Friday, October 16, 2020

The Hunter Biden effect

It's only been a day or so, but my guess about the effect of the New York Post's Hunter Biden's emails is that it will influence barely one voter towards Trump.   Here's a bunch of reasons why:

 *  while I would guess, given the lack of adamant denials from the Hunter Biden camp, that the emails are likely real, the question of how they got to Giuliani and the Post is just weird and, at the very best, so sleazy.   Who honestly thinks it's right that a computer repair guy who doesn't get paid $84 should not only claim it's his, but pass it onto political operatives?   Unless you have the most extreme case of criminality obvious from a cursory examination (say, obvious unhidden folders of porn or snuff videos or something like that), wouldn't you expect the repair man to not read emails and just format the hard drive and re-sell it, or give it away?    That said, it's very weird in itself that a laptop full of work emails would be forgotten about by whoever left it there.  

*  it's also quite on the cards, given apparent intelligence reports, that some of the emails being disclosed are not from the computer at all but from a Russian hack on Burisma itself.  This hack was reported in the NYT in January.    The stink of repeat Russian interference is all over this.

*  The Post's second day of reporting about it is about a bunch of emails to do with Hunter's involvement in Chinese operations.   I read the report and it didn't sound like anything obviously illegal going on.   If that is the best they've got, after only the second day, I don't think it's going anywhere.

*  Trump voters think it's a HUGE deal, but they, after all, the stupidest self gas-lite people on the planet.   They are completely unable (or too stupid) to acknowledge the hypocrisy of Trump going on about nepotism in politics and making money.    Those inclined to the Democrats already openly acknowledged that it was a bad look for Hunter to be have dealing with Burisma and presumed he was there due to political connections, so confirmation of that is not going to sway them away from Biden Snr.

*  Even if it was proved that Joe Biden had met with a Burisma executive, and had lied about it, the alternative is to vote for a character who just lies and makes stuff up as his entire political modus operandi.   Even (I would guess) half of his base knows Trumps bullshits - they just don't care that he does, for reasons we have been over many times.  A democrat suddenly voting for Trump because of this is just not going to happen. [He says, fingers crossed.]


5 comments:

Not Trampis said...

This came from Rudy the Russian agent

John said...

There is something about this that doesn't smell right. Who leaves a mac with an unknown mac dealer containing so much sensitive information and never bothers to pick it up? The proper course would be to have someone come to your premises to fix it and certainly not leaving it lying in a shop. The bloke doesn't even know if it was Hunter Biden who dropped it off which is unlikely because he was hundreds of miles away at the time the shop owner claimed the mac was dropped off. $84 is very cheap, that doesn't seem right and trawling through the hard drive is something that shouldn't be done.

The story is falling flat because it smells too much and the rest of the media don't want to start peddling something that reeks of a set up.

In the last week the trend is clearly to Biden. Steve, take a breather and get ready for the Catallaxy crowd going BS crazy. One saving consolation is that a Biden win will result in Kates being institutionalised. That should have happened long ago.

Not Trampis said...

FBI has had this for 10 months and done nothing

Anonymous said...

Delusion alert

GMB said...

You have the mind of Rachel Maddow. She gets paid $30 000 a day to lay out this fake version of leftism. Leftism which is in no way concerned for better pay for the low-paid worker. But instead is interested in all kinds of lies. Mindless lies. Lies for their own sake.