globalization and its Discontents, I argued that this “shock therapy” approach to economic reform was a dismal failure. But defenders of that doctrine cautioned patience: one could make such judgments only with a longer-run perspective.The only thing I would comment on about this, though, is that it is curious that there seems to be one huge exception to crony capitalism not working - South Korea. Mind you, it seems a very peculiar, somewhat turbulent country in a couple of respects (political and religious), and maybe its success won't continue indefinitely. Or maybe it just shows that if you capture a huge market share in TVs and phones you'll always do well...
Today, more than 25 years since the onset of transition, those earlier results have been confirmed, and those who argued that private property rights, once created, would give rise to broader demands for the rule of law have been proven wrong. Russia and many of the other transition countries are lagging further behind the advanced economies than ever. GDP in some transition countries is below its level at the beginning of the transition.
Many in Russia believe the US Treasury pushed Washington consensus policies to weaken their country. The deep corruption of the Harvard University team chosen to “help” Russia in its transition, described in a detailed account published in 2006 by Institutional Investor, reinforced these beliefs.
2. Paul Krugman writes about Trump wimping out on his trade rhetoric, and recounts one incident I might have missed on TV:
So on Friday the White House scheduled a ceremony in which Mr. Trump would sign two new executive orders on trade. The goal, presumably, was to counteract the growing impression that his bombast on trade was sound and fury signifying nothing.Unfortunately, the executive orders in question were, to use the technical term, nothingburgers. One called for a report on the causes of the trade deficit; wait, they’re just starting to study the issue? The other addressed some minor issues of tariff collection, and its content apparently duplicated an act President Obama already signed last year.Not surprisingly, reporters at the event questioned the president, not about trade, but about Michael Flynn and the Russia connection. Mr. Trump then walked out of the room — without signing the orders. (Vice President Mike Pence gathered them up, and the White House claims that they were signed later.)
Monday, April 03, 2017
Cyphers and codes of early America
A good, short article at The Atlantic, talking about methods used or invented by the Founding Fathers (and by Thomas Jefferson in particular) to encode communications.
I had heard about this before - I think it might get a mention at Monticello, his plantation home, which I was lucky enough to visit in the 1980's.
I had heard about this before - I think it might get a mention at Monticello, his plantation home, which I was lucky enough to visit in the 1980's.
They don't muck around
China Uighurs: Xinjiang ban on long beards and veils
I'm guessing that this may make Trumpkins feel somewhat conflicted. It's the country they're not supposed to like being extraordinarily tough on a religion they like to see under tight control. If their man Putin had done it, well, that would be OK.
I'm guessing that this may make Trumpkins feel somewhat conflicted. It's the country they're not supposed to like being extraordinarily tough on a religion they like to see under tight control. If their man Putin had done it, well, that would be OK.
Sunshine Coast noted
Just had the first weekend at the beach since I don't know when. (We had a Christmas stay at Noosa in December 2015 - but we might have gone to the beach after that?)
This time - Maroochydore.
I still quite like the place - some early memories are of beach holidays there in a great smelling canvas tent along the strip of camping that seemed to run from Alexandra Headlands right up to Maroochydore - but maybe the camping grounds weren't quite that long? By the way, do other people love the smell of canvas? I always have, but if you have not enjoyed camping in childhood, do you still like it as an adult?
It also makes me feel a bit old to be able to tell my teenage kids that when I was a child, you could walk right up to Pincushion Island - the rocky outcrop on the other side of the river you can see here:
But now that I check, it was only in the 1990's that the river mouth moved from the north of that spot to the present south side. So it's not so ancient a change after all.
Anyway, despite somewhat dirty looking beach water due to the recent heavy rainfall water coming out of the Maroochy and Mooloolah Rivers, we managed an enjoyable surf swim at Alexandra Headlands on Saturday; fished in the fish empty Maroochy River that day too, and then fished in the much more productive Noosa River at Noosaville on Sunday. Caught a couple of whiting that were at least nearly legal size to keep - next time I've got to have one of those measures from a tackle shop so we can feel certain of legality and actually keep them. They are an attractive fish, whiting...
The Noosa River was a bit brown too, but it runs through more sand than does the Maroochy River, so it always looks cleaner than the latter, even after rain. It remains my favourite river in the country.
As for your basic, and very cheap, pub food for lunch, you can't go past the Irish pub at Noosa Junction, which for some reason is called the Sogo Bar. (There is another Irish pub up the hill, which I have never been to, but I see Sogo is a much bigger favourite on Google reviews.) If you're just after a $12 burger and chips, or a $10-12 9 inch pizza for one, or a "breakfast burger" available all day with an egg, heaps of crispy bacon and some bbq sauce for $7.50, it will suit you perfectly. I always feel it should be very popular with backpackers, but I never see them there at lunch.
As regular readers can tell, I do love the Sunshine Coast and Noosaville in particular. The only reason for not wanting to live there permanently, in retirement (which seems very far off, given that the 50's are the new 40's), is that I did live there for a couple of years in the 1990's, and you can just get too used to beauty and beaches such that you can't be bothered walking down to the beach because you know it will still be there the next day. I really like the effect of only being there for short stays, and reminding yourself each time how much you like it.
This time - Maroochydore.
I still quite like the place - some early memories are of beach holidays there in a great smelling canvas tent along the strip of camping that seemed to run from Alexandra Headlands right up to Maroochydore - but maybe the camping grounds weren't quite that long? By the way, do other people love the smell of canvas? I always have, but if you have not enjoyed camping in childhood, do you still like it as an adult?
It also makes me feel a bit old to be able to tell my teenage kids that when I was a child, you could walk right up to Pincushion Island - the rocky outcrop on the other side of the river you can see here:
But now that I check, it was only in the 1990's that the river mouth moved from the north of that spot to the present south side. So it's not so ancient a change after all.
Anyway, despite somewhat dirty looking beach water due to the recent heavy rainfall water coming out of the Maroochy and Mooloolah Rivers, we managed an enjoyable surf swim at Alexandra Headlands on Saturday; fished in the fish empty Maroochy River that day too, and then fished in the much more productive Noosa River at Noosaville on Sunday. Caught a couple of whiting that were at least nearly legal size to keep - next time I've got to have one of those measures from a tackle shop so we can feel certain of legality and actually keep them. They are an attractive fish, whiting...
The Noosa River was a bit brown too, but it runs through more sand than does the Maroochy River, so it always looks cleaner than the latter, even after rain. It remains my favourite river in the country.
As for your basic, and very cheap, pub food for lunch, you can't go past the Irish pub at Noosa Junction, which for some reason is called the Sogo Bar. (There is another Irish pub up the hill, which I have never been to, but I see Sogo is a much bigger favourite on Google reviews.) If you're just after a $12 burger and chips, or a $10-12 9 inch pizza for one, or a "breakfast burger" available all day with an egg, heaps of crispy bacon and some bbq sauce for $7.50, it will suit you perfectly. I always feel it should be very popular with backpackers, but I never see them there at lunch.
As regular readers can tell, I do love the Sunshine Coast and Noosaville in particular. The only reason for not wanting to live there permanently, in retirement (which seems very far off, given that the 50's are the new 40's), is that I did live there for a couple of years in the 1990's, and you can just get too used to beauty and beaches such that you can't be bothered walking down to the beach because you know it will still be there the next day. I really like the effect of only being there for short stays, and reminding yourself each time how much you like it.
Friday, March 31, 2017
Suffering on the Right
Gee, the Australian culture war fighting Right is having a bad time of it: the only cartoonist in the land sympathetic to their gripes and obsessions died; their anti-PC for the sake of being anti PC little cable show has gone down the drain after Mark Latham got the sack; and (in news only noticed by them), the Federal government didn't get the change they wanted to s18C Racial Discrimination Act. (I can safely say that, due the cyclone, absolutely no one in Queensland was paying attention to that little sideshow.)
The only thing they have to hold onto is the Trump presidency which, try as they might to pretend otherwise, is a complete shambles of Right wing infighting, lies and distortion. (They don't see it that way, but they are dimwitted and it will get through to them, eventually.)
I suppose they still have Andrew Bolt to cling to, too. If ever he disappears in a scandal of some kind or other, we'd have to put them on suicide watch....
The only thing they have to hold onto is the Trump presidency which, try as they might to pretend otherwise, is a complete shambles of Right wing infighting, lies and distortion. (They don't see it that way, but they are dimwitted and it will get through to them, eventually.)
I suppose they still have Andrew Bolt to cling to, too. If ever he disappears in a scandal of some kind or other, we'd have to put them on suicide watch....
Disaster coverage
Has anyone else noticed how coverage of cyclones seems to go now?
The media sends up a heap of people to a scattered area where a cyclone may hit, and they stand in front of the cameras waiting for the wind to pick up and buildings to start getting blown away around them.
When that doesn't happen on screen, and yet they keep coverage going on for hours on end, trying to talk up how bad it is when there is no real destruction behind them, you start to get people elsewhere in the country doubting that it is all that bad. (Particularly Right wing culture warriors who want to counter any suggestion of climate change having made any bad weather worse.)
Then, the next day, you start to get some images of damaged buildings, but not too many, because the roads are blocked or flooded, so the TV crews can't get around much anyway. Again, some viewers are starting to think "not so bad".
Then, by day 3 or 4, when you actually do start getting some more detailed images of ruined resorts, homes, and commercial premises, you get the feeling that people are sick of the coverage and don't care much about they're seeing anyway.
The people around the Whitsunday area have been without power for days now, and I saw, but only on Twitter, that many electricity pylons had been bent over in the cyclone, presumably meaning that some areas will have no power for quite a while yet. Coverage also indicated that a huge storm downpour in the area caused a lot of flood damage the first or second night after the cyclone.
Daydream Island looks extremely smashed up; Hamilton Island less so, but in both cases, there has actually not been that much video evidence. We don't even know what some of the other islands look like.
The few locals I have seen interviewed do seem to have considered it to have the worst experience they have had, especially given that the cyclone seemed to be very slow moving, causing them many hours of distressing high wind and rain.
It's been said that there had been damage of a lot of buildings at the inland town of Collinsville, but I don't think I have seen any news video of that at all.
My point is - the way television coverage of cyclones work now, it seems to give a very misleading impression of what has gone on. Less live coverage of the type we have just seen would actually help correct that.
One other point: I get the impression, from watching people in the area talking about lack of information, and how they can't communicate because mobile phones can't be charged, that some have sort of forgotten about listening to the local radio station during emergencies (and having plenty of batteries for their AM radio.) Maybe that's not fair, but I just had the feeling that people are so used to using the internet for information, they seem to now feel there is no other way to get messages if they can't access it.
The media sends up a heap of people to a scattered area where a cyclone may hit, and they stand in front of the cameras waiting for the wind to pick up and buildings to start getting blown away around them.
When that doesn't happen on screen, and yet they keep coverage going on for hours on end, trying to talk up how bad it is when there is no real destruction behind them, you start to get people elsewhere in the country doubting that it is all that bad. (Particularly Right wing culture warriors who want to counter any suggestion of climate change having made any bad weather worse.)
Then, the next day, you start to get some images of damaged buildings, but not too many, because the roads are blocked or flooded, so the TV crews can't get around much anyway. Again, some viewers are starting to think "not so bad".
Then, by day 3 or 4, when you actually do start getting some more detailed images of ruined resorts, homes, and commercial premises, you get the feeling that people are sick of the coverage and don't care much about they're seeing anyway.
The people around the Whitsunday area have been without power for days now, and I saw, but only on Twitter, that many electricity pylons had been bent over in the cyclone, presumably meaning that some areas will have no power for quite a while yet. Coverage also indicated that a huge storm downpour in the area caused a lot of flood damage the first or second night after the cyclone.
Daydream Island looks extremely smashed up; Hamilton Island less so, but in both cases, there has actually not been that much video evidence. We don't even know what some of the other islands look like.
The few locals I have seen interviewed do seem to have considered it to have the worst experience they have had, especially given that the cyclone seemed to be very slow moving, causing them many hours of distressing high wind and rain.
It's been said that there had been damage of a lot of buildings at the inland town of Collinsville, but I don't think I have seen any news video of that at all.
My point is - the way television coverage of cyclones work now, it seems to give a very misleading impression of what has gone on. Less live coverage of the type we have just seen would actually help correct that.
One other point: I get the impression, from watching people in the area talking about lack of information, and how they can't communicate because mobile phones can't be charged, that some have sort of forgotten about listening to the local radio station during emergencies (and having plenty of batteries for their AM radio.) Maybe that's not fair, but I just had the feeling that people are so used to using the internet for information, they seem to now feel there is no other way to get messages if they can't access it.
Thursday, March 30, 2017
Not your average UFO sighting
I see, via The Anomalist, that a mainstream maritime worker forum/information site has run a report of a UFO arising out of the Gulf of Mexico:
A crew member of an offshore supply vessel in the Gulf of Mexico claims he saw a UFO ‘fives times’ the size of his vessel and UFO trackers are now looking for more witnesses to come forward with any information possibly related to the sighting.
The UFO sighting reportedly occurred on Tuesday in the Gulf of Mexico approximately 80 miles southeast of New Orleans.
The sighting was submitted to the National UFO Reporting Center, which apparently tracks UFO sightings and data, by the chief engineer of an OSV working the Gulf of Mexico on Thursday afternoon. According to the eyewitness report:
“Close to 7:00 pm on March 21st, just before dusk, myself and 4 of the crew members aboard our vessel saw a craft that appeared to be five times our 240 ft vessel in length. My line of sight was about 1/4 mile from our vessel. There was a rig behind the craft about a 1/2 mile. i used this to help gauge size of craft. Sighting was approximately 80 miles SE of New Orleans, Louisiana.
The scene lasted about 40 seconds. The craft rose up out of the water (Gulf of Mexico) about 40 feet, no water was dripping from the craft. Within a split second the craft disappeared at a 30 degree angle into the sky. Speed appeared to faster than speed of a light turning on in a room. Within seconds it had disappeared completely.
I can say for sure that the craft was dark colored, oval in shape and made no sound whatsoever.
The NUFORC has even highlighted the sighting as being of particular interest among the 246 reports of UFOs received in March alone. And after speaking with the witness by phone, the NUFORC said the report seems legit and has urged more witnesses to come forward.
“We spoke via telephone with this witness, and he seemed to us to be unusually sober-minded,” NUFORC wrote in a note added to the original report. “We suspect that he is a very capable, and very reliable, witness. He estimates that upwards of perhaps 50 people, who were aboard nearby vessels, may have witnessed the event, as well. We would urge those other witnesses to submit reports of what they had witnessed.”Hate to say it, but if no one else comes forward to back this guy up, you would have to put it down to something mental going on...
Wednesday, March 29, 2017
We need to talk about Mark
It generally doesn't pay to reward belligerent right wing media culture warriors with the attention they desire, but Mark Latham seems to be on some sort of bender of offensive jerk behaviour at the moment, although this article reminds me that it has been building for some time.
Oh, and before finishing this post, I see news has broken that Sky News has sacked him.
Good. He's been capable at times, probably years ago now, of decent commentary on certain topics, but he's decided to make a name for himself by being an offensive loud mouth on the culture wars and feminism/gender politics in particular. Overcompensating for the loss of a testicle, perhaps? (to go for a quasi Freudian explanation...)
Update: an amusing tweet about his career:
Oh, and before finishing this post, I see news has broken that Sky News has sacked him.
Good. He's been capable at times, probably years ago now, of decent commentary on certain topics, but he's decided to make a name for himself by being an offensive loud mouth on the culture wars and feminism/gender politics in particular. Overcompensating for the loss of a testicle, perhaps? (to go for a quasi Freudian explanation...)
Update: an amusing tweet about his career:
Transgender skepticism, noted again
I had a look at Online Opinion for the first time in ages (it's a wonder it's still around, I think), and noticed that there was a recent, skeptical take on transgenderism, referring in particular to a news story about an Australian school supporting a transgender teen.
The claims in the article were hotly disputed in comments, and to be honest, I haven't tried to check up on who was right or wrong.
But, it did remind me to check in on the 4thWaveNow blog, which I have posted about before. (It's a non-religiously motivated blog for parents skeptical of the way transgender desire/interest is now handled in children and teens - basically arguing that views have swung way, way too far into promoting early intervention to help transition.)
There is a recent post there that is really good - showing how experts who are completely and utterly on one side of the matter (pro-transition) try to dominate discussion and advice as to how parents should act.
I find the arguments of the people who run this blog very convincing, and a correction back to the centre of how to view this matter is already overdue.
The claims in the article were hotly disputed in comments, and to be honest, I haven't tried to check up on who was right or wrong.
But, it did remind me to check in on the 4thWaveNow blog, which I have posted about before. (It's a non-religiously motivated blog for parents skeptical of the way transgender desire/interest is now handled in children and teens - basically arguing that views have swung way, way too far into promoting early intervention to help transition.)
There is a recent post there that is really good - showing how experts who are completely and utterly on one side of the matter (pro-transition) try to dominate discussion and advice as to how parents should act.
I find the arguments of the people who run this blog very convincing, and a correction back to the centre of how to view this matter is already overdue.
Vaccine works
New study shows HPV vaccine is working to reduce rates of genital warts
The article does note at the end that, despite this, other sexually transmitted infections are on the rise. I guess an unintended consequence of the success of a vaccine against one STD might be the belief that safe sex practices are unimportant now?
The article does note at the end that, despite this, other sexually transmitted infections are on the rise. I guess an unintended consequence of the success of a vaccine against one STD might be the belief that safe sex practices are unimportant now?
He gets around
Quite an odd story at NPR about how many times the body of President James Polk has been moved, and how it's still possibly on the move:
Perhaps no president has had his remains fought over more than Polk. He passed away in 1849 just months after leaving the White House, and from the beginning, his wishes were ignored. Because he died of cholera, he received a quick burial in a city cemetery for sanitary reasons.And why would I bother posting about this? Because it reminds me of a favourite song from They Might be Giants:
The next year, Sarah Polk insisted he be moved to their Nashville home, Polk Place, as stated in his will.
He lay there until after Sarah's death in 1891. With no direct heirs, a judge divided the estate, leading to Polk Place's demolition and the tomb's relocation.
"I don't know that we're taking an honor away, and I would agree it is an honor to be buried at the Capitol, but it's a little bit difficult to get to," says Thomas Price, the curator of the James K. Polk Home and Museum in Columbia, Tenn.
Price says he wants the tomb moved an hour away, to the only home still standing where Polk actually lived.
Colbert is hitting some spectacular highs
Tastes in comedy vary, of course, but I really think you would have to be a Trump loving, one eyed idiot who should never stray from the comfort of the asylum of Catallaxy to not find at least some parts of his first monologue about Trump's failure last week hilarious:
He followed that up with a sharp attack on Jared Kushner's new role, the Russian connection, etc; and in this one, I think you can really see the anger flash in his eyes for a second:
It's no wonder he's rating well now - he's never been better.
He followed that up with a sharp attack on Jared Kushner's new role, the Russian connection, etc; and in this one, I think you can really see the anger flash in his eyes for a second:
It's no wonder he's rating well now - he's never been better.
Tuesday, March 28, 2017
About Trump and "populism"
It's all a bit complicated, but this Vox article that talks about culture, economics, Trump and populism is worth reading. Here's one section:
But on the economics side, I guess it is a problem for liberals, on the matter of how to address properly the issues with globalisation (and technological advance) not working that well for a section of the formerly employed.
Hmmm. I would say that, more correctly, it's a short term problem for liberals. Because the older folk pining for the old days will be dying out, literally, sooner or later.Sean Illing
As you know, there are dueling theses about what's really behind the Trump phenomenon: It’s either about economic insecurity or it’s a cultural backlash among older, whiter Americans. You seem firmly in the latter camp.Pippa Norris
That's right, and the solutions are very different depending on how you interpret what happened. If it's economics, you can go along with the Bernie Sanders solution. You can think of job apprenticeships, such as we've had in Germany, to make sure that blue-collar workers have the skills they need, building up community colleges, improving the minimum wage. You can think about economic redistribution. Parties like Labour under Jeremy Corbyn have certainly adopted those policies in a way to try to get back to the electorate and build up their support, but it basically hasn't worked.On the other hand, if it's cultural factors, then there's a much deeper problem. It's a problem for liberals in particular. Many of the leaders and members of parties who are active on the left are actually part of the progressive left. They’re well-educated and won't go back on issues like gender equality or issues of race and racism or Islamophobia. So they’re limited in terms of how they can respond to this cultural backlash.On some of the basic values which Trump's supporters and authoritarians believe, they're not going to reverse. They're not going to simply abandon all evidence-based policy, the emphasis on education and expanding college education or emphasis on gender equality, women's rights or social tolerance in the broadest sense for social diversity because that's built into their DNA.So progressive forces leading social democratic parties can try to build their support back and they can do some things, but it's much easier for parties on the right to adopt some of the similar language.
But on the economics side, I guess it is a problem for liberals, on the matter of how to address properly the issues with globalisation (and technological advance) not working that well for a section of the formerly employed.
Tech people can be an eccentric bunch
From Axios (which I see is being massively overrun by Starbucks advertising - it's a bit irritating):
In Maureen Dowd's Vanity Fair piece on Elon Musk and the coming revolution in artificial intelligence, researcher Eliezer Yudkowsky lays out one vision of the apocalypse:
"If you want a picture of A.I. gone wrong, don't imagine marching humanoid robots with glowing red eyes. Imagine tiny invisible synthetic bacteria made of diamond, with tiny onboard computers, hiding inside your bloodstream and everyone else's. And then, simultaneously, they release one microgram of botulinum toxin. Everyone just falls over dead."
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