Oh good -
an ABC report talking about the worrying decline in retail in Australia.
I almost daily walk through 2 suburban shopping centres - one a major sized one, with 3 supermarkets and 3 of the big retailers; and the other a smaller, local one with one supermarket and maybe 20 other small shops and food outlets.
Both were substantially renovated and extended about (I think) 7 or so years ago.
Walking around them these days, you just get the unavoidable feeling that the centre owners expanded too far - they just can't fill all of the space that is now available. In the last year or so it has become clearly worse in the bigger centre - new tenants who took up leases for 5 or 6 years in the expansion just aren't renewing.
People blame on line shopping for the downturn, but I am not sure it can account for too much of the problem. (Or is that just my bias because I buy very little on line as I actually want to support retail on the ground? For some things, though, on line is ridiculously cheaper. I am astounded at the almost throw away price of some electronics coming out of China. For example, my car is old enough that it does not have Bluetooth built in, but a device that plugs into the cigarette lighter works fine by rebroadcasting from my phone to the FM radio. That hi tech, tiny device cost all of $15.)
And the problem is just not Australia. One of the very, very few useful things I learn from reading the madhouse comments at Catallaxy is that even in NYC, retail in former swanky retail areas is emptying out.
Another old commenter at that blog was saying recently that he thinks people might just have reached a realisation that they have everything they need. And I am feeling inclined to agree. For some electronics stuff (big screen TVs for example), the quality has become so good that you can't imagine needing to upgrade for increased viewing pleasure; and the build is such that they would seem to have many years of life in them. I guess TVs always were a bit that way - you never bought one not expecting it to last a long time - but there used to be room for improvement in the basic function in a way that is hard to imagine now. Other technological changes make some items hardly necessary - DVDs and DVD players are being replaced by streaming services; I hardly ever bother trying to record something off free to air TV now, even with higher definition broadcast.
Clothes tend to mostly last a long time, and if I go to DFO I can buy a good business shirt for all of $30 any day of the year. Any purely cotton item is more likely to need to be replaced more for being completely outdated in fashion terms rather than for developing holes. (Except in pockets - that remains the weak spot in pants.)
So, yeah, I am feeling a bit lately like I do have everything I need. I couldn't think of anything to ask for from my family for my recent birthday. Or is this just a function of older age? And busy-ness generally?
Anyway, failing retail feels bad, because of the knock on effect on investment in retail space. Mind you, maybe part of the problem is ridiculously greedy landlords, too.
A busy marketplace makes everyone feel good, and confident in the economy. I would like to see retail on the ground at more confident levels than it is now, but I am sure how that is going to happen in current circumstances....