Friday, September 13, 2019

Yet more "what climate change looks like"

From The Guardian:
Parts of eastern Spain received what in some places was the heaviest rainfall on record on Thursday, as storms wreaked widespread destruction and killed at least two people.

The regional emergency service said a 51-year-old woman and her 61-year-old brother had been found dead in an overturned car that floodwaters had washed away in Caudete, about 60 miles (100km) south of Valencia, the private Spanish news agency Europa Press reported.


While on the topic of increased floods from climate change, a recent study at Nature confirmed that climate change is both increasing floods in parts of Europe, and decreasing them in other parts:
Our results—arising from the most complete database of European flooding so far—suggest that: increasing autumn and winter rainfall has resulted in increasing floods in northwestern Europe; decreasing precipitation and increasing evaporation have led to decreasing floods in medium and large catchments in southern Europe; and decreasing snow cover and snowmelt, resulting from warmer temperatures, have led to decreasing floods in eastern Europe. Regional flood discharge trends in Europe range from an increase of about 11 per cent per decade to a decrease of 23 per cent. Notwithstanding the spatial and temporal heterogeneity of the observational record, the flood changes identified here are broadly consistent with climate model projections for the next century4,5, suggesting that climate-driven changes are already happening and supporting calls for the consideration of climate change in flood risk management.
Of course, this will cause simple minded, dumb people, like Bolt, Blair and anyone at Catallaxy, to have a headache, because they cannot conceive that climate change is not exactly the same in every part of the world.

4 comments:

GMB said...

Do you mean "climate change" as in climate change? Or climate change as in CO2-release? Be good if you anti-science types could speak English.

GMB said...

So CO2 doesn't nucleate raindrops, helps improve soils and doesn't alter the electrical effects that drive weather. Severe weather events are more common during the colder times than the warmer times. But you want to take the attention off the need for soil building and water retention landscapes and instead mindlessly go along with the CO2 superstition?

GMB said...

If we wanted to provide 5 days a fortnight job for all reasonably abled people at a living wage, here we have all these great things to do. Land needs to be sculptured for water retention. This has to get done to avoid droughts and floods and to develop soil. And for basic survivability under wartime conditions.

We need the jobs programs to accommodate the transition of tens of thousands of people out of the public service because its not welfare to old, sick and unemployed people that is killing us. Its public servant employment welfare. Obviously we also need to develop a system of pigs, goats and electric fences to bring fuel levels down. Burning is wasteful, and comparatively speaking, it degrades the land. Wood gathering and controlled grazing is a much better idea. We can kick this off inefficiently with a jobs program first, and then later when we have our policy really sorted out it can be done commercially.

So these problems are not an excuse to too quickly move away from hydro-carbons, without a sane replacement. But they are an excuse to provide a lot of people who need more income with guaranteed work. You know our struggling old folks who need an income boost. So many of them can work. Just not every day. Every day work is a bit too rugged. 5 days a fortnight to boost their income to a happy level, is quite doable because so much needs to get done.

GMB said...

What we cannot do is provide a living wage for full-time work. We cannot provide any sort of jobs program without massively cutting public service jobs. Thats another category of policy that comes under hyper-Keynesian modern monetary theory idiocy. Thats going to bankrupt any country. I cannot endorse such an idea. But with massive reductions in public sector employment we could start providing a 5 day a fortnight at minimum wage deal. And this idea that we can continue banker and finance sector welfarism has to be sent to the fires as not only economically bad, but plain disgusting.

These bankers are raping retirees (meaning everyone) on a daily basis. Goldman Sachs can have hundreds of days without a day losing on trades. Thats not clever or success. Its just stealing.