Back in 2012, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell called the budget deficit “the nation’s most serious long-term problem.” That same year, House Speaker Paul Ryan called it a “serious threat” to the economy. They were full of it.Not just in the narrow sense that they both went on to enthusiastically endorse a $1.5 trillion tax cut late last year. Nor even in the somewhat broader sense that the real cost of that tax cut is much higher than $1.5 trillion when you consider the various accounting gimmicks and bad-faith phaseouts that were used to squeeze it under that figure.Even under the weird linguistic conventions of American conservative politics where deficits caused by tax cuts don’t count as real deficits, today’s budget deal — a big, multi-billion dollar increase in military spending “offset” by a nearly-as-large increase in non-military spending — gives up the game entirely. They don’t care, on any level, about the size of the federal budget deficit.
Thursday, February 08, 2018
When will Kates question this?
When will Australia's most Trump adoring economist (Kates) ever get around to questioning the fact that Trump and his Republicans indisputably do not care about the budget deficit (now that they are in power):
The Barnaby silence
I see that Jacqueline Maley at Fairfax claims that her papers never ran with the story last year because:
No - it is much, much more credible that they thought (wrongly) that they were being principled by not pursuing his "private life", even when it was an affair with a staffer causing widespread and open rumours on the internet.
UPDATE: despite my apparent support of the Murdoch press in running with the story to some degree last year, obviously I don't agree with their sleazy way of dealing with it yesterday by putting the photo of the pregnant staffer on the front page. Surely Blair and Bolt should acknowledge that puts the emphasis on the wrong person.
So, as far as I'm concerned, none of the media has dealt with this appropriately.
The reasons were less conspiratorial than they were journalistic: we couldn’t stand it up.I find this hard to believe. Did they ask Barnaby specifically what was going on? Did they ask the ex staffer? Did they speak to Tony Windsor? Why did they think it not worth pursuing after the Murdoch tabloids published about?
The rumours were so widely circulated it seemed clear there was some truth to them. But until now, no one, within the press gallery or outside it, could firm them up to a publishable standard.
No - it is much, much more credible that they thought (wrongly) that they were being principled by not pursuing his "private life", even when it was an affair with a staffer causing widespread and open rumours on the internet.
UPDATE: despite my apparent support of the Murdoch press in running with the story to some degree last year, obviously I don't agree with their sleazy way of dealing with it yesterday by putting the photo of the pregnant staffer on the front page. Surely Blair and Bolt should acknowledge that puts the emphasis on the wrong person.
So, as far as I'm concerned, none of the media has dealt with this appropriately.
Some error or other
Since yesterday, I'm getting some intermittent loading error with the blog, which is usually fixed by clearing history and reloading. But that's a pain. There is Google forum entry on the error code, but I don't have time to check it out properly yet...
As foreseen by Michael Nesmith
You have to give it to Elon Musk - the image of a Tesla in space is indisputably the historic pinnacle of corporate self promotion. (It won't be beaten until a certain fast food chain paints a giant "M" on the moon.)
It did, though, put me in mind of a song by Michael Nesmith from the 1980's, which had very similar imagery:
It did, though, put me in mind of a song by Michael Nesmith from the 1980's, which had very similar imagery:
Wednesday, February 07, 2018
Science fiction writer who can't read science fiction
I've only read one (I think) book by Charlie Stross, but I was interested to read on his blog how he just can't get into recent science fiction by other authors.
That's a lot of money
If I had been asked to guess, I would never have been near this figure for the cost of US involvement in Afghanistan. Axios notes:
And there was another item up recently at Axios about how the Taliban and local farmers are getting back into opium poppies in a big way. (I wonder - is there no biological agent they can deploy to eat into their flowers? No particular beetle that loves poppy buds?)
Even the Air Force Times had a detailed story throwing doubt on the effectiveness of the recent strategy of bombing heroin labs in the country.
What a hopeless country. Trump and the rest of the world would be better off building a wall around it, rather than down Mexico way.
The assistant secretary of defense for Asian and Pacific security affairs, Randall Schriver, told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on Tuesday that the U.S. will spend an estimated $45 billion on the war in Afghanistan this year, the Hill reports.I see that all of NASA gets by on just over $19 billion a year in its budget.
And there was another item up recently at Axios about how the Taliban and local farmers are getting back into opium poppies in a big way. (I wonder - is there no biological agent they can deploy to eat into their flowers? No particular beetle that loves poppy buds?)
Even the Air Force Times had a detailed story throwing doubt on the effectiveness of the recent strategy of bombing heroin labs in the country.
What a hopeless country. Trump and the rest of the world would be better off building a wall around it, rather than down Mexico way.
Cryptocurrency targetted
I don't think that the future of cryptocurrency is looking at all bright.
Sorry, libertarian dreamers. You'll have to pay for your apartment and dinner on a floating island with Peter Thiel (who maybe just lost about $10 million on cryptos) some other way.
Sorry, libertarian dreamers. You'll have to pay for your apartment and dinner on a floating island with Peter Thiel (who maybe just lost about $10 million on cryptos) some other way.
Small hands compensates with big missiles
This seems just childish, doesn't it?:
Pentagon and White House officials have started coordinating a parade to showcase America's military strength, per the Washington Post, after Trump said he wanted "a parade like the one in France." The Pentagon confirmed the report.Why it matters: Per the Post, costs associated with such a parade "could run in the millions" after shipping "tanks and high-tech hardware to Washington." Trump said he was inspired by Paris' Bastille Day Parade last year, and told French President Emmanuel Macron that the U.S. is "going to have to try to top it."
A lot of trouble to go to for a better memory
A short report at Nature:
A well-timed zap to a brain region involved in learning can improve memory.
Michael Kahana at the University of Pennsylvania in Philadelphia and his colleagues studied memory in 25 people who had had electrodes implanted into their brains for medical reasons. The researchers recorded brain activity while the individuals studied a list of words that they later tried to remember. Using computer algorithms, the team identified patterns of brain activity for each person that predicted whether the individual would remember or forget a word.
Next, participants studied another set of words. Whenever the algorithm predicted that a word was not being encoded well, the researchers applied electrical currents to a brain region called the lateral temporal cortex, changing the brain’s activity patterns. Precisely timed electrical stimulation improved people’s chance of recalling a word by an average of 15%.
How the media should respond, Part 2
So, back to Barnaby Joyce.
I posted at length last October about the matter of the weirdness of what was going when only parts of the media thought it was OK to report on claims of sexual impropriety circulating on the internet (sourced from ex political Tony Windsor) during the Joyce election campaign.
I don't see any reason to change my views. As many, many people on Twitter are pointing out, there are a bunch of circumstances as to why it was actually pretty perverse the media to not report on the true Joyce situation last year:
1. (I don't think this is really the highest reason, but many people think it is) - he was a prominent conservative arguing against same sex marriage on "traditional value" lines - making the matter of the break up of his own marriage vows in an unseemly fashion a matter of apparent hypocrisy;
2. His affair was with a staffer - a situation well known for at least the potential for causing workplace trouble. Furthermore, it had been in the media in mid 2017 that a prominent public servant was caught up in a relationship issue that apparently has caused problems:
If a prominent public servant places himself in a such a position and gets media publicity as a result, why does the Deputy PM doing something so obviously unwise to workplace harmony get a "no publicity" pass from the media?
3. Tony Windsor had tweeted that there was something going on - his claim (making sound like sexual harassment) was obviously defamatory if untrue, yet a large part of the media said "we're not going to ask Barnaby about this"?
4. This was happening during an unusual election campaign.
5. As I noted in my previous post, Joyce himself looked unusually glum and distracted about the dual citizenship issue - and in retrospect it would not be surprising if the turmoil over the affair was affecting Joyce's work performance.
6. The same Left leaning media that was critical of conservative dissing of Julia Gillard for her relationship status effectively gave protection to Barnaby from criticism from conservatives for his relationship status. (Yes, go read Catallaxy - they are uniformly disgusted with him.)
7. Joyce was the subject (apparently) of a sympathetic puff piece in The Australian in only March last year, which from later reporting would appear to be after the start of his affair. If the media is going to aid his profile that way, in a way which in retrospect looks dishonestly manipulative, it should be prepared to at least report on the status of his marriage later.
To again be clear: it all depends on the circumstances as to whether a politician's marriage break up or affair is newsworthy . But in this case, it was in the public interest to disclose this, and I remain quite surprised that the "principled" media cannot acknowledge this.
I posted at length last October about the matter of the weirdness of what was going when only parts of the media thought it was OK to report on claims of sexual impropriety circulating on the internet (sourced from ex political Tony Windsor) during the Joyce election campaign.
I don't see any reason to change my views. As many, many people on Twitter are pointing out, there are a bunch of circumstances as to why it was actually pretty perverse the media to not report on the true Joyce situation last year:
1. (I don't think this is really the highest reason, but many people think it is) - he was a prominent conservative arguing against same sex marriage on "traditional value" lines - making the matter of the break up of his own marriage vows in an unseemly fashion a matter of apparent hypocrisy;
2. His affair was with a staffer - a situation well known for at least the potential for causing workplace trouble. Furthermore, it had been in the media in mid 2017 that a prominent public servant was caught up in a relationship issue that apparently has caused problems:
Sources say Roman Quaedvlieg has taken leave for a matter relating to his personal behaviour, rather than his official duties.
According to reports, Mr Quaedvlieg is facing allegations of inappropriate behaviour relating to a personal relationship.According to the Daily Mail:
And it has now been claimed the 52-year-old was allegedly involved in a relationship with a fellow ABF employee in her early 20s, with her colleagues saying she received a promotion after their relationship began, theOK, you might argue, if other staffers of Barnaby didn't complain of favouritism, then it's not the same. But really, I don't think that washes.
If a prominent public servant places himself in a such a position and gets media publicity as a result, why does the Deputy PM doing something so obviously unwise to workplace harmony get a "no publicity" pass from the media?
3. Tony Windsor had tweeted that there was something going on - his claim (making sound like sexual harassment) was obviously defamatory if untrue, yet a large part of the media said "we're not going to ask Barnaby about this"?
4. This was happening during an unusual election campaign.
5. As I noted in my previous post, Joyce himself looked unusually glum and distracted about the dual citizenship issue - and in retrospect it would not be surprising if the turmoil over the affair was affecting Joyce's work performance.
6. The same Left leaning media that was critical of conservative dissing of Julia Gillard for her relationship status effectively gave protection to Barnaby from criticism from conservatives for his relationship status. (Yes, go read Catallaxy - they are uniformly disgusted with him.)
7. Joyce was the subject (apparently) of a sympathetic puff piece in The Australian in only March last year, which from later reporting would appear to be after the start of his affair. If the media is going to aid his profile that way, in a way which in retrospect looks dishonestly manipulative, it should be prepared to at least report on the status of his marriage later.
To again be clear: it all depends on the circumstances as to whether a politician's marriage break up or affair is newsworthy . But in this case, it was in the public interest to disclose this, and I remain quite surprised that the "principled" media cannot acknowledge this.
How should the media to respond Part 1
The recent twitter thread by Vox writer David Roberts, in which he complains about the American media's role in amplifying lies by politicians (notably, of course, those issuing from Republicans in protection of a President so completely unfamiliar with telling the truth that his lawyers urge him not to voluntarily give evidence under oath), is very good summary.
Tuesday, February 06, 2018
Something cheerful
I need cheerful news. I'm struggling to find it.
Let's see: * I thought the Mission Impossible 6 trailer looked pretty good - although you realise that Cruise has set ridiculous tough standards for topping the last movie's stunt sequences when you see him dangling off a helicopter and think "meh, hanging onto the outside of the military transport looked scarier." But don't worry, I'm in the cinema in the first week of release.
* Chris Hemsworth was being interviewed on Sunrise this morning. He does seem to be a ridiculously nice guy. Of course, he's an actor and spends months away at a time - you would have to fear that one marriage for him will not be enough. No, no, I'm trying to be cheerful, I forgot.
* Yes, I have started to worry that I have spent years drinking my hot drinks while they are too hot:
The search for cheerful will continue...
Update: again, not cheerful - how that Cloverfield 3 movie that I had hopes for (Chris O'Dowd as an astronaut notwithstanding) has appeared on Netflix and is getting uniformly bad reviews. Dang.
Update 2: this does make me happier - when a female who used to like Tarantino films finally realises something and downgrades her opinion:
Let's see: * I thought the Mission Impossible 6 trailer looked pretty good - although you realise that Cruise has set ridiculous tough standards for topping the last movie's stunt sequences when you see him dangling off a helicopter and think "meh, hanging onto the outside of the military transport looked scarier." But don't worry, I'm in the cinema in the first week of release.
* Chris Hemsworth was being interviewed on Sunrise this morning. He does seem to be a ridiculously nice guy. Of course, he's an actor and spends months away at a time - you would have to fear that one marriage for him will not be enough. No, no, I'm trying to be cheerful, I forgot.
* Yes, I have started to worry that I have spent years drinking my hot drinks while they are too hot:
Very hot tea can raise risk of oesophageal cancer, suggests studyCombined with excess alcohol consumption, scaldingly hot tea raises relative risk fivefold, says Chinese researchersWait - that's not cheerful at all.
The search for cheerful will continue...
Update: again, not cheerful - how that Cloverfield 3 movie that I had hopes for (Chris O'Dowd as an astronaut notwithstanding) has appeared on Netflix and is getting uniformly bad reviews. Dang.
Update 2: this does make me happier - when a female who used to like Tarantino films finally realises something and downgrades her opinion:
When I watched, white knuckles gripping my laptop, the footage of Uma Thurman's car crash on the set of Kill Bill, it struck me that Quentin Tarantino has been revealing himself to us through his art all these years.
It was only a day or so before Thurman's revelations that I had been discussing the writer/director's work with a filmmaker friend and we both realised we'd cooled on his shtick considerably, for two main reasons: his obsession with the N-word, and his obsession with sexualised violence.
While chatting to my friend, I copped to enjoying Tarantino's latest film, The Hateful Eight, largely for the spectacle of its 70mm cinematography, but that I also agreed with New York Times critic A. O. Scott's description of the film as "an orgy of elaborately justified misogyny". On reflection, it really did seem like Tarantino had designed the chamber piece specifically to explore one woman's abuse at the hands of seven men.
Then, I remembered how Harvey Weinstein himself had waved off accusations of Hateful Eight's misogyny, calling it "fishing for stupidity". ...
....no matter how Tarantino might defend his blood-spattered back catalogue as pro-woman or true cinematic equality, violence in the QT pantheon so often seems to be, with a few exceptions, something done by men to women. ...
Now, I'm not about to accuse QT of dreaming of cracking a gun butt over a woman's head (The Hateful Eight), scalping her (Kill Bill), murdering her in his muscle car (Death Proof) or branding and whipping her (Django Unchained). Indeed, plenty of people have called Tarantino a feminist director specifically because of his plethora of female characters and willingness to treat them just as badly as their male counterparts.
But a theme, as it were, has emerged: Tarantino loves to put his female characters through hell. We know now, from Thurman's account of his on-set behaviour, that he also likes to do the same to at least one of his actresses in the name of authenticity in performance.
Fox News misinformation continues
Devin Nunes: Trump never met with Papadopoulos. Reality: here’s a photo.
As to how the American Right learned to embrace its paranoid/conspiracist/facts!-who-cares-about-facts? element, Slate has been running this article, adapted from Kurt Anderson's book Fnatasyland: How America Went Haywire: A 500 Year History. I think it's pretty good at putting it all in perspective.
As to how the American Right learned to embrace its paranoid/conspiracist/facts!-who-cares-about-facts? element, Slate has been running this article, adapted from Kurt Anderson's book Fnatasyland: How America Went Haywire: A 500 Year History. I think it's pretty good at putting it all in perspective.
Monday, February 05, 2018
Can't the stupid Right see there's a problem here?
You start to feel a loss for words at the idiocy and conspiratorial thinking that passes for Right wing commentary these days, but how on earth do they not see a problem with their views when even Republicans on the Intelligence committee disagree with Trump's sweeping statements about vindication?:
Calling on Trump not to interfere in Mueller’s investigation, four Republican members of the House Intelligence Committee dismissed on Sunday the idea that the memo’s criticism of how the FBI handled certain surveillance applications undermines the special counsel’s work. Reps. Trey Gowdy (S.C.), Chris Stewart (Utah), Will Hurd (Tex.) and Brad Wenstrup (Ohio) represented the committee on the morning political talk shows.
A fast food complaint
I don't get why Guzman Y Gomez seems to be successful. Seemed to me to be pretty low quality, sloppily made, not particularly good value for money, and not especially tasty (even if asking for the spicy choice.) Yet it seems to be a growing chain. Can someone explain why?
(By the way, I like to eat Mexican food made at home with the various kits. Tastes better to me than what I can get at this takeaway.)
(By the way, I like to eat Mexican food made at home with the various kits. Tastes better to me than what I can get at this takeaway.)
Sunday, February 04, 2018
Moving lights
Have I said this before? One of the things I usually find a bit unclear when watching nature documentaries about the Northern Lights is whether the video of the shimmering light curtains is being shown in real time, or is somewhat sped up. This gif, although not of great quality, which I saw on Reddit today, nonetheless makes it clear that the shimmering is in real time, by virtue of the camera moving a lot while filming the lights.
Something for future astronauts to look forward to
NPR has a story:
Making Space Food With Space Poop
and the process is perhaps not quite as bad as it sounds, as long as don't mind eating bacterial goo that has grown on the methane other bacteria has made from feeding on your poo.
Elon Musk has this to look forward to on the way to Mars.
Making Space Food With Space Poop
and the process is perhaps not quite as bad as it sounds, as long as don't mind eating bacterial goo that has grown on the methane other bacteria has made from feeding on your poo.
Elon Musk has this to look forward to on the way to Mars.
Not sure how sorry to feel for Uma
So Uma Thurman has finally detailed being the victim of a Harvey Weinstein attempt at seduction (leading her to a steam room in his bathrobe) and what sounds like an attempted rape which he pulled back from.
Yeah, I feel sorry for her for having to face that.
But she also throws in her bitterness about Quentin Tarantino forcing her to drive a car which she didn't want to, which led to a crash (as she feared) and permanent injuries.
Well, that adds ammo to my pre-existing great dislike of Tarantino based on the content of his movies.
But I had already also started to distrust and dislike Uma when QT made it clear that she was his "muse" in many respects. She obviously liked and influenced the trashy, violent content of his movies, dressed up sometimes as female empowerment, but always heavy on bloody revenge. Her judgement was off, as far as I was concerned, for working on his material in the first place. No, that doesn't mean she deserved to be forced to drive a car in a dangerous situation when stunt double could have done it; but it does temper my sympathy somewhat.
Yeah, I feel sorry for her for having to face that.
But she also throws in her bitterness about Quentin Tarantino forcing her to drive a car which she didn't want to, which led to a crash (as she feared) and permanent injuries.
Well, that adds ammo to my pre-existing great dislike of Tarantino based on the content of his movies.
But I had already also started to distrust and dislike Uma when QT made it clear that she was his "muse" in many respects. She obviously liked and influenced the trashy, violent content of his movies, dressed up sometimes as female empowerment, but always heavy on bloody revenge. Her judgement was off, as far as I was concerned, for working on his material in the first place. No, that doesn't mean she deserved to be forced to drive a car in a dangerous situation when stunt double could have done it; but it does temper my sympathy somewhat.
In his own world of ignorance and stupidity
This is just unforgivably stupid (underlining by me) - I mean, there are plenty of Right wing media sources (Wall Street Journal, Hot Air, RedState) , dealing with the problems within the Nune memo. Poor old CL (has he hit 50 yet? - doesn't matter, he has the set, impossible-to-shift convictions of atrophied 95 year old brain):
Saturday, February 03, 2018
Kimmel on the memo
I'm quite admiring Jimmy Kimmel's quite sincere outrage about Trump. Here he is, summing up Trumpian tactics:
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