Wednesday, May 03, 2017
Lukewarming danger
I liked this article at New Republic, making it clear that scientists have been warning of the disingenuousness (and therefore danger to good policy) of the lukewarmer argument on climate change for years. It is right that should be an outcry against the New York Times hiring one.
Modern thoughts in Mongolia
I enjoyed last night's Foreign Correspondent - Mongolia - The Last Eagle Hunters.
Apart from making me wonder, yet again, at how humans have this remarkable ability to learn to love the landscape and lifestyle in some of the most desolate looking places on Earth, the thing that really caught my attention was how these isolated people were expressing thoughts that were more modern than what you'll spot on some Western conservative websites.
The two examples of that - the 55 year old who said he remembered childhood winters were snowier and colder than they are now, and he thought that global warming probably meant that winters there would not be like that again. Yes - global warming accepted as true by a nomadic, dirt poor Muslim who has probably never been on the internet. Way to go, internet, to enable the conning of large slabs of the population of the West. (I think I have read that you similarly won't get any arguments about global warming from the Inuit in Canada.)
The second example - the 12 year old girl (well, around that age anyway) who was learning to be an eagle hunter, expressing the view that girls who apply themselves can do anything a boy can do. This is location where most women are married off by about 19 and become homekeepers.
Modernity is indeed spreading.
Apart from making me wonder, yet again, at how humans have this remarkable ability to learn to love the landscape and lifestyle in some of the most desolate looking places on Earth, the thing that really caught my attention was how these isolated people were expressing thoughts that were more modern than what you'll spot on some Western conservative websites.
The two examples of that - the 55 year old who said he remembered childhood winters were snowier and colder than they are now, and he thought that global warming probably meant that winters there would not be like that again. Yes - global warming accepted as true by a nomadic, dirt poor Muslim who has probably never been on the internet. Way to go, internet, to enable the conning of large slabs of the population of the West. (I think I have read that you similarly won't get any arguments about global warming from the Inuit in Canada.)
The second example - the 12 year old girl (well, around that age anyway) who was learning to be an eagle hunter, expressing the view that girls who apply themselves can do anything a boy can do. This is location where most women are married off by about 19 and become homekeepers.
Modernity is indeed spreading.
Tuesday, May 02, 2017
In praise of LED lights
Every time I use LED lights, I'm pretty amazed. Use the torch app on a mobile phone on a really dark path - it seems ridiculously bright for such a tiny source. Put a bulb in a lamp and leave it on overnight - it's still just a little bit warm to the touch in the morning. Take a modern torch using 3 or 4 LEDs - impressively brilliant beam with quite long battery life.
It bothers me a little that, like the computing power and location finding utility in a mobile phone costing even only one or two hundred bucks, LEDs are a technological marvel that people just instantly get used to without thinking about the stunning results science and engineering have delivered literally into their hands.
Think about your LEDs when you use them, and encourage your children to do so, too. And get unimpressed responses from them if they are teenagers. But you have to try...
It bothers me a little that, like the computing power and location finding utility in a mobile phone costing even only one or two hundred bucks, LEDs are a technological marvel that people just instantly get used to without thinking about the stunning results science and engineering have delivered literally into their hands.
Think about your LEDs when you use them, and encourage your children to do so, too. And get unimpressed responses from them if they are teenagers. But you have to try...
More than you needed to know
The BBC is running an article originally from The Conversation - all about the physics of defecation. (There's a phrase you don't hear often in a lifetime.) A highlight (if that's the appropriate word):
What else did we learn? Bigger animals have longer feces. And bigger animals also defecate at higher speed. For instance, an elephant defecates at a speed of six centimeters per second, nearly six times as fast as a dog. The speed of defecation for humans is in between: two centimeters per second.
Together, this meant that defecation duration is constant across many animal species – around 12 seconds (plus or minus 7 seconds) – even though the volume varies greatly. Assuming a bell curve distribution, 66 percent of animals take between 5 and 19 seconds to defecate. It's a surprisingly small range, given that elephant feces have a volume of 20 liters, nearly a thousand times more than a dog's, at 10 milliliters. How can big animals defecate at such high speed?
The answer, we found, was in the properties of an ultra-thin layer of mucus lining the walls of the large intestine. The mucus layer is as thin as human hair, so thin that we could measure it only by weighing feces as the mucus evaporated. Despite being thin, the mucus is very slippery, more than 100 times less viscous than feces.
During defecation, feces moves like a solid plug. Therefore, in ideal conditions, the combined length and diameter of feces is simply determined by the shape of one's rectum and large intestine. One of the big findings of our study was that feces extend halfway up the length of the colon from the rectum.
Putting the length of feces together with the properties of mucus, we now have a cohesive physics story for how defecation happens. Bigger animals have longer feces, but also thicker mucus, enabling them to achieve high speeds with the same pressure. Without this mucus layer, defecation might not be possible. Alterations in mucus can contribute to several ailments, including chronic constipation and even infections by bacteria such as C. difficile in the gastrointestinal tract.
Guardians 2 noted
I went off to see Guardians of the Galaxy 2 yesterday.
Unfortunately, I have to say I was pretty underwhelmed. I didn't think the story had much narrative push to it, and was a bit silly even for a silly, not to be taken seriously, comic book story; there was one sequence which reminded me a little too much of Tarantino trying to make mass slaughter cool; baby Groot was too transparently cute; and the look of the film really moved into CGI overload, if you ask me.
It's not terrible, but in a way it reminded me of the second Men in Black film - not a great story, and not enough original elements to make it feel like it wasn't just trying to get more money from its audience. (Although I think MIB2 was more enjoyable than this film.)
Perhaps number 3 will have a better story and script? MIB3 did...
Unfortunately, I have to say I was pretty underwhelmed. I didn't think the story had much narrative push to it, and was a bit silly even for a silly, not to be taken seriously, comic book story; there was one sequence which reminded me a little too much of Tarantino trying to make mass slaughter cool; baby Groot was too transparently cute; and the look of the film really moved into CGI overload, if you ask me.
It's not terrible, but in a way it reminded me of the second Men in Black film - not a great story, and not enough original elements to make it feel like it wasn't just trying to get more money from its audience. (Although I think MIB2 was more enjoyable than this film.)
Perhaps number 3 will have a better story and script? MIB3 did...
The extremely broad brush of Philippa Martyr
I think Philippa Martyr is an interesting character: conservative in her Catholicism, but with an interest in spiritualism and mental illness; a fan of Evelyn Waugh; prone to exaggeration and likely more fragile underneath than her cheery on line persona indicates. (She is, or was, a smoker: I've often noticed over the years that this is a sign of underlying nervousness.)
She's turned up again in Quadrant, that hoary, next to unreadable, magazine with her take on the findings of the Royal Commission into institutional child abuse (with respect to the Catholic Church), and her piece seems to show some genuine shock and regret at the extent of the abuse revealed. (She also seems to be particularly down on the bureaucracy within the Church at the moment, given her own knowledge - as a witness - of a recent investigation into a priest having an affair with an adult woman.)
But, being who she is, she does go on to try to pin as much of it as she can on there being too many homosexuals in the priesthood. And in doing so, she makes some pretty broad, dubious, statements. The prime example:
I'm no expert, but my impression is that in all of the cultures where homosexual interactions between adults and youth have been more or less accepted, none extended to viewing prepubescent boys as being an appropriate target for adults.* In fact, Philippa earlier in the article says she is concentrating mainly on the 30 to 40% of victims who were teenagers, not boys, as being ones targeted by homosexual priests. Why then, in that sloppy paragraph quoted above, talk as if gay men have always aimed at the very youngest possible targets, which is (obviously) boys?
If her point is simply that post pubescent teenagers have always been a target of homosexual attention, well, there is an element of truth in that, but it's a case of a generalisation too far. True, she can cite the Greek pederasty/mentoring system (also seen in cultures such as Japan), the history of sex tourism of older white men to Europe in past centuries (or South East Asia more recently) for youthful males, even the "rent boy" reputation of The Wall in Sydney, and so on. There's no doubt that those activities show the attraction of some gay men to youth.
But on the other hand, what proportion of total sexual encounters in history between men have been with partners of roughly equal age, or at least, with both clearly adults? Really, who would know? And anyway, let's face it - heterosexual sex tourism, and use of prostitutes and pornography has a strong bias towards youth, too.
Certainly, Philippa cites a surprisingly useless study to support her case - one in which a mere 192 adults had to rank the sexual attractiveness of 15 facial photos of various ages. Big deal. (She does encourage the reader to look at a particular table in the paper, which apparently "speaks volumes". What it shows is a mystery, as there appears to be no version on line.)
In any event, I would take a guess that, if anything, the social normalisation of homosexuality in the West has led to significantly less targeting of youth by older men than previously. There are so many more outlets for sexual gratification now that there is little need to exploit a youth to satisfy it. And surely it's clear that the pro-pederasty organisations that, a few decades back, used to seek sympathy and understanding via media appearances have pretty much given up on that undertaking now. Acceptance of homosexuality between adults has not translated into any slippery slope acceptance of relationships between men and young teenagers.
Philippa, after claiming that homosexual men are invariably attracted to youth, notes that some seminaries in Australia in the late 60's to the 80's did become known for an unusually high proportion of gay seminarians and staff. I don't actually dispute that this was true - we even have Tony Abbott's experience in a seminary seems to back that up! So, the argument goes, get rid of the homosexual priest and you get rid of (some) child abuse.
While there is a sense in which that is obvious (a priesthood of pure, 100% heterosexuals - if there was any way of objectively assessing them as such - may presumably result in a lesser proportion of sexual abuse of teenage guys), it still smacks of scapegoating for a few reasons:
a. I would bet that the age of many of the abuser priests of the 70's and 80's was such that they went through seminaries prior in the 50's and early 60's, before the apparent increase in gay seminarians post Vatican 2;
b. it ignores what might have attracted a man with same sex attraction to the seminary in the first place, and that the then conservative views against homosexuality may have contributed to it. For example, young men who were fearful of their same sex attraction , and thought institutional celibacy would keep it under control; or those resigned to their sexual feelings but seeing that the priesthood was one way in which they could attain a certain social status despite of it. A third possibility (and one I think quite likely): young men who had not resolved their sexual feelings via much experience at all at the time they entered the seminary, and only later identified they were indeed attracted to men. (Perhaps because of opportunistic encounters, which they then went on to repeat.)
c. Philippa explicitly says that homosexual men are not suited to the priesthood; no ifs, no buts. (Of course, she is supported by Pope Benedict's policy introduced in 2005.) Her statement:
The thing is, if it isn't already abundantly clear - conservative Catholics have an investment in defending the matter of clerical celibacy, despite it being not a doctrinal matter at all. Why? Because "conservative". It's reminiscent of the numbskullery of a crusty surgeon who complain that he (it's usually a he) went through hellish, ridiculous and objectively unsafe work hours and personal abuse when he went through training 40 years ago - and so trainees today should just toughen up and face the same. Evidence that it just doesn't make sense anymore (such a high suicide rate) is, as far as possible, ignored, in favour of blaming someone else for just not being tough enough.
In any event, one suspects that the overall loss of credibility of the Catholic Church on all matters pertaining to sex likely means that there are now few same sex attracted young men who would even consider becoming a priest, whether or not Benedict had made his rule. They likely no longer feel any guilt about it, can have a good career in virtually any field while being openly gay, and so the motivations they formerly might have had to consider an all male career path have gone.
Philippa, and other conservative Catholics who blame gay priests for child abuse are ignoring the bigger picture re the whole issue of celibacy its harmful effects on disencouraging good people from considering the priesthood, not to mention the widespread rejection of the entire way the Church thinks about sexuality.
She's turned up again in Quadrant, that hoary, next to unreadable, magazine with her take on the findings of the Royal Commission into institutional child abuse (with respect to the Catholic Church), and her piece seems to show some genuine shock and regret at the extent of the abuse revealed. (She also seems to be particularly down on the bureaucracy within the Church at the moment, given her own knowledge - as a witness - of a recent investigation into a priest having an affair with an adult woman.)
But, being who she is, she does go on to try to pin as much of it as she can on there being too many homosexuals in the priesthood. And in doing so, she makes some pretty broad, dubious, statements. The prime example:
The first uncomfortable fact is that since ancient Greece, countless texts demonstrate that the culture of male homosexual activity in the West largely revolves around adult men sexually enjoying boys and adolescent males. There are novels, non-fiction, poetry, plays, memoirs, histories, documentaries, interviews, and other texts in abundance, the most recent example being that which caused Milo Yiannopolous’s very public downfall.[22] They all provide a very similar picture: close-knit communities with their own rules of sexual engagement which are often at odds with those of the dominant culture; initiation, secrecy, substance abuse and violence. Male youth has always been the most powerful and desirable currency in this sexual world, and the younger, the better.[23]Well, that seems to me to be convenient exaggeration: that last line "the younger, the better" in particular.
I'm no expert, but my impression is that in all of the cultures where homosexual interactions between adults and youth have been more or less accepted, none extended to viewing prepubescent boys as being an appropriate target for adults.* In fact, Philippa earlier in the article says she is concentrating mainly on the 30 to 40% of victims who were teenagers, not boys, as being ones targeted by homosexual priests. Why then, in that sloppy paragraph quoted above, talk as if gay men have always aimed at the very youngest possible targets, which is (obviously) boys?
If her point is simply that post pubescent teenagers have always been a target of homosexual attention, well, there is an element of truth in that, but it's a case of a generalisation too far. True, she can cite the Greek pederasty/mentoring system (also seen in cultures such as Japan), the history of sex tourism of older white men to Europe in past centuries (or South East Asia more recently) for youthful males, even the "rent boy" reputation of The Wall in Sydney, and so on. There's no doubt that those activities show the attraction of some gay men to youth.
But on the other hand, what proportion of total sexual encounters in history between men have been with partners of roughly equal age, or at least, with both clearly adults? Really, who would know? And anyway, let's face it - heterosexual sex tourism, and use of prostitutes and pornography has a strong bias towards youth, too.
Certainly, Philippa cites a surprisingly useless study to support her case - one in which a mere 192 adults had to rank the sexual attractiveness of 15 facial photos of various ages. Big deal. (She does encourage the reader to look at a particular table in the paper, which apparently "speaks volumes". What it shows is a mystery, as there appears to be no version on line.)
In any event, I would take a guess that, if anything, the social normalisation of homosexuality in the West has led to significantly less targeting of youth by older men than previously. There are so many more outlets for sexual gratification now that there is little need to exploit a youth to satisfy it. And surely it's clear that the pro-pederasty organisations that, a few decades back, used to seek sympathy and understanding via media appearances have pretty much given up on that undertaking now. Acceptance of homosexuality between adults has not translated into any slippery slope acceptance of relationships between men and young teenagers.
Philippa, after claiming that homosexual men are invariably attracted to youth, notes that some seminaries in Australia in the late 60's to the 80's did become known for an unusually high proportion of gay seminarians and staff. I don't actually dispute that this was true - we even have Tony Abbott's experience in a seminary seems to back that up! So, the argument goes, get rid of the homosexual priest and you get rid of (some) child abuse.
While there is a sense in which that is obvious (a priesthood of pure, 100% heterosexuals - if there was any way of objectively assessing them as such - may presumably result in a lesser proportion of sexual abuse of teenage guys), it still smacks of scapegoating for a few reasons:
a. I would bet that the age of many of the abuser priests of the 70's and 80's was such that they went through seminaries prior in the 50's and early 60's, before the apparent increase in gay seminarians post Vatican 2;
b. it ignores what might have attracted a man with same sex attraction to the seminary in the first place, and that the then conservative views against homosexuality may have contributed to it. For example, young men who were fearful of their same sex attraction , and thought institutional celibacy would keep it under control; or those resigned to their sexual feelings but seeing that the priesthood was one way in which they could attain a certain social status despite of it. A third possibility (and one I think quite likely): young men who had not resolved their sexual feelings via much experience at all at the time they entered the seminary, and only later identified they were indeed attracted to men. (Perhaps because of opportunistic encounters, which they then went on to repeat.)
c. Philippa explicitly says that homosexual men are not suited to the priesthood; no ifs, no buts. (Of course, she is supported by Pope Benedict's policy introduced in 2005.) Her statement:
As to same-sex attraction, I wish I could say that men in this situation would make fine priests, but I can’t. The psychological strain placed upon a priest makes him vulnerable, and he cannot afford to have to struggle with a deep-seated sexual attraction to other men in addition to everything else. I think many people personally know priests who are in this situation, and their priesthood is rarely a happy one. The Church’s ruling on ineligibility for ordination is a sound and compassionate one, not just for the men themselves, but for those who may be at risk of being exploited by them covertly in the future when they can’t cope.Way to tell homosexuals that they just aren't capable of keeping it in their pants, so to speak, the way all righteous heterosexual priests can. Isn't this line a bit odd coming from a woman who just went through an investigation of a straight priest breaking his vow of celibacy?
The thing is, if it isn't already abundantly clear - conservative Catholics have an investment in defending the matter of clerical celibacy, despite it being not a doctrinal matter at all. Why? Because "conservative". It's reminiscent of the numbskullery of a crusty surgeon who complain that he (it's usually a he) went through hellish, ridiculous and objectively unsafe work hours and personal abuse when he went through training 40 years ago - and so trainees today should just toughen up and face the same. Evidence that it just doesn't make sense anymore (such a high suicide rate) is, as far as possible, ignored, in favour of blaming someone else for just not being tough enough.
In any event, one suspects that the overall loss of credibility of the Catholic Church on all matters pertaining to sex likely means that there are now few same sex attracted young men who would even consider becoming a priest, whether or not Benedict had made his rule. They likely no longer feel any guilt about it, can have a good career in virtually any field while being openly gay, and so the motivations they formerly might have had to consider an all male career path have gone.
Philippa, and other conservative Catholics who blame gay priests for child abuse are ignoring the bigger picture re the whole issue of celibacy its harmful effects on disencouraging good people from considering the priesthood, not to mention the widespread rejection of the entire way the Church thinks about sexuality.
Monday, May 01, 2017
Back to MKR
Of course I watched last night's grand final of My Kitchen Rules. I now have to update my recent commentary about the show:
* My big oversight on what this year's recipes indicate is "in": PICKLING. Did an episode go by in which at least one contestant wasn't pickling some vegetable or other as an accompaniment ? Oh. Actually, now that I think of it - last night's grand finale might have given it a well earned rest. And perhaps the cooking on board ship episodes? Alright, let's just say that approximately 95% of episodes featured pickled something. It seemed a tad excessive, to me.
* I've been meaning to complain about this for years: isn't it obvious to every contestant that to get not only nutty carnivore Pete Evans on side in a big way, but every other chef judge, is to get a dirt cheap big bone, bake it and bung it on the plate as marrow. They always gush about how delicious that is, yet it takes absolutely no technique to speak of, and for me, the idea of eating marrow alone is just unpleasant. (I suspect it is what gives pressure cooked osso bucco a delicious sauce, as often the marrow has melted out into the liquid, but still, the gelatinous fatty look of it by itself just puts me off.) The power of marrow on this show's judges, however, just seems ridiculously out of proportion to what it is. Last night's winning team had probably worked this out, but their main course of veal, marrow and hardly any vegetables didn't look particularly attractive to me. Of course, it won raves from the judges. .
* As for last night's final: everyone liked the Indian mother and daughter as people, but I get the feeling that the intense India-centric aspect of every single dish they could cook perhaps put them behind. (Yes, I know, last year's winners were those Indonesian sisters who did everything Asian, as did the "hashtag" team - who advertisers seemed to absolutely adore - this year. But if I were to assess South East Asian cooking versus Indian cooking, I would say that the SE Asian cuisine has at least some more variation in flavour profiles and techniques than does Indian.)
And as for Amy and Tyson, the winners: poor old Tyson gave the impression of being a socially challenged shut in who puts all his pent up energy into thinking up odd flavour combinations and innovative ways with offal. If he has a job, I would guess it's as a backroom public servant (they likely don't trust him with direct interaction with the public.)* So it felt like letting him win was somehow right in the big picture: he has the potential anger profile of a new Gordon Ramsay and seems perfectly suited to the unsocial hours and isolation of being a chef.
But, despite all of that - many of the dishes he and his sister put up were basically unappealing to the average person, I reckon. Sweetbreads last night! Didn't they do brains early on? Putting pickles on dessert? No, sorry, give me the good curry from the other team, any day.
* my usual disclaimer: this impression of his personality outside of the TV show could, of course, be completely wrong. (Although any 20 something year old who does no social media of any type whatsoever is, well, unusual.)
* My big oversight on what this year's recipes indicate is "in": PICKLING. Did an episode go by in which at least one contestant wasn't pickling some vegetable or other as an accompaniment ? Oh. Actually, now that I think of it - last night's grand finale might have given it a well earned rest. And perhaps the cooking on board ship episodes? Alright, let's just say that approximately 95% of episodes featured pickled something. It seemed a tad excessive, to me.
* I've been meaning to complain about this for years: isn't it obvious to every contestant that to get not only nutty carnivore Pete Evans on side in a big way, but every other chef judge, is to get a dirt cheap big bone, bake it and bung it on the plate as marrow. They always gush about how delicious that is, yet it takes absolutely no technique to speak of, and for me, the idea of eating marrow alone is just unpleasant. (I suspect it is what gives pressure cooked osso bucco a delicious sauce, as often the marrow has melted out into the liquid, but still, the gelatinous fatty look of it by itself just puts me off.) The power of marrow on this show's judges, however, just seems ridiculously out of proportion to what it is. Last night's winning team had probably worked this out, but their main course of veal, marrow and hardly any vegetables didn't look particularly attractive to me. Of course, it won raves from the judges. .
* As for last night's final: everyone liked the Indian mother and daughter as people, but I get the feeling that the intense India-centric aspect of every single dish they could cook perhaps put them behind. (Yes, I know, last year's winners were those Indonesian sisters who did everything Asian, as did the "hashtag" team - who advertisers seemed to absolutely adore - this year. But if I were to assess South East Asian cooking versus Indian cooking, I would say that the SE Asian cuisine has at least some more variation in flavour profiles and techniques than does Indian.)
And as for Amy and Tyson, the winners: poor old Tyson gave the impression of being a socially challenged shut in who puts all his pent up energy into thinking up odd flavour combinations and innovative ways with offal. If he has a job, I would guess it's as a backroom public servant (they likely don't trust him with direct interaction with the public.)* So it felt like letting him win was somehow right in the big picture: he has the potential anger profile of a new Gordon Ramsay and seems perfectly suited to the unsocial hours and isolation of being a chef.
But, despite all of that - many of the dishes he and his sister put up were basically unappealing to the average person, I reckon. Sweetbreads last night! Didn't they do brains early on? Putting pickles on dessert? No, sorry, give me the good curry from the other team, any day.
* my usual disclaimer: this impression of his personality outside of the TV show could, of course, be completely wrong. (Although any 20 something year old who does no social media of any type whatsoever is, well, unusual.)
Sunday, April 30, 2017
Successfully smoking fish
Given how much I like eating smoked fish (or smoked anything, really), it's a wonder that I haven't previously tried hot smoking trout in the Weber kettle barbecue.
I think the reason was that the only curing recipe in the Weber official cookbook I have involved a dry cure in lots of salt. That always seemed to me to be unduly wasteful (even though salt is pretty cheap), and I have never given it a try.
But today, I googled around and found this American guy's* straight forward recipe, involving a salt and sugar curing brine, and gave it a try tonight on rainbow trout fillets. (Two trout, filleted, gives a satisfying one big smoked fillet per person.)
It worked a treat.
For my future reference:
One quart of water is close enough to 950 ml. The brine of 2 tablespoons of salt, and a 1/4 cup of brown sugar, worked fine. I had the fish in it for about 4 hours, but I suspect longer might have been better. (The saltiness was OK, but could have perhaps gone longer.)
For cooking - used about 22 pieces of charcoal (I think), and two good handfuls of soaked hickory chips. One handful still only smokes for about 15 minutes, so I put second handful on after that. Total cooking time was 45 minutes.
.* it seems he is particularly fond of pressure cookers, like I am, so I should read his site more.
I think the reason was that the only curing recipe in the Weber official cookbook I have involved a dry cure in lots of salt. That always seemed to me to be unduly wasteful (even though salt is pretty cheap), and I have never given it a try.
But today, I googled around and found this American guy's* straight forward recipe, involving a salt and sugar curing brine, and gave it a try tonight on rainbow trout fillets. (Two trout, filleted, gives a satisfying one big smoked fillet per person.)
It worked a treat.
For my future reference:
One quart of water is close enough to 950 ml. The brine of 2 tablespoons of salt, and a 1/4 cup of brown sugar, worked fine. I had the fish in it for about 4 hours, but I suspect longer might have been better. (The saltiness was OK, but could have perhaps gone longer.)
For cooking - used about 22 pieces of charcoal (I think), and two good handfuls of soaked hickory chips. One handful still only smokes for about 15 minutes, so I put second handful on after that. Total cooking time was 45 minutes.
.* it seems he is particularly fond of pressure cookers, like I am, so I should read his site more.
Back to Laffer
Quartz magazine succinctly describes what's wrong with the Laffer curve:
The problem is, this tidy arc of cause and consequence doesn’t exist in the real world. Sure, extremely high tax rates douse economic activity. But there’s no reason to assume the relationship between tax revenue and tax rates is perfectly U-shaped. And the equilibrium point at which a government collects the most revenue possible without dragging down the economy is impossible to know—and varies by country. There was no reason in 1974—or, for that matter, now—to think the US was on the curve’s “prohibitive” half (many economists put the inflection point for the highest marginal tax rate at around 70%). In fact, without detailed data, you can’t tell where on Laffer’s curve (or non-curve) you are at all.
Laffer’s general idea of supply-side stimulus can sometimes work. Cutting tax rates that primarily benefit rich people shifts wealth from the middle classes to the rich. That might sound unfair, but in developing countries where there’s not enough money to fund the investment needed to spur growth, a Laffer-style policy could (temporarily) help stimulate economic expansion by channelling wealth to potential investors.
But this scenario is not applicable to the US. Private investment tends to ebb and flow with the business cycle; when demand is feeble, so is investment. Cutting taxes on America’s rich isn’t going to encourage them to invest more—they already have plenty to spend and aren’t spending it. Worse, by shifting wealth from middle class families to the moneyed few—a group that is able to consume far less than the working masses—this sort of policy suffocates demand even more. Slowing demand drags on growth, causing debt and unemployment to rise.
Saturday, April 29, 2017
A classic of the romantic deception genre
Wow. As stories of romantic deception by compulsive liars go, the confessional, true life account of Stephanie Wood in today's Good Weekend magazine in the Sydney Morning Herald is a great one.
I can't quite work out, though, whether I should feel just a little bit guilty over enjoying it so much. But I suppose it's the same as reading about a serial killer husband who kept his secret from his wife - it's the curiosity about how the deception was exposed, and how extensive it turned out to be, that is the hook.
I can't quite work out, though, whether I should feel just a little bit guilty over enjoying it so much. But I suppose it's the same as reading about a serial killer husband who kept his secret from his wife - it's the curiosity about how the deception was exposed, and how extensive it turned out to be, that is the hook.
Friday, April 28, 2017
Looking on the bright(er) side
A couple of weeks back, I wondered out loud whether we really have the right impression about how the black American population is doing economically.
Well, here's an article in the New York Times that shows that, at least, the black upper middle class is acting doing better and better. And the education trends aren't looking bad, too:
Well, here's an article in the New York Times that shows that, at least, the black upper middle class is acting doing better and better. And the education trends aren't looking bad, too:
The most important trend driving African-American gains at the top can be found in the data on higher education. Between 1980 and 2016, the percentage of African Americans over the age of 25 who had completed a four-year college education tripled from 7.9 percent to 23.9 percent.
Top-flight colleges and universities have played a crucial role in the growth of a black upper middle class.
According to a January 2016 report in the Journal of Blacks In Higher Education, eight highly selective universities (Columbia, Stanford, Harvard, Yale, Emory, Vanderbilt, Duke and the University of Pennsylvania) and five highly selective colleges (Amherst, Pomona, Barnard, Wesleyan and Williams) had freshmen classes with 10 percent or more African-Americans in them. Many of these selective schools had notably high black graduation rates, ranging from 83 to 96 percent.
What a way to run a Presidency
From Politico:
One key development: White House aides have figured out that it’s best not to present Trump with too many competing options when it comes to matters of policy or strategy. Instead, the way to win Trump over, they say, is to present him a single preferred course of action and then walk him through what the outcome could be – and especially how it will play in the press.So how do the aides come to work out the "preferred course of action" before they put it before the boss? Especially given a lot of them are in high conflict?
“You don’t walk in with a traditional presentation, like a binder or a PowerPoint. He doesn’t care. He doesn’t consume information that way,” said one senior administration official. “You go in and tell him the pros and cons, and what the media coverage is going to be like.”
Downplaying the downside risk of a decision can win out in the short term. But the risk is a presidential dressing-down—delivered in a yell. “You don’t want to be the person who sold him on something that turned out to be a bad idea,” the person said.
Advisers have tried to curtail Trump’s idle hours, hoping to prevent him from watching cable news or calling old friends and then tweeting about it. That only works during the workday, though—Trump’s evenings and weekends have remained largely his own.
Adam and morality
So Adam Creighton urges caution about the (apparent) Trump tax plan working out all that great.
He likes the company tax cuts, but is doubtful about any economic benefit from the personal tax cuts. This line, though, shows what a jumble of thoughts he is:
He likes the company tax cuts, but is doubtful about any economic benefit from the personal tax cuts. This line, though, shows what a jumble of thoughts he is:
The moral case for cutting taxes — “hands off my money” — is stronger than the economic case. On the other hand, the Trump plan could ratchet up inequality — already severe — to levels not seen since ancient times.So he is acknowledging that inequality, at too severe a level, is immoral? Which makes quite a puzzle of his years long finger pointing, in the Australian context, of the number of households not paying any net tax.
Thursday, April 27, 2017
Send us your women
Ah, the Faroe Islands - I don't think I had even heard of them before a Foreign Correspondent story a few years ago.
Anyway, the BBC has a story about how quite a few men there are getting their wives from the much, much warmer climes of South East Asia:
Anyway, the BBC has a story about how quite a few men there are getting their wives from the much, much warmer climes of South East Asia:
There are now more than 300 women from Thailand and Philippines living in the Faroes. It doesn't sound like a lot, but in a population of just 50,000 people they now make up the largest ethnic minority in these 18 islands, located between Norway and Iceland.Fermented mutton! I suppose it couldn't be worse than those Scandinavian swollen cans of fermented fish that make people vomit at the very smell. Or could it...?
In recent years the Faroes have experienced population decline, with young people leaving, often in search of education, and not returning. Women have proved more likely to settle abroad. As a result, according to Prime Minister Axel Johannesen, the Faroes have a "gender deficit" with approximately 2,000 fewer women than men.
This, in turn, has lead Faroese men to look beyond the islands for romance. Many, though not all, of the Asian women met their husbands online, some through commercial dating websites. Others have made connections through social media networks or existing Asian-Faroese couples.
For the new arrivals, the culture shock can be dramatic.
Officially part of the Kingdom of Denmark, the Faroes have their own language (derived from Old Norse) and a very distinctive culture - especially when it comes to food. Fermented mutton, dried cod and occasional whale meat and blubber are typical of the strong flavours here, with none of the traditional herbs and spices of Asian cooking.
Thank God they're not in the 60's
This is the sort of story I'm reluctant to post about, because trivia doesn't really deserve it.
But Michelle Grattan's headline has it right: Abdel-Magid Anzac row is a storm over not much.
Is it ever.
Now I perfectly understand that people, especially on the Right-ish side of politics, may not like her views as a sort of politically correct Muslim. I hardly pay her any attention, but she was one of the ninnies who complained bitterly about Lionel Shriver's not unreasonable criticism of the anti-cultural appropriation set in Brisbane last year, after all; so yeah, she's probably quite the annoying twit.
But the reaction to her ANZAC Day tweet by Right wing culture warriors in the Murdoch press, and politicians, was ridiculously out of proportion. It demonstrates:
a. a complete sanctimonious and un-selfaware hypocrisy, when they complain about Lefties, like her, going out of their way to take offence on matters such as identity politics. I mean, yeah, way to show people how to not completely over-react to a mild political comment promptly apologised for in any event;
b. as Grattan argued, a complete lack of historical perspective as to how ANZAC Day was directly criticised in the past, before it underwent its remarkable transformation into a "sacred" day. I mean, I like the way it is respected now, but I never lost sleep as a young man if there was routine cynicism of it from certain anti-militarism circles. Thank God Blair, Bolt, Devine, etc etc were still kiddies at the height of anti-establishment protest of the 60's and early 70's. They would have been bursting blood vessels at the news every single night.
c. a complete lack of proportion in terms of priorities for any politician who used it as the flimsiest grounds on which to attack the ABC for, I don't know, not being Fox News or Russia Today.
But Michelle Grattan's headline has it right: Abdel-Magid Anzac row is a storm over not much.
Is it ever.
Now I perfectly understand that people, especially on the Right-ish side of politics, may not like her views as a sort of politically correct Muslim. I hardly pay her any attention, but she was one of the ninnies who complained bitterly about Lionel Shriver's not unreasonable criticism of the anti-cultural appropriation set in Brisbane last year, after all; so yeah, she's probably quite the annoying twit.
But the reaction to her ANZAC Day tweet by Right wing culture warriors in the Murdoch press, and politicians, was ridiculously out of proportion. It demonstrates:
a. a complete sanctimonious and un-selfaware hypocrisy, when they complain about Lefties, like her, going out of their way to take offence on matters such as identity politics. I mean, yeah, way to show people how to not completely over-react to a mild political comment promptly apologised for in any event;
b. as Grattan argued, a complete lack of historical perspective as to how ANZAC Day was directly criticised in the past, before it underwent its remarkable transformation into a "sacred" day. I mean, I like the way it is respected now, but I never lost sleep as a young man if there was routine cynicism of it from certain anti-militarism circles. Thank God Blair, Bolt, Devine, etc etc were still kiddies at the height of anti-establishment protest of the 60's and early 70's. They would have been bursting blood vessels at the news every single night.
c. a complete lack of proportion in terms of priorities for any politician who used it as the flimsiest grounds on which to attack the ABC for, I don't know, not being Fox News or Russia Today.
Wednesday, April 26, 2017
Equality in Japan
Gee, another good long read today - this one in The Guardian about the very low amount of economic inequality across Japan, the reasons for it, and how that may be changing.
Transhumanism and Christianity
There's a long essay here by a woman who lost her faith in Christianity, and then moved her faith, so to speak, to transhumanism.
I hadn't really much thought about the parallels between transhumanism and (some) religious ideas before (and perhaps Jason Soon was the first to mention them to me), but this essay makes them clear and it is a very good read. Here is a key section:
There is much, much more in the essay setting out the pre-history of transhumanism, so to speak. It's also good in that it points out that Christians, with their disdain for humans "playing God" with biology (and, I think, rather appropriately, for fear of inadvertent suffering that such experimentation risks), are perceived by some transhumanists as the enemy of transhumanist progress.
I'm certainly a skeptic when it comes to the idea of uploading mind into a computer - it makes for good imaginative stories in science fiction, but Kurzweil's optimism about when it could be achieved is just over the top. On the other hand, if he is right, I didn't realise that a comment I made here once, that a reason for keeping this blog running is so that it might aid my virtual resurrection in the distant future, is an idea directly derived from Kurzweil:
Anyway, go read the essay.
I hadn't really much thought about the parallels between transhumanism and (some) religious ideas before (and perhaps Jason Soon was the first to mention them to me), but this essay makes them clear and it is a very good read. Here is a key section:
Of course, mind uploading has spurred all kinds of philosophical anxieties. If the pattern of your consciousness is transferred onto a computer, is the pattern “you” or a simulation of your mind? Another camp of transhumanists have argued that Kurzweil’s theories are essentially dualistic, and that the mind cannot be separated from the body. You are not “you” without your fingernails and your gut bacteria. Transhumanists of this faction insist that resurrection can happen only if it is bodily resurrection. They tend to favor cryonics and bionics, which promise to resurrect the entire body or else supplement the living form with technologies to indefinitely extend life.It is perhaps not coincidental that an ideology that grew out of Christian eschatology would come to inherit its philosophical problems. The question of whether the resurrection would be corporeal or merely spiritual was an obsessive point of debate among early Christians. One faction, which included the Gnostic sects, argued that only the soul would survive death; another insisted that the resurrection was not a true resurrection unless it revived the body. For these latter believers — whose view would ultimately become orthodox — Christ served as the model. Jesus had been brought back in the flesh, which suggested that the body was a psychosomatic unit. In contrast to Hellenistic philosophy, which believed the afterlife would be purely spiritual, Christians came to believe that the soul was inseparable from the body. In one of the most famous treatises on the resurrection, the theologian Tertullian of Carthage wrote: “If God raises not men entire, He raises not the dead. . . . Thus our flesh shall remain even after the resurrection.”
There is much, much more in the essay setting out the pre-history of transhumanism, so to speak. It's also good in that it points out that Christians, with their disdain for humans "playing God" with biology (and, I think, rather appropriately, for fear of inadvertent suffering that such experimentation risks), are perceived by some transhumanists as the enemy of transhumanist progress.
I'm certainly a skeptic when it comes to the idea of uploading mind into a computer - it makes for good imaginative stories in science fiction, but Kurzweil's optimism about when it could be achieved is just over the top. On the other hand, if he is right, I didn't realise that a comment I made here once, that a reason for keeping this blog running is so that it might aid my virtual resurrection in the distant future, is an idea directly derived from Kurzweil:
“I do plan to bring back my father,” Ray Kurzweil says. He is standing in the anemic light of a storage unit, his frame dwarfed by towers of cardboard boxes and oblong plastic bins. He wears tinted eyeglasses. He is in his early sixties, but something about the light or his posture, his paunch protruding over his beltline, makes him seem older. Kurzweil is now a director of engineering at Google, but this documentary was filmed in 2009, back when it was still possible to regard him as a lone visionary with eccentric ideas about the future. The boxes in the storage unit contain the remnants of his father’s life: photographs, letters, newspaper clippings, and financial documents. For decades, he has been compiling these artifacts and storing them in this sepulcher he maintains near his house in Newton, Massachusetts. He takes out a notebook filled with his father’s handwriting and shows it to the camera. His father passed away in 1970, but Kurzweil believes that, one day, artificial intelligence will be able to use the memorabilia, along with DNA samples, to resurrect him. “People do live on in our memories, and in the creative works they leave behind,” he muses, “so we can gather up all those vibrations and bring them back, I believe.”I've just got to get some of my DNA details embedded into this blog somehow, and I'll be back!
Anyway, go read the essay.
Stopping the Singapore health care fantasy
Well, I don't think I have ever read a better explanation of the Singaporean health care system than that by Ezra Klein at Vox.
And what is excellent about it is that it makes something clear that I've been muttering here for a couple of years - it's actually kind of ridiculous that some of the the American Conservative or Libertarian Right keep talking about it as if it is something Americans can emulate. As Klein explains carefully, all they are doing is pointing to one or two elements of it, the ones that align with their personal responsibility ideology, while completely ignoring the big picture that it only can work that way in Singapore because of an enormous amount of government control and intervention. (And not only that, but it is comparing what one tiny city State can achieve when it is setting up a system from scratch, in a population with high trust in government, and laws which control many things somewhat relevant to heath services - such as high taxes on alcohol, the low use of cars and preventing gun ownership.)
I think it is really a fantasy that America will be able to emulate Singapore in any substantial way at all, and the reason why is because of the fundamental ideology of the same American Right that keeps on oo-ing and ah-ing about how good Singapore looks. (I should add - there is also the practical matter of whether it is really in any way practically possible to un-do the long standing American system completely enough to be able to revamp it in the image of Singapore.)
It's also somewhat akin to my other complaint of even longer standing - about the libertarian inclined who have been simplistically praising for years the Portuguese decriminalisation of drug use, while completely ignoring that the system there (with its potential to force users into rehabilitation) is quite contra libertarianism. Sure, the American Right might learn one lesson from that - that their beloved compulsory sentencing and such like is too harsh and probably counterproductive for small time users - but they are also the side of politics least likely to endorse (or fund) compulsory rehabilitation services on principle.
And what is excellent about it is that it makes something clear that I've been muttering here for a couple of years - it's actually kind of ridiculous that some of the the American Conservative or Libertarian Right keep talking about it as if it is something Americans can emulate. As Klein explains carefully, all they are doing is pointing to one or two elements of it, the ones that align with their personal responsibility ideology, while completely ignoring the big picture that it only can work that way in Singapore because of an enormous amount of government control and intervention. (And not only that, but it is comparing what one tiny city State can achieve when it is setting up a system from scratch, in a population with high trust in government, and laws which control many things somewhat relevant to heath services - such as high taxes on alcohol, the low use of cars and preventing gun ownership.)
I think it is really a fantasy that America will be able to emulate Singapore in any substantial way at all, and the reason why is because of the fundamental ideology of the same American Right that keeps on oo-ing and ah-ing about how good Singapore looks. (I should add - there is also the practical matter of whether it is really in any way practically possible to un-do the long standing American system completely enough to be able to revamp it in the image of Singapore.)
It's also somewhat akin to my other complaint of even longer standing - about the libertarian inclined who have been simplistically praising for years the Portuguese decriminalisation of drug use, while completely ignoring that the system there (with its potential to force users into rehabilitation) is quite contra libertarianism. Sure, the American Right might learn one lesson from that - that their beloved compulsory sentencing and such like is too harsh and probably counterproductive for small time users - but they are also the side of politics least likely to endorse (or fund) compulsory rehabilitation services on principle.
Tuesday, April 25, 2017
Things I've learnt this year from MKR
Time for my annual confession that the only reality TV competition cooking show I watch is My Kitchen Rules, and each year I learn something about current culinary fashion. (Saves me going to expensive restaurants to find out.)
In previous years, it was that putting a shambles of dish components on the plate and calling it "deconstructed" was a thing. That silly idea seems to have well and truly gone. I get the impression it is now viewed with cringing embarrassment that it ever was a fashion.
In other years, using the sous-vide method to cook virtually any protein seemed to be very in fashion. Or maybe it was just one team that was obsessed with it - I'm not sure.
I get the feeling, from this year's show, that confit is also perhaps not as "in" as it was recently. Sure, there was some confit going on this year, but nothing at all like the ridiculous number of times it was used only a season or two ago.
As for what's "in" this year: there is (apparently) a huge revival in the use of the pressure cooker - which is something I'm very pleased to see, because some of my nicest meals come out of one, yet I had the impression that many people are scared to use them.
The only novel thing I've noticed is the use of smoking gun by the somewhat creepy brother/sister team. Didn't know they existed.
As for the show's format - its patent and obvious manipulation [in terms of editing, and (what one might call) the character arcs that are built into a season*] are so familiar but I think still work almost because of the predictability. My theory is that it makes the audience feel smarter, this understanding of how they are being manipulated.** However, I do feel that this year they went too far into the "relationship crisis" storylines, and the gormless "seafood king" and his long suffering wife felt just rather too mean and manipulative of the couple.
The show still rates well, I see, and I'll still watch it next year. (Not that every single episode is worth viewing - I have to miss a few "home restaurant" instalments each year, otherwise it is too much.)
* surely everyone's noticed that one of the initial baddies turns out to more or less a sympathetic girl or guy by the end?
** or is it like TV wrestling, where it's not clear how much of the audience realises that it is a willing participant in a pantomime?
In previous years, it was that putting a shambles of dish components on the plate and calling it "deconstructed" was a thing. That silly idea seems to have well and truly gone. I get the impression it is now viewed with cringing embarrassment that it ever was a fashion.
In other years, using the sous-vide method to cook virtually any protein seemed to be very in fashion. Or maybe it was just one team that was obsessed with it - I'm not sure.
I get the feeling, from this year's show, that confit is also perhaps not as "in" as it was recently. Sure, there was some confit going on this year, but nothing at all like the ridiculous number of times it was used only a season or two ago.
As for what's "in" this year: there is (apparently) a huge revival in the use of the pressure cooker - which is something I'm very pleased to see, because some of my nicest meals come out of one, yet I had the impression that many people are scared to use them.
The only novel thing I've noticed is the use of smoking gun by the somewhat creepy brother/sister team. Didn't know they existed.
As for the show's format - its patent and obvious manipulation [in terms of editing, and (what one might call) the character arcs that are built into a season*] are so familiar but I think still work almost because of the predictability. My theory is that it makes the audience feel smarter, this understanding of how they are being manipulated.** However, I do feel that this year they went too far into the "relationship crisis" storylines, and the gormless "seafood king" and his long suffering wife felt just rather too mean and manipulative of the couple.
The show still rates well, I see, and I'll still watch it next year. (Not that every single episode is worth viewing - I have to miss a few "home restaurant" instalments each year, otherwise it is too much.)
* surely everyone's noticed that one of the initial baddies turns out to more or less a sympathetic girl or guy by the end?
** or is it like TV wrestling, where it's not clear how much of the audience realises that it is a willing participant in a pantomime?
Tidying up the links
I've been doing some blog roll tidying up, and note the following:
* added STAT, which is pretty good health and medicine site from the US
* added Crux, which seems to have decent Catholic commentary (not entirely sure where it fits on the conservative/liberal spectrum, though.)
* io9 link was recently changed by Gizmodo so it redirected to Australian Gizmodo - so I've changed the link to take you to US Gizmodo, where at the top is the link to io9.
* added the site for the Society for Psychical Research, which has been revamped and holds a lot more reading material and news than it ever used to. Despite the old fashioned name, it has always been a very reputable source for information on most things paranormal.
* fixed up the link to Asahi Shimbun, for Japanese and Asian news.
There are probably some more links sites I should delete because I just rarely use them, but they can stay for now.
Update: nearly forgot - have added Axios, with its unique short, sharp and fast style.
* added STAT, which is pretty good health and medicine site from the US
* added Crux, which seems to have decent Catholic commentary (not entirely sure where it fits on the conservative/liberal spectrum, though.)
* io9 link was recently changed by Gizmodo so it redirected to Australian Gizmodo - so I've changed the link to take you to US Gizmodo, where at the top is the link to io9.
* added the site for the Society for Psychical Research, which has been revamped and holds a lot more reading material and news than it ever used to. Despite the old fashioned name, it has always been a very reputable source for information on most things paranormal.
* fixed up the link to Asahi Shimbun, for Japanese and Asian news.
There are probably some more links sites I should delete because I just rarely use them, but they can stay for now.
Update: nearly forgot - have added Axios, with its unique short, sharp and fast style.
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