Just in case people think I've become something of a Marvel fanboy because I saw Black Panther so soon on its release - my son had a free ticket he had to use by yesterday, OK?
And as for the movie - it's one of those cases where the critical reception is more interesting (for how wildly it varies from my perception) than the movie itself.
Look, it's not offensively terrible (no Marvel movie is): it's just pretty bad.
Even my 17 year son immediately rated it as clichéd; I don't think he disagreed when I pointed out it was like The Lion King as done by Marvel but without the charm or emotion.
None of the acting is bad, but nor is it worthy of some of the ridiculous over-praise it is receiving, particularly in American reviews. It has some humour, but not much; it is too long, fairly dull in large part, and I even started feeling the head piece of the costume is a bit silly.
But my main criticism - I think the action scenes, particularly at the climax of the film, are terribly directed and over-edited. They were to me completely unengaging and tensionless, and I would never trust any critic who calls the climax of the movie "thrilling". (The only other major large scale action set piece - and there are only two in the entire movie - in Busan, Korea, was a little better, but even then the editing gave no sense of continuity in the car chase, and the whole sequence came across as a James Bond piece poorly done by Marvel.)
So, as to the reasons it is getting many rave reviews: honestly, it's hard to see how it isn't being reviewed under undue influence of its alleged black empowerment (even, black Africa as saviour of the world) theme. Not that there's anything wrong with black empowerment - God knows I have sympathy for how the community is faring under Trump - but really, it seemed dubious to me that there should be black pride taken in imagining a modern African technological fantasy land where leadership is still decided by the equivalent of duelling to the death.
I suspect you have to live in America (and be of liberal persuasion, as most reviewers obviously are) to share in great enthusiasm for the film. Again, NTTAW with being a liberal reviewer: readers would know I generally dislike those directors highly praised by Right wing websites. But here critical judgement has been led astray, I think. Interestingly, when I check the long list of reviews on Rottentomatoes, two of the mere handful of negative reviews are Australian. There should be more of that....
Update: I see the movie is getting some pushback in user reviews at IMDB - but how many of those are genuine and not part of a stupid alt.right organised push, I don't know.
Friday, February 16, 2018
Thursday, February 15, 2018
Take a hint
Turnbull's press conference sounded like an enormous hint to Barnaby to resign.
How humiliating for all concerned that Barnaby is trying to ride it out.
Will he take the hint, or do we have to wait for another story of his private behaviour to come out as confirmed?
How humiliating for all concerned that Barnaby is trying to ride it out.
Will he take the hint, or do we have to wait for another story of his private behaviour to come out as confirmed?
Stupid comments on shootings
Just to get his off my chest:
One of the stupidest things some people say after American school shootings is that the problem is no armed guards/metal detectors at the school. Um, at the risk of stating the obvious: schools have long boundaries and (usually) several entrances: while you can insist that all students funnel into the school at one entry point, just how much money would it cost to turn every single American school into a hard to penetrate high security compound? Get real: schools and educational places are always going to be easy places for armed killers to gain access to. They are also big - just how many armed guards do these people think it would take to stop a dozen dead in one room in a hail of bullets?
And don't get me started on teachers should all be armed too...yes, poor old Mrs Smith who was about to retire should have realised when she became an elementary teacher that by 2018 it would become a job in which paramilitary training was essential.
Oh - and what a disgusting idiot is Jim Hoft (Gateway Pundit), with his immediate rush after every mass shooting to try to pin the killer as an Islamist/Democrat/Left winger, usually relying on material that quickly turns out to be deliberate misinformation or mistaken identity. He makes me sick.
Update: during lunch, I saw some guy on PBS from the local area talking about the plans the school had made to be prepared for such an event. He said it was very detailed and as well prepared as a school could be.
Also, it may well be that Jim Hoft has his stupid "we must know who this guy would support politically" post 100% wrong in this case. He's an utter creep.
One of the stupidest things some people say after American school shootings is that the problem is no armed guards/metal detectors at the school. Um, at the risk of stating the obvious: schools have long boundaries and (usually) several entrances: while you can insist that all students funnel into the school at one entry point, just how much money would it cost to turn every single American school into a hard to penetrate high security compound? Get real: schools and educational places are always going to be easy places for armed killers to gain access to. They are also big - just how many armed guards do these people think it would take to stop a dozen dead in one room in a hail of bullets?
And don't get me started on teachers should all be armed too...yes, poor old Mrs Smith who was about to retire should have realised when she became an elementary teacher that by 2018 it would become a job in which paramilitary training was essential.
Oh - and what a disgusting idiot is Jim Hoft (Gateway Pundit), with his immediate rush after every mass shooting to try to pin the killer as an Islamist/Democrat/Left winger, usually relying on material that quickly turns out to be deliberate misinformation or mistaken identity. He makes me sick.
Update: during lunch, I saw some guy on PBS from the local area talking about the plans the school had made to be prepared for such an event. He said it was very detailed and as well prepared as a school could be.
Also, it may well be that Jim Hoft has his stupid "we must know who this guy would support politically" post 100% wrong in this case. He's an utter creep.
Rabbit history (and a bit about rats, too)
Ed Yong writes about the great confusion over how rabbits became domesticated. Apparently, there have been a few science-y urban myths floating around about this for some time (not that I had heard of them before.) But I also learnt some things about how rabbits have been used:
Archaeological evidence tells us that people in Spain and France were eating rabbits as early as the Epipaleolithic period, between 20,000 and 10,500 years ago. During the Middle Ages, they became a high-status food and people started carrying them across Europe. But it’s hard to pinpoint exactly when this happened because of, as Irving-Pease and Larson note, “the intrusion of rabbits into archaeological stratigraphies.” Translation: It’s hard to know if a rabbit bone came from an ancient rabbit, or a recent one that went digging...Yong says domestication of animals is hardly ever deliberate, anyway:
....Rabbits are among the most recently tamed animals, and yet neither history nor archaeology nor genetics can accurately pinpoint when they were domesticated. “There is solid genetic evidence that domestic rabbits are closely related to wild rabbits from France, from which they were mostly derived,” says Miguel Carneiro from CIBIO, who recently did his own genetic study of rabbits. “But the timing, initial motivation, and the underlying process remain poorly understood.”
Larson thinks that’s because people tend to wrongly picture domestication as a singular event. “Everything’s the same, and everything’s the same, and something changes like a bolt from the blue, and now everything’s different,” says Larson. “A lot of our narrative structures hinge on that. But if you’re looking for a moment of domestication, you’ll never find it. It’ll recede from your fingertips.”
Domestication is a continuum, not a moment. Humans hunted rabbits, tens of thousands of years ago. They transported the wild animals around the Mediterranean. The Romans kept them as livestock in structures called leporaria. Medieval Britons kept them in “pillow mounds”—raised lumps of soil that acted as earthen hutches. Later, they used actual hutches. Eventually, we bred them as pets. None of these activities represents the moment when rabbits hopped over the domestication threshold. But collectively, they show how wild bunnies turned into tame ones.
The problem is that there’s no solid evidence that humans domesticated anything deliberately (with the possible exception of tame foxes that were bred for scientific purposes). There’s no unequivocal case where humans grabbed a wild animal with the express intent of domesticating it. Instead, for example, it’s likely that scavenging wolves were attracted to human hunts or refuse piles, eventually developing a more tolerant attitude that led to their transformation into dogs. Similarly, mice were attracted to our grain stores, and cats were attracted to the mice. “There is no why to domestication,” says Larson. “That implies a directedness that appears not to exist.”I wonder, however, if Yong is overlooking the matter of Jack Black, rat catcher to the Queen, who is credited with taming wild rats into pet fancy rats. Maybe Yong doesn't consider that pet rats are truly domesticated, but there is perhaps a debate to be had about that. From a book "Domesticated: Evolution in a Man-Made World":
Wednesday, February 14, 2018
Depressing American story of the day
The New York Times depresses us all by explaining that meth is making a big comeback in many parts of the US, after dropping out of the limelight for a few years due to the deaths caused by opioids. On the upside, there are fewer meth labs; on the big downside, there's heaps more meth around:
The scourge of crystal meth, with its exploding labs and ruinous effect on teeth and skin, has been all but forgotten amid national concern over the opioid crisis. But 12 years after Congress took aggressive action to curtail it, meth has returned with a vengeance. Here in Oregon, meth-related deaths vastly outnumber those from heroin. At the United States border, agents are seizing 10 to 20 times the amounts they did a decade ago. Methamphetamine, experts say, has never been purer, cheaper or more lethal.Oregon took a hard line against meth in 2006, when it began requiring a doctor’s prescription to buy the nasal decongestant used to make it. “It was like someone turned off a switch,” said J.R. Ujifusa, a senior prosecutor in Multnomah County, which includes Portland.“But where there is a void,” he added, “someone fills it.”The decades-long effort to fight methamphetamine is a tale with two takeaways. One: The number of domestic meth labs has declined precipitously, and along with it the number of children harmed and police officers sickened by exposure to dangerous chemicals. But also, two: There is more meth on the streets today, more people are using it, and more of them are dying.
As for the libertarian "all illicit drugs should be legalised" line, it's hard to see what difference that would make when the drug is dirt cheap:
When the ingredients became difficult to come by in the United States, Mexican drug cartels stepped in. Now fighting meth often means seizing large quantities of ready-made product in highway stops.The cartels have inundated the market with so much pure, low-cost meth that dealers have more of it than they know what to do with. Under pressure from traffickers to unload large quantities, law enforcement officials say, dealers are even offering meth to customers on credit.
Nearly 100 percent pure and about $5 a hit, the new meth is all the more difficult for users to resist. “We’re seeing a lot of longtime addicts who used crack cocaine switch to meth,” said Branden Combs, a Portland officer assigned to the street crimes unit. “You ask them about it, and they’ll say: ‘Hey, it’s half the price, and it’s good quality.’”Nationally, nearly 6,000 people died from stimulant use — mostly meth — in 2015, a 255 percent increase from 2005, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Viewing intention
I've changed my mind - Black Panther has received such good reviews, with many noting that its funny in parts, that I've decided to see it. Probably tomorrow night.
In other personal media consumption news: am making my way through the second season of The Good Place, and am knocked over by how great and clever this reboot of season one continues to be. One observation - the transformation of Jason (from silent, serious monk to dumbest doofus on TV) has given me some of the biggest laughs and perhaps deserves some sort of acting award. (Some guy writes at length here as to why he also finds the character his favourite in the show.) And here's the actor talking about the role - amusingly, he sees it as almost a breakthrough because it's the opposite of most Asian characters on TV and movies now:
In other personal media consumption news: am making my way through the second season of The Good Place, and am knocked over by how great and clever this reboot of season one continues to be. One observation - the transformation of Jason (from silent, serious monk to dumbest doofus on TV) has given me some of the biggest laughs and perhaps deserves some sort of acting award. (Some guy writes at length here as to why he also finds the character his favourite in the show.) And here's the actor talking about the role - amusingly, he sees it as almost a breakthrough because it's the opposite of most Asian characters on TV and movies now:
Do you think Jason subverts stereotypes?
Definitely. I think when they were coming up with Jason/Jianyu, they were trying to figure out something different and one of the things that popped up was that you don’t really see a lot of dumb Asian guys on mainstream television. He’s usually intelligent or the model minority. I’m not saying playing Jason is pioneering, but it’s so great for me to do because it’s not a stereotype. Getting to put a bit of a twist on that and showing a different dynamic towards an Asian character is really cool. And I feel that the fans like the fact that I’m not some super-smart student.You’re not the IT guy.
Exactly. And I’ve had my fair share of those, so I guess you just have to go through the ranks before you get to be Jason Mendoza.
Science -V- (Real) Fake News
Scientific American talks about some psychological studies relating to misinformation in the news:
Fake news can distort people’s beliefs even after being debunked. For example, repeated over and over, a story such as the one about the Pope endorsing Trump can create a glow around a political candidate that persists long after the story is exposed as fake. A study recently published in the journal Intelligence suggests that some people may have an especially difficult time rejecting misinformation. Asked to rate a fictitious person on a range of character traits, people who scored low on a test of cognitive ability continued to be influenced by damaging information about the person even after they were explicitly told the information was false. The study is significant because it identifies what may be a major risk factor for vulnerability to fake news.I guess that conclusion is not that surprising, but I hope it's not one of those psychological studies that later is discredited.
Tuesday, February 13, 2018
Another Barnaby observation
Is he still Deputy Leader? What a glutton for punishment.
I would guess that tweets about him are running at 98% calling for resignation, immediately. A good media adviser would be pointing this out to him. Andrew Bolt has called for him to go. You have to go to ratbag central (Catallaxy) to find any support at all, and even then it's more culture war games than actual support. Why prolong the agony? Everyone suspects he'll have a job on Gina's payroll if he wants it.
Speaking of Gina, now when I see this photo ...
...I'm getting the sleazy sax opening to "You Can Leave Your Hat On" starting up in my brain and I can't stop it. Very distressing, and surely a completely unwarranted thought - especially if any lawyer on her payroll is reading.
I would guess that tweets about him are running at 98% calling for resignation, immediately. A good media adviser would be pointing this out to him. Andrew Bolt has called for him to go. You have to go to ratbag central (Catallaxy) to find any support at all, and even then it's more culture war games than actual support. Why prolong the agony? Everyone suspects he'll have a job on Gina's payroll if he wants it.
Speaking of Gina, now when I see this photo ...
...I'm getting the sleazy sax opening to "You Can Leave Your Hat On" starting up in my brain and I can't stop it. Very distressing, and surely a completely unwarranted thought - especially if any lawyer on her payroll is reading.
More PR - but does it ever sell anything?
Boston Dynamics has been making creepy animal-motion robots for a long time, and they are fun to watch, but have they ever actually commercialised any of these things? How does it survive if it doesn't?
Anyway, the latest - the robot dog like thing opening a door - is doing the rounds.
Anyway, the latest - the robot dog like thing opening a door - is doing the rounds.
The questionable science of paleoanthropology
For whatever reason, I've never had much interest in which group of humans or proto-humans went where in pre-history. But it sure sounds like the people who work in the field can make some very big claims based on very dubious evidence:
When researchers made the astonishing suggestion last year that early humans settled the Americas 100,000 years earlier than thought, they asked doubters to keep an open mind and consider the evidence backing their claim. But their study1, which proposed that mastodon bones from California were broken by an as-yet-unidentified group of early humans 130,000 years ago, was instantly questioned by archaeologists. Most researchers agree that humans settled the Americas around 15,000 years ago.
Nearly a year later, the sceptics are still not convinced. In a rebuttal to the work, published on 7 February in Nature2, archaeologists say that modern construction equipment better explains the mastodon bone damage than does the handiwork of ancient hominins. They present an analysis of mammoth bones from Texas that, they say, have similar-looking damage, which was caused by natural wear and tear and heavy equipment.
In the original study, a team co-led by Tom Deméré, a palaeontologist at the San Diego Natural History Museum in California, examined bone fragments of a mastodon (Mammut americanum), an extinct relative of elephants, that had been found during roadworks in suburban San Diego in the 1990s. Deméré and archaeologist Steven Holen at the Center for American Paleolithic Research in Hot Springs, South Dakota, contended that the remains bore telltale fractures seen in bones struck by the stone tools of early humans. No obvious stone tools or human remains were found at the site.
Deméré’s team also established that the mastodon bones were around 130,000 years old, and suggested that an unknown hominin species had reached California by that time. Current scientific consensus on settlement of the Americas is that early humans from Asia crossed the Bering land bridge into Alaska around 20,000 years ago, a theory based on archaeological research and studies of modern and ancient DNA.
To rebut the mastodon claim, Ferraro’s team examined a site in Waco containing the remains of at least 26 mammoths that died about 60,000 years ago. Archaeologists have previously looked for evidence of humans at the site and found none. According to Ferraro, some of the mammoth bones were battered and broken in the same way as the bones from the San Diego site.
Ferraro thinks that construction work — some of the Waco mammoth bones were found during a building project — and natural wear can explain the similarities.
More Barnaby
A few comments on the walking dead red:
* I don't think he realises that the continual appeal to "private matters" that have hurt his family actually comes across as insincere and self serving attempt to try to shut down discussion. "Stop it, media, you're hurting my lovely wife and children, who have been hurt enough already." Yeah, by who? is the way most people probably react to that.
* Very hard to believe he would bring defamation action over the bum pinching allegation.
* So, how long before the mainstream media picks up on that odd looking independent media site that has published that he had an affair with a lobbyist in 2014. The article says they gave notice of the story to relevant parties, and seems to have received no threat of defamation action in response. Will the mainstream media take another 4 months, or 4 years, to report on that allegation?
Update: that "True Crime" website has taken down the story alleging the earlier affair (and other assorted alleged misconduct) for "tactical reasons" according to Twitter. So, I guess someone's lawyer finally got out the warning letter? Still, given other hints by even Miranda Devine that there are things Barnaby would not like us to know, I strongly suspect more is yet to appear in the mainstream media.
* I don't think he realises that the continual appeal to "private matters" that have hurt his family actually comes across as insincere and self serving attempt to try to shut down discussion. "Stop it, media, you're hurting my lovely wife and children, who have been hurt enough already." Yeah, by who? is the way most people probably react to that.
* Very hard to believe he would bring defamation action over the bum pinching allegation.
* So, how long before the mainstream media picks up on that odd looking independent media site that has published that he had an affair with a lobbyist in 2014. The article says they gave notice of the story to relevant parties, and seems to have received no threat of defamation action in response. Will the mainstream media take another 4 months, or 4 years, to report on that allegation?
Update: that "True Crime" website has taken down the story alleging the earlier affair (and other assorted alleged misconduct) for "tactical reasons" according to Twitter. So, I guess someone's lawyer finally got out the warning letter? Still, given other hints by even Miranda Devine that there are things Barnaby would not like us to know, I strongly suspect more is yet to appear in the mainstream media.
You think propaganda is bad now...
A pretty interesting article at Buzzfeed News about some tech dude who reckons that things might be bad regarding "fake news" propaganda now, but it's going to be a disaster once very sophisticated video and audio fakery starts being used widely.
Maybe the answer is to work on the psychology of people, to get them to learn to think for themselves about manipulation, rather than the (perhaps hopeless task) of tacking new technology. Yeah, big ask, I know.
Maybe the answer is to work on the psychology of people, to get them to learn to think for themselves about manipulation, rather than the (perhaps hopeless task) of tacking new technology. Yeah, big ask, I know.
Monday, February 12, 2018
Time to go, Barnaby
Surely it's only the wafer thin majority of the Turnbull government that it making them want to try to tough it out with Barnaby. (That and the threat that if Labor politicians keep making a fuss, the Coalition will make sure more Labor affairs are outed - what a sleazy tactic.)
The Coalition must know that even if they manage to squeeze past legalistic problems with what went on (his pregnant girlfriend not being his "partner", for example), it still just doesn't smell right.
Reports are saying that the affair did cause problems in his office with other staffers - stressed at keeping his whereabouts a secret from his wife. That and the jobs created for her, said by the Coalition to be something arranged within the National Party and therefore not needing specific approval by Turnbull, might save Turnbull's job but makes the Nationals look complicit. And why accept rent free accommodation from a businessman when you're on a $400,000 plus salary, and until recently, your new girlfriend was pulling in $190,000 as well?
Now, I see some guy on Twitter is saying he'll be publishing the story of a 2014 affair with a lobbyist. Miranda Devine already hinted on the weekend that there had been other affairs.
So it is looking very much like Barnaby, good old Catholic conservative Barnaby, has been sleazy for a long time, and when the chickens came home to roost via pregnancy, he made sure the media was stonewalled on all questions asked before and during the by-election campaign as to what was going on.
To top this all off - he's going to be Acting PM next week! What an embarrassing look for the nation.
He is making the whole government look duplicitous, hypocritical and unethical.
And the funny thing is I had warmed to Barnaby a bit over the last couple of years, despite his stupidity on climate change, and other things such as his pork barrelling orced relocation of an Authority to Armidale. Turns out there was no reason to like him, after all.
The Coalition must know that even if they manage to squeeze past legalistic problems with what went on (his pregnant girlfriend not being his "partner", for example), it still just doesn't smell right.
Reports are saying that the affair did cause problems in his office with other staffers - stressed at keeping his whereabouts a secret from his wife. That and the jobs created for her, said by the Coalition to be something arranged within the National Party and therefore not needing specific approval by Turnbull, might save Turnbull's job but makes the Nationals look complicit. And why accept rent free accommodation from a businessman when you're on a $400,000 plus salary, and until recently, your new girlfriend was pulling in $190,000 as well?
Now, I see some guy on Twitter is saying he'll be publishing the story of a 2014 affair with a lobbyist. Miranda Devine already hinted on the weekend that there had been other affairs.
So it is looking very much like Barnaby, good old Catholic conservative Barnaby, has been sleazy for a long time, and when the chickens came home to roost via pregnancy, he made sure the media was stonewalled on all questions asked before and during the by-election campaign as to what was going on.
To top this all off - he's going to be Acting PM next week! What an embarrassing look for the nation.
He is making the whole government look duplicitous, hypocritical and unethical.
And the funny thing is I had warmed to Barnaby a bit over the last couple of years, despite his stupidity on climate change, and other things such as his pork barrelling orced relocation of an Authority to Armidale. Turns out there was no reason to like him, after all.
Local UFOs
The Brisbane Times has an article about UFO research organisations in Queensland, inspired by this State Library blog post.
The articles note some interesting cases from the mid 1960's, which appear to have been reported by sincere country folk.
As for the only UFO group still around - UFO Research Queensland - it seems to have been the hobby of the Gottschall family for a very long time. I am pretty sure that was contact name for the group in the late 1970's, when I wrote them a letter asking if they had public meetings. (Letter writing to find out about a club - that's what people used to do pre-internet.) Forgive me if I have mentioned this story before, but to my surprise, in response, I unexpectedly had a visitor arrive at my parent's front door one evening asking for me. (I was still living at home.) He was a pretty young guy, perhaps university student age (as I would have been), and I seem to recall an afro-ish style haircut and a somewhat eccentric air about him. In fact, I think one of my parents said "there's some strange looking guy at the door for you." He told me he had come in response to my letter.
I was pretty taken aback that a mere letter enquiry resulted in a personal visit - he was no Man in Black, but it still had an invasion of privacy feel about it. I politely ended the visit quickly at the front door and don't think I ever bothered getting the details of where and when they meet. I never bothered following up anything about them again, but I think I later established that they used the old Adamski UFO on their insignia (you know, the one that in fact turned out to be a chicken coop lamp). I've never taken them seriously since then.
Update: interestingly, that last link is to a blog that I didn't realise existed run by long time UFO skeptic and debunker Robert Sheaffer*. I see that he had written a couple of posts (here's the first) about the recently released UFO videos taken from Navy Hornets, but the debunking of them seems to be more difficult than usual. He points out the claims from someone else that they are very similar to a video of a distant jet in a case from Chile. And he does make likely sounding claim that the glowing aura aspect of the videos is an artefact of the IR imaging.
But, the problem is the audio (and interviews with one of the pilots) just doesn't seem to fit the "mistaken identity of a distant jet" theory at all.
It might be that audio and video has been fiddled with, but really, I don't think Sheaffer's attempted debunking is presently anywhere near successful. In fact, he spends more time going on about the funding from the Pentagon to Bigelow, which is an odd story, and some of the claims made do not sound credible.
But the two videos - they remain pretty strange and unexplained.
* Update 2: I meant to mention - I am pretty sure that it was Robert Sheaffer who gave a talk that I attended in Adelaide in the late 1980's about his UFO debunking. In fact, I even spoke to him briefly afterwards, noting that I had found J Allen Hynek's books quite convincing, and I was surprised at some case or other in which, Shaeffer argued, Hynek had been completely conned. He said he had met Hynek, who was a nice guy, but just too gullible when it came to liars and fabulists.
The articles note some interesting cases from the mid 1960's, which appear to have been reported by sincere country folk.
As for the only UFO group still around - UFO Research Queensland - it seems to have been the hobby of the Gottschall family for a very long time. I am pretty sure that was contact name for the group in the late 1970's, when I wrote them a letter asking if they had public meetings. (Letter writing to find out about a club - that's what people used to do pre-internet.) Forgive me if I have mentioned this story before, but to my surprise, in response, I unexpectedly had a visitor arrive at my parent's front door one evening asking for me. (I was still living at home.) He was a pretty young guy, perhaps university student age (as I would have been), and I seem to recall an afro-ish style haircut and a somewhat eccentric air about him. In fact, I think one of my parents said "there's some strange looking guy at the door for you." He told me he had come in response to my letter.
I was pretty taken aback that a mere letter enquiry resulted in a personal visit - he was no Man in Black, but it still had an invasion of privacy feel about it. I politely ended the visit quickly at the front door and don't think I ever bothered getting the details of where and when they meet. I never bothered following up anything about them again, but I think I later established that they used the old Adamski UFO on their insignia (you know, the one that in fact turned out to be a chicken coop lamp). I've never taken them seriously since then.
Update: interestingly, that last link is to a blog that I didn't realise existed run by long time UFO skeptic and debunker Robert Sheaffer*. I see that he had written a couple of posts (here's the first) about the recently released UFO videos taken from Navy Hornets, but the debunking of them seems to be more difficult than usual. He points out the claims from someone else that they are very similar to a video of a distant jet in a case from Chile. And he does make likely sounding claim that the glowing aura aspect of the videos is an artefact of the IR imaging.
But, the problem is the audio (and interviews with one of the pilots) just doesn't seem to fit the "mistaken identity of a distant jet" theory at all.
It might be that audio and video has been fiddled with, but really, I don't think Sheaffer's attempted debunking is presently anywhere near successful. In fact, he spends more time going on about the funding from the Pentagon to Bigelow, which is an odd story, and some of the claims made do not sound credible.
But the two videos - they remain pretty strange and unexplained.
* Update 2: I meant to mention - I am pretty sure that it was Robert Sheaffer who gave a talk that I attended in Adelaide in the late 1980's about his UFO debunking. In fact, I even spoke to him briefly afterwards, noting that I had found J Allen Hynek's books quite convincing, and I was surprised at some case or other in which, Shaeffer argued, Hynek had been completely conned. He said he had met Hynek, who was a nice guy, but just too gullible when it came to liars and fabulists.
Only worth defending if white
Have a look at this Axios post noting Trump's history of giving "the benefit of the doubt" (or more) for guys accused of sexual impropriety/domestic violence, and how it ends.
It doesn't even mention his infamous advertisement re the Central Park five.
It doesn't even mention his infamous advertisement re the Central Park five.
Just another potential supereruption to worry about
I guess it's better than Mt Fuji erupting, at least for Tokyo, (I'm just guessing, really), but still:
Some 7,300 years ago, a supereruption devastated the southern islands of what is now Japan, burying most of the archipelago in thick ash. Known as the Akahoya eruption, the blast was so powerful it caused the volcano’s magma chamber to collapse, leaving a 12-mile wide scar called Kikai Caldera, which is mostly underwater.
Now in a study published Friday, scientists have discovered that a dome of lava lurks beneath the caldera. By studying its magma plumbing, volcanologists could gain insight into the entire caldera system, which could help them better predict when another eruption in the Japanese archipelago might occur.
“The most serious problem that we are worrying about is not an eruption of this lava dome, but the occurrence of the next supereruption,” said Yoshiyuki Tatsumi a volcanologist at Kobe University in Japan and lead author of the study that appeared in the journal Scientific Reports.
Dr. Tatsumi’s previous work has suggested that the chances of a supereruption happening in the Japanese archipelago in the next century are only about 1 percent. But if a volcano in this area erupts, it could eject nearly 10 cubic miles of magma, covering almost all of the country and its 120 million people in nearly eight inches of thick ash, he found.
Sunday, February 11, 2018
Byrne does Bowie
David Byrne recently did a cover of Bowie's Heroes with the Choir Choir Choir people. I think his distinctive voice does very well with the song, and I can actually understand more of the words, too.
If you like pop songs done by or with choirs, it's well worth looking at some of their other videos. I liked this one from a couple of years ago, with Colin Hays singing Overkill:
If you like pop songs done by or with choirs, it's well worth looking at some of their other videos. I liked this one from a couple of years ago, with Colin Hays singing Overkill:
Yet more unwanted movie reviews
* Rushmore: even though I have been underwhelmed by Wes Anderson's last couple of movies, I thought I would see what his shtick was like when it was new, back in 1998. The verdict: yeah, it was pretty amusing and likeable. The story's eccentric in a way that made me think parts of it were probably autobiographical, and I read afterwards that my hunch was right:
* The not fully viewed Tropic Thunder: Last night I tried getting past the first 20 minutes of this awful thing, and just couldn't. I cannot fathom the good reviews it largely received. First, it seems weird that a 2008 movie would be bothered mocking the overly dramatic Vietnam war movies such as Platoon which were big 20 years previously. Had the screenplay been rattling around unmade since 1990, because it felt awfully dated? Movie-within-movie satires are a delicate thing - if you push the ridicule too hard (such as this movie does, in spades), it just doesn't work in any way. (I'll allow it might work as a absurdist 3 minute piece in sketch comedy, but that's it.) A bunch of actors who have been funny in other movies (and Tom Cruise, who critics seemed to think was hilarious in this) cannot save it as far as I'm concerned. Gives me all the more reason to never trust vehicles Matthew McConaughey is in, and I'll add that when Ben Stiller makes and awful movie, they really, truly stink. I think his hit rate of good movies is actually pretty low.
* Vanilla Sky (2001, Tom Cruise version.) Giving up on Cruise's over the top act in Tropic Thunder, I switched over to see him in this. I' hadn't seen the Spanish original, which no doubt helps. (I seem to recall that quite a few art house type critics, such as David Stratton, resented this film as being an unnecessary remake.)
I thought it was pretty great - well directed, really good acting by all concerned, Penelope Cruz at what may have been her peak of youthful charm and beauty, and a story that finally made some relatively straight forward science fiction-y sense. (Although it is one of those films open to other interpretations.)
Two surprises which, if I had known, would have made me watch it earlier: a brief cameo by Steven Spielberg (yay), and the incredibly magnetic Tilda Swinton turns up at the end too. They are like the exact opposite of McConaughey - lucky charms indicating that a movie is probably well worth watching. (The negative power of McConaughey is something even Spielberg struggles to overcome - Amistad was an interesting story that nonetheless is one of Spielberg's least memorable movies.)
I had what seemed a lengthy dream last night in which I had inherited the Courier Mail, and kept trying to work out who to consult to learn how to run a newspaper. It was not an unpleasant dream, though, and clearly came to me a result of Vanilla Sky.
Recommended.
Rushmore Academy was where Wes Anderson went to school. Well, not exactly – it was called St John's School, and it was only after he scoured private schools as far as the UK that he realised his alma mater was the perfect setting for his semi-autobiographical movie about a precocious turd who forms extracurricular clubs and falls head over heels for a hot school teacher. In a very Anderson-y way, he banked his private school experience for Rushmore. Like Rushmore's main skeeze Max Fisher, Anderson, too, was academically underachieving and had a throbbing crush on an older woman.Certainly, no other movie before or since is likely to feature the word "handjob" quite so often. Recommended.
* The not fully viewed Tropic Thunder: Last night I tried getting past the first 20 minutes of this awful thing, and just couldn't. I cannot fathom the good reviews it largely received. First, it seems weird that a 2008 movie would be bothered mocking the overly dramatic Vietnam war movies such as Platoon which were big 20 years previously. Had the screenplay been rattling around unmade since 1990, because it felt awfully dated? Movie-within-movie satires are a delicate thing - if you push the ridicule too hard (such as this movie does, in spades), it just doesn't work in any way. (I'll allow it might work as a absurdist 3 minute piece in sketch comedy, but that's it.) A bunch of actors who have been funny in other movies (and Tom Cruise, who critics seemed to think was hilarious in this) cannot save it as far as I'm concerned. Gives me all the more reason to never trust vehicles Matthew McConaughey is in, and I'll add that when Ben Stiller makes and awful movie, they really, truly stink. I think his hit rate of good movies is actually pretty low.
* Vanilla Sky (2001, Tom Cruise version.) Giving up on Cruise's over the top act in Tropic Thunder, I switched over to see him in this. I' hadn't seen the Spanish original, which no doubt helps. (I seem to recall that quite a few art house type critics, such as David Stratton, resented this film as being an unnecessary remake.)
I thought it was pretty great - well directed, really good acting by all concerned, Penelope Cruz at what may have been her peak of youthful charm and beauty, and a story that finally made some relatively straight forward science fiction-y sense. (Although it is one of those films open to other interpretations.)
Two surprises which, if I had known, would have made me watch it earlier: a brief cameo by Steven Spielberg (yay), and the incredibly magnetic Tilda Swinton turns up at the end too. They are like the exact opposite of McConaughey - lucky charms indicating that a movie is probably well worth watching. (The negative power of McConaughey is something even Spielberg struggles to overcome - Amistad was an interesting story that nonetheless is one of Spielberg's least memorable movies.)
I had what seemed a lengthy dream last night in which I had inherited the Courier Mail, and kept trying to work out who to consult to learn how to run a newspaper. It was not an unpleasant dream, though, and clearly came to me a result of Vanilla Sky.
Recommended.
Saturday, February 10, 2018
The propaganda problem described clearly, but no solution identified
You really should read Ezra Klein's terrific column at Vox: Donald Trump, Fox News and the Logic of Alternative Facts.
It's a clear and convincing identification of how Right wing propaganda is working, with one key point being:
It's a clear and convincing identification of how Right wing propaganda is working, with one key point being:
What Conway and others understand is that if you’re just trying to activate your tribe, you don’t have to win the argument, you just need to have an argument; you need to give your side something to say, something to believe. Something like the Nunes memo or the various out-of-context texts aren’t part of a search for truth — they’re an ammo drop, or, to go back to the way Ball put it, “a semi-plausible (if not entirely coherent) counternarrative.”
Charlie Sykes, a conservative talk radio host turned Trump critic, put it well. “The essence of propaganda is not necessarily to convince you of a certain set of facts. It is to overwhelm your critical sensibilities. It’s to make you doubt the existence of a knowable truth. The conservative media is a giant fog machine designed to confuse and disorient people.”.....
And so, although fact checking can show how the "counternarrative" is not true, those who already chose to believe it cannot be bothered following the fact checking process:
If you want to believe that the Nunes memo, the FBI texts, or the Warner texts show an anti-Trump witch hunt on the part of the FBI, and if you’re following politicians and media organizations that want you to believe that, it’s easy enough to believe it. The argument has internal logic, it sounds plausible, it fits what you’re hearing, it aligns with whom you trust, and you’re seeing what looks like documentary evidence.Yes, there are plenty of outlets trying to fact-check these claims, plenty of outlets working hard to align their reporting with reality, plenty of outlets trying to explain what’s actually happening. Explaining why it’s not true takes some time, it takes dates, and it takes an interest in the explanation and some interest in the people delivering it. This work never reaches most of the people convinced by the original stories, and it likely wouldn’t be credible to them even if it did. As David Roberts wrote in his important essay on tribal epistemology:Information is evaluated based not on conformity to common standards of evidence or correspondence to a common understanding of the world, but on whether it supports the tribe’s values and goals and is vouchsafed by tribal leaders. “Good for our side” and “true” begin to blur into one.
Now, while there has been despair about how to counter this (people interested in getting governments to make sensible climate change policies have been debating how to deal with propaganda for a good decade), there are a couple of points I don't hear said enough:
* Political spin is one thing; outrageously misleading and inflammatory claims made with no regard for truth is something else. It's ethically wrong and in the case of Fox News as a money making machine, cynical to the point of evil. (Who really believes that the drama queen acts of Hannity and that ridiculous Jeanine Pirro are entirely sincere? If it is, they're so stupid they should be taken off the air anyway.)
My point is: as far as I can tell, the network continues to host at least 2, maybe 3?, token moderate journalists/hosts who don't go along with the lines put out by the overwhelmingly pro Trump propaganda machine that the network is.
They shouldn't stay there! No ethical person should participate in such a corrupt machine in the interests of thinking it needs them to give it a shred of credibility. Their co-workers (and presumably, the bosses) are cynical propagandists with no interest in truth and objectivity - and as Klein explains, no counter explanation given by them is going to be accepted by the 95% of viewers who are there for the propagandists anyway.
* There needs to be more calling out of such deliberate deception as evil, not by other journalists, but by everyone with any moral standing and a public voice. Stop pretending it's just politics and spin that's always been with us - it isn't. It is sophisticated and cynical manipulation of people who have given up caring if they are being manipulated. It is dangerous, and anathema to good decision making in a democratic system. Call it out.
Friday, February 09, 2018
The sound of heads pointlessly hitting brick walls, again
Sinclair Davidson sure knows how to run a stupid argument.
Today it's to suggest that the ABC must be failing its purpose (or not be good value for money) if people pay for cable television too.
Apparently, a really, really good national broadcaster can run enough programming that satisfies everyone at every minute of the day. I don't know: perhaps inflate their budget by 10, give them more bandwidth, and they could.*
It's an extraordinarily dumb line to run, even by his stagflated standards.
And then the minions get to bleat again about how much they hate the ABC, because bias, climate change, etc. Sad place, really.
* that was just a guess, but maybe not far off. I see that the Nine Network annual report from 2014 says they had total revenue that year of about $1.5 billion. The ABC in its entirety - TV, radio, internet and other assorted stuff - operates on just over a billion dollar budget.
Today it's to suggest that the ABC must be failing its purpose (or not be good value for money) if people pay for cable television too.
Apparently, a really, really good national broadcaster can run enough programming that satisfies everyone at every minute of the day. I don't know: perhaps inflate their budget by 10, give them more bandwidth, and they could.*
It's an extraordinarily dumb line to run, even by his stagflated standards.
And then the minions get to bleat again about how much they hate the ABC, because bias, climate change, etc. Sad place, really.
* that was just a guess, but maybe not far off. I see that the Nine Network annual report from 2014 says they had total revenue that year of about $1.5 billion. The ABC in its entirety - TV, radio, internet and other assorted stuff - operates on just over a billion dollar budget.
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