Europe's a lovely looking place (that, unfortunately, I have not actually seen much of in person), but it does somewhat tarnish its reputation for being more progressive (and therefore nicer) than the deplorable infected governments of the United States when you read articles like this one about the "slave labour" picking tomatoes in Italy. (Remember though that Spain also has a terrible reputation for exploiting immigrant labour in vegetable growing. I posted about Simon Reeve revealing episode 4 of his Mediterranean series about that topic not so long ago.)
Mind you, Australia's treatment of backpackers in rural areas is also often a disgrace - but at least they are free to give up and return home.
Friday, June 21, 2019
Would Trump be told if UFOs were alien in some sense?
While I'm not sure that there would ever be any strong reason for any US government agency to not want the public to know the Truth about UFO's (in the sense of them being of non human origin), you would have to suspect that any such agency would not want Trump told if they thought it best be kept from the public, for the time being at least.
This speculation is brought about by news of some Senators getting a Pentagon briefing about the Navy UFO cases, and Trump in his recent interview responding that he doesn't "particularly" believe in UFOs.
This speculation is brought about by news of some Senators getting a Pentagon briefing about the Navy UFO cases, and Trump in his recent interview responding that he doesn't "particularly" believe in UFOs.
The transparent motivations of libertarians, and why private currencies are a bad idea
Ha! I reckon it's perfectly clear that the enthusiastic reception to the Facebook currency (and future alternative private currencies) given by the RMIT libertarian set of Potts, Davidson and Berg in the AFR this morning (which can be read via the ever ridiculous Catallaxy) is explained by their thinking that it will give them the form of government they want - small, tax starved and with limited spending power.
As such, they spend next to no time talking about the obvious problems of private currency - instead they see both dollar signs in front of their eyes (Australia should enthusiastically try to become a base for future private currencies, they argue) and the thrill that governments will be crushed if they try to step in the way of the inevitable, glorious, future of having less control over an economy. Take this line, for example:
As for why private currencies are a problem that should not be welcomed, the New York Times has a good article today:
Launching a Global Currency Is a Bold, Bad Move for Facebook
It lists four problems with the idea: the first, that there is doubt it will be set up with all of the safeguards for misuse of a currency that governments and banks spend much money and time on establishing:
Second, the US (at least?) stops banks from getting into other commerce areas in order to prevent exploiting commercial information against customer interests. Can any Facebook associated enterprise be trusted not to do that?
The third: if as successful as Zuckerberg hopes, it may be yet another financial entity that is "too big to fail" on a global scale.
And last, I'll just quote this one:
As such, they spend next to no time talking about the obvious problems of private currency - instead they see both dollar signs in front of their eyes (Australia should enthusiastically try to become a base for future private currencies, they argue) and the thrill that governments will be crushed if they try to step in the way of the inevitable, glorious, future of having less control over an economy. Take this line, for example:
Governments that pursue irresponsible fiscal policies will see even greater capital flight.As usual, then, libertarians are best ignored as ideologically driven money lovers always prepared to downplay the common good if it steps in the way of anyone - especially the already rich - making more money. Their worst sin, of course, for which they should never be forgiven: address global warming? - no, that might mean a new form of tax, so they would rather run a disinformation campaign to cripple united Western political action for 30 years while their mining friends add to their billions.
As for why private currencies are a problem that should not be welcomed, the New York Times has a good article today:
Launching a Global Currency Is a Bold, Bad Move for Facebook
It lists four problems with the idea: the first, that there is doubt it will be set up with all of the safeguards for misuse of a currency that governments and banks spend much money and time on establishing:
Banks pay attention to details, complying with regulations to prevent money-laundering, terrorist financing, tax avoidance and counterfeiting. Recreating such a complex system is not a project that an institution with the level of privacy and technical problems like Facebook should be leading. (Or worse, failing to recreate such safeguards could facilitate money-laundering, terrorist financing, tax avoidance and counterfeiting.)
Second, the US (at least?) stops banks from getting into other commerce areas in order to prevent exploiting commercial information against customer interests. Can any Facebook associated enterprise be trusted not to do that?
The third: if as successful as Zuckerberg hopes, it may be yet another financial entity that is "too big to fail" on a global scale.
And last, I'll just quote this one:
Enabling an open flow of money across all borders is a political choice best made by governments. And openness isn’t always good. For instance, most nations, especially the United States, use economic sanctions to bar individuals, countries or companies from using our financial system in ways that harm our interests. Sanctions enforcement flows through the banking system — if you can’t bank in dollars, you can’t use dollars. With the success of a private parallel currency, government sanctions could lose their bite. Should Facebook and a supermajority of venture capitalists and tech executives really be deciding whether North Korean sanctions can succeed? Of course not.
A permissionless currency system based on a consensus of large private actors across open protocols sounds nice, but it’s not democracy. Today, American bank regulators and central bankers are hired and fired by publicly elected leaders. Libra payments regulators would be hired and fired by a self-selected council of corporations. There are ways to characterize such a system, but democratic is not one of them.
Thursday, June 20, 2019
No one trusts Zuckerberg*
He is such a weird looking and acting man, it's no wonder there is a lot of instant antagonism to Zuckerberg setting up his own Facebook currency. This article at The Conversation is a big ramble, but the woman writing it (gee, I wonder what her sexuality is) really dislikes Facebook quite intensely, by the sounds.
I even saw on IPA Twitter Chris Berg talking about it, saying something about governments should be fearing this big time. So not only do Sinclair Davidson and Berg now seemingly make a large part of their living by talking about blockchain at RMIT, even the IPA wants to talk about it? Is the IPA running out of topics to cover? I take this as a sign that certain funding from certain sources might have dried up. Did Gina get upset that Alan Moran was sacked? Have the tobacco funders moved on? Because the topics up at the IPA website are very generic now, it seems to me. (Too much red tape, etc.)
Anyway, where libertarians stand on cryptocurrency and companies getting more powerful seems a bit of a mess to me at the moment. On the one hand, I think they are drawn to the idea of government losing control of money because that will affect taxation and that means small government, something they hold as a matter of faith as being a Good Thing. On the other hand, they don't like it when companies are "woke" on any issue, because, I don't know, that interferes with them making money? In other words, one part of them thinks it would be cool if companies displaced government; the other part of them resents it when companies, even at this early stage of potential government displacement, start flexing their muscle.
I trust Sinclair Davidson will be along to explain it all any hour now...
* except libertarians. See my post above.
I even saw on IPA Twitter Chris Berg talking about it, saying something about governments should be fearing this big time. So not only do Sinclair Davidson and Berg now seemingly make a large part of their living by talking about blockchain at RMIT, even the IPA wants to talk about it? Is the IPA running out of topics to cover? I take this as a sign that certain funding from certain sources might have dried up. Did Gina get upset that Alan Moran was sacked? Have the tobacco funders moved on? Because the topics up at the IPA website are very generic now, it seems to me. (Too much red tape, etc.)
Anyway, where libertarians stand on cryptocurrency and companies getting more powerful seems a bit of a mess to me at the moment. On the one hand, I think they are drawn to the idea of government losing control of money because that will affect taxation and that means small government, something they hold as a matter of faith as being a Good Thing. On the other hand, they don't like it when companies are "woke" on any issue, because, I don't know, that interferes with them making money? In other words, one part of them thinks it would be cool if companies displaced government; the other part of them resents it when companies, even at this early stage of potential government displacement, start flexing their muscle.
I trust Sinclair Davidson will be along to explain it all any hour now...
* except libertarians. See my post above.
A high suicide rate
Axios reports:
I was curious how this compared to Australian recent suicide rates for youth. Turns out the American rate is very high, by the looks:
The suicide rate for Americans aged 15 to 24 years old — the older half of Generation Z — is the highest it's been since at least 1999, according to Centers for Disease Control data.
Wednesday, June 19, 2019
Against the Boris
Oh look: a very anti-Boris Johnson opinion piece in, of all places, National Review:
As I explained a few weeks ago, the Conservative party is facing possible extinction; their complete failure to implement Brexit has lost them the majority of their voters. Many of Johnson’s supporters in Parliament are deeply skeptical of his character, but they are voting for him because they see him as the only way out of their crisis. This is the point made by Madeleine: Boris Johnson is not Jeremy Corbyn — if the Tories are to face a general election, they want a chance of surviving it.Jason, this is very consistent with my view of Johnson as stated in my recent comment in response to you, and I hadn't even found it at that time.
But are they wrong to see him as a winner? In the long term, absolutely. Johnson is no longer the same man who twice won the London mayoral election. In those days, he was seen as a pro-immigration liberal conservative — the Tory for people who don’t vote Tory. Now, rightly or wrongly, he has become associated with a hostile brand of divisiveness — and it is Rory Stewart, as it happens, who has adopted the “outsider Tory” mantle. Johnson’s showman popularity among right-wing voters might be enough to win him the next election, but the average age of a Conservative voter has been increasing consistently for decades. People are forgetting that this is a party that has had one outright majority in 25 years. If it wants to survive, it needs to attract voters from the center ground.
For the party, then, there are no good outcomes. Either they opt for a candidate who will delay Brexit, thereby postponing an election but further weakening their immediate position, or they opt for an unpredictable renegade who, if tamed, might help them keep their parliamentary seats. I am writing this while listening to a fascinating discussion of the issue on the Talking Politics podcast (highly recommended to anyone with the slightest interest in British affairs). Here, the ever-insightful David Runciman asks his Cambridge colleagues the following: Is the fact that the Tory party is even contemplating making Boris Johnson its prime minister such an unusual thing that it’s a symptom of a party that’s already dying?
It’s an interesting question, and it pays a moment’s thought. Ask almost anybody who has worked closely with Johnson, and they speak of a Class A impostor — in the words of former Telegraph editor Max Hastings, a “gold medal egomaniac.” Any scarce praise usually refers to his ability to delegate — deference may suit a mayorship, but it will not suffice as prime minister. A deeply questionable personal life aside, Johnson’s career has been a collection of mishaps — one of which, during his time as foreign secretary, helped send a British citizen to prison. He is charming because of his Bertie Wooster-esque meandering mode of speech, but baseless bluster is not a characteristic that bodes well for a future as prime minister. He has never been a good performer in the House of Commons or in media interviews, and one daren’t imagine how his waffle will fare in Prime Minister’s Questions.
Weird deal positions
As Slate notes, re the Trump administration and Iran:
The move comes as Iran has threatened to disregard uranium restrictions outlined in the 2015 nuclear deal that aimed at curbing Tehran’s nuclear ambitions in return for sanctions relief. After years of deriding the nuclear deal as “the worst deal in history,” President DonaldTrump withdrew the U.S. from what’s formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action and reinstated sanctions on Iran. The Trump administration, already suffering from a serious credibility deficit with allies, is now in the awkward position of demanding that Tehran comply with an agreement the American president has not only derided but pulled out of! “Administration officials found themselves Monday grappling with whether to press the remaining parties to the deal, including Britain, France and Germany, to demand that Iran stay in compliance,” the Associated Press reports. “They must also consider if such a stance would essentially concede that the restrictions imposed during the Obama administration, while short of ideal, are better than none.”
Tariffs and long term pain
A pretty convincing sounding explanation at The Atlantic about how China is responding to Trump's tariff war in ways that may well result in long term harm to parts of the American economy.
Tuesday, June 18, 2019
Hot stuff for renewable energy storage
One energy storage idea is just to heat stuff up when you have enough spare power, and use the hot stuff to make steam for a turbine when the renewables are off line.
While we would have all heard of that as being an advantage of solar thermal plants which use molten salts, there are simpler materials that can be used for heat storage. Surprisingly, Siemens has just opened one in Germany that uses volcanic rock:
An innovative energy storage system from South Australia? I hope it works...
While we would have all heard of that as being an advantage of solar thermal plants which use molten salts, there are simpler materials that can be used for heat storage. Surprisingly, Siemens has just opened one in Germany that uses volcanic rock:
Spanish renewable energy giant and offshore wind energy leader Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy last week inaugurated operations of its electrothermal energy storage system which can store up to 130 megawatt-hours of electricity for a week in volcanic rock....
The newly-opened electric thermal energy storage system is billed by Siemens Gamesa as “The Future Energy Solution” and as costing “significantly” less than classic energy storage solutions. Specifically, according to the company, even at the gigawatt-hour (GWh) pilot scale, ETES “would be highly competitive compared to other available storage technologies.”
In the comments to that article, someone points out that an Australian company has just started using hot molten silicon!:The heat storage facility consists of around 1,000 tonnes of volcanic rock which is used as the storage medium. The rock is fed with electrical energy which is then converted into hot air by means of a resistance heater and a blower that, in turn, heats the rock to 750°C/1382 °F. When demand requires the stored energy, ETES uses a steam turbine to re-electrify the stored energy and feeds it back into the grid.
1414 Degrees is pleased to report progress with the GAS-TESS implementation at the Glenelg Wastewater Treatment Plant.
The full suite of ten biogas burners are commissioned and performing above expectations. The silicon storage reached operating temperature and the turbine started generating electricity on Saturday 25th May. It is supplying hot water from the turbine exhaust to the treatment plant, augmenting the continuous hot water supply from the biogas burners exhaust. Electricity is being delivered to our load bank pending SA Water completing the approval processes to connect to the National Electricity Market.
An innovative energy storage system from South Australia? I hope it works...
A little bit "Macron Youth"?
Not entirely sure about this idea:
Nearly two decades after France phased out conscription for men, some 2,000 teenagers on Sunday began a pilot programme for a new national civic service, a pet project of French President Emmanuel Macron.
For a fortnight, the 15- and 16-year-olds will leave home for training in first aid and other basic skills, followed later by another two weeks of volunteering.
Macron caused surprise on the campaign trail in 2017 by promising to introduce a month-long compulsory national service, saying he wanted to give girls and boys "a direct experience of military life".
The proposal got a cool response from the army, which baulked at the prospect of having to put millions of teens through their paces, prompting the government to come back with proposals for a compulsory civic service instead.
Some 2,000 youngsters, including 50 disabled teens, were chosen out of 4,000 volunteers for the first part of the trial, which started Sunday at boarding schools, holiday villages and university campuses around the country.
The group includes high school students, drop-outs, apprentices and vocational school trainees.
Each volunteer will leave home for another region for the two weeks, during which time they will be required to wear navy uniforms and sing the "Marseillaise", France's national anthem, every morning.It'll probably end up in some form of under-age sex scandal, and that will be the end of it. The uniform is a bit, um, naff? too:
Described as an "integration phase", teens will be taught first aid, map reading, emergency response for different scenarios and other skills.
Things to be unhappy about
* Economic malaise in Australia: I'm sure some people voted for the Coalition out of concern that reforms by Labor would drive down confidence in at least the real estate market. It seems pretty clear, however, that the Coalition win had hardly brought signs of improved confidence to any market. I bet retail is still flat as a tack, and what worse nightmare could any Sydney real estate who specialises in high rise apartments endure than the dramatic cracking appearing in two buildings in under 6 months? (In fact, it will be interesting to see how that affects all "off the plan" sales in every capital city. I wonder if it even has an effect on the country's reputation for tertiary education - it's not exactly the best advertisement for engineering expertise.)
I'm not entirely sure anyone really has a good grip on why there is, more or less, an air of impending doom on our economy. Greg Jericho does a lot of graphing, but it doesn't explain why things seem stuck on "not getting any better".
Does everyone sense we are in some sort of transition, and to what, no one knows? The economy can only bear so many new burger chains and craft beer outlets, I guess, and maybe people are sensing that we're reaching saturation level with them.
* "Summer" movies. Well, it's far from the first holiday movie season for everyone to be complaining about the number of unwarranted sequels - but this one seems to be full of underwhelming entries. I was thinking of seeing Men in Black International, but if a trailer can't come up with much in the way of funny bits in what is meant to be a comedy, I am inclined to believe the lukewarm reviews are right.
* The Trump administration: who has confidence that it won't stumble into/deliberately provoke an unnecessary and dangerous war with Iran? Who (with a brain) thinks the trade war tactics are good for America, let alone the globe? How's that government deficit going? It's a slow moving policy disaster.
* Boris Johnson as PM of Britain: the English equivalent of Trump in many ways, showing how terrible Right wing politics has become around much of the world. And they have a uniquely bad example of Left wing politics in that country too. That country, if not the whole globe, seems to be suffering some kind of bad alignment of the stars at the moment. When will it pass?
I'm not entirely sure anyone really has a good grip on why there is, more or less, an air of impending doom on our economy. Greg Jericho does a lot of graphing, but it doesn't explain why things seem stuck on "not getting any better".
Does everyone sense we are in some sort of transition, and to what, no one knows? The economy can only bear so many new burger chains and craft beer outlets, I guess, and maybe people are sensing that we're reaching saturation level with them.
* "Summer" movies. Well, it's far from the first holiday movie season for everyone to be complaining about the number of unwarranted sequels - but this one seems to be full of underwhelming entries. I was thinking of seeing Men in Black International, but if a trailer can't come up with much in the way of funny bits in what is meant to be a comedy, I am inclined to believe the lukewarm reviews are right.
* The Trump administration: who has confidence that it won't stumble into/deliberately provoke an unnecessary and dangerous war with Iran? Who (with a brain) thinks the trade war tactics are good for America, let alone the globe? How's that government deficit going? It's a slow moving policy disaster.
* Boris Johnson as PM of Britain: the English equivalent of Trump in many ways, showing how terrible Right wing politics has become around much of the world. And they have a uniquely bad example of Left wing politics in that country too. That country, if not the whole globe, seems to be suffering some kind of bad alignment of the stars at the moment. When will it pass?
A quantum argument against uploading your mind
I have only skimmed through this paper on arXiv, and don't have any idea about its plausibility, but it's interesting at least. Here's the abstract:
Killing Science Fiction: Why Conscious States Cannot Be Copied or Repeated
Several philosophical problems arising from the physics of consciousness, including identity, duplication, teleportation, simulation, self-location, and the Boltzmann Brain problem, hinge on one of the most deeply held but unnecessary convictions of physicalism: the assumption that brain states and their corresponding conscious states can in principle be copied. In this paper I will argue against this assumption by attempting to prove the Unique History Theorem, which states, essentially, that conscious correlations to underlying quantum mechanical measurement events must increase with time and that every conscious state uniquely determines its history from an earlier conscious state. By assuming only that consciousness arises from an underlying physical state, I will argue that the physical evolution from a first physical state giving rise to a conscious state to a second physical state giving rise to a later conscious state is unique. Among the consequences of this theorem are that: consciousness is not algorithmic and a conscious state cannot be uploaded to or simulated by a digital computer; a conscious state cannot be copied by duplicating a brain or any other physical state; and a conscious state cannot be repeated or created de novo. These conclusions shed light on the physical nature of consciousness by rendering moot a variety of seemingly paradoxical philosophy and science fiction problems.
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