For all I know, it's been happening for years and I've only recently noticed (as I recently explained.); But here's a photo from a NYT article on the best iced coffee in the country - and it features at least two photos of them being served in jars:
Just stop it!
Mind you, an iced almond-macadamia milk latte does sound pretty tasty.
Wednesday, June 11, 2014
Tea Party thinks it's on a winner?
So, Tea Partiers are ecstatic that they got David Brat in, primarily on the basis that he is against immigration reform?
Yes, way to go to win over the Hispanic and Asian vote, Republicans. Sowing the seeds of long term demographic failure, more like it.
The Tea Party Right really isn't very bright, to put it mildly.
Update: from a January 2014 look at Brat at National Review:
Yes, way to go to win over the Hispanic and Asian vote, Republicans. Sowing the seeds of long term demographic failure, more like it.
The Tea Party Right really isn't very bright, to put it mildly.
Update: from a January 2014 look at Brat at National Review:
He chairs the department of economics and business at Randolph-Macon College and heads its BB&T Moral Foundations of Capitalism program. The funding for the program came from John Allison, the former CEO of BB&T (a financial-services company) who now heads the Cato Institute. The two share an affinity for Ayn Rand: Allison is a major supporter of the Ayn Rand Institute, and Brat co-authored a paper titled “An Analysis of the Moral Foundations in Ayn Rand.” Brat says that while he isn’t a Randian, he has been influenced by Atlas Shrugged and appreciates Rand’s case for human freedom and free markets.OK, an admiration for Ayn Rand of any form is a warning sign for - at the very least - unreliability in an economist (cough *stagflation warning* cough), but as with Paul Ryan, a serious Christian who still admires Rand and takes economic hints from her is just ideologically nutty.
His academic background isn’t all economics, though. Brat got a business degree from Hope College in Holland, Mich., then went to Princeton seminary. Before deciding to focus on economics, he wanted to be a professor of systematic theology and cites John Calvin, Karl Barth, and Reinhold Niebuhr as influences.
And he says his religious background informs his views on economics. “I’ve always found it amazing how we have the grand swath of the Judeo-Christian tradition, and we lost moral arguments on the major issue of our day,” he says, referring to fiscal-policy issues.
Murdoch has dinner with our leader
Update: today's Essential poll shows Labor reaching the magic 40% primary figure. Coalition 37%. TTP 54/46, pretty much in line now with all other polls. (As an aside: how do the Nationals manage to have so much influence with a primary vote of 3%?) Shorten now preferred PM by 4%.
Anyhow, monty and I should be off for drinks at Sussex Street again...
Foreign Correspondent recommended, yet again
Last night's Foreign Correspondent, about a Syrian refugee camp in Jordan, was fascinating viewing. In fact, every week since the show's return has just been fantastically well done stories about international politics, but always with a large element of human interest.
There is nothing that compares to this show on commercial TV. In fact, serious current affairs on any commercial TV station has been dead for decades. Perhaps 60 Minutes in it original incarnation in - what?, the late 70's or 80's? - came closest to being worthy. But since then?
There is nothing that compares to this show on commercial TV. In fact, serious current affairs on any commercial TV station has been dead for decades. Perhaps 60 Minutes in it original incarnation in - what?, the late 70's or 80's? - came closest to being worthy. But since then?
Just do a proper test
BBC News - Mobile phone effect on fertility - 'research needed'
I see from the side links to this story that there has been speculation for at least a decade that mobile phones might be affecting sperm cells, at least if the phone is worn close to their traditional mobile storage facilities.
Surely the way to get some definitive evidence of this is to recruit sufficient university students (cut out those who use marijuana or other drugs) who carry phones in their shirt, test their "boys", and then give them a belt pouch for their phone and get them to use that in the same front facing position for (I don't know?) 3 to 6 months, and re-test them.
That seems better than all this survey evidence, and laboratory testing of exposing samples to radiation, doesn't it?
I see from the side links to this story that there has been speculation for at least a decade that mobile phones might be affecting sperm cells, at least if the phone is worn close to their traditional mobile storage facilities.
Surely the way to get some definitive evidence of this is to recruit sufficient university students (cut out those who use marijuana or other drugs) who carry phones in their shirt, test their "boys", and then give them a belt pouch for their phone and get them to use that in the same front facing position for (I don't know?) 3 to 6 months, and re-test them.
That seems better than all this survey evidence, and laboratory testing of exposing samples to radiation, doesn't it?
Greg's getting annoyed
IR debate hijacked by the right - The Drum (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)
Here's a good post, full of graphs, whereby Greg Jericho gets to blast away about how Coalition complaints about the state of IR and wages are pretty much fact free.
Here's a good post, full of graphs, whereby Greg Jericho gets to blast away about how Coalition complaints about the state of IR and wages are pretty much fact free.
A recent recruit to the Anti Tattoo League
I still get people commenting from time to time at my anti tattoo post (quite a few from the angry tattooed of the world, last time I looked), so it's of interest to note that The Guardian has a comment piece up by a young woman who has regretted getting a "sleeve".
I wonder how many people have the physical discomfit she describes:
The comments that follow the article are often pretty amusing, too; partly driven by the fact that the writer seems to be a child prodigy that few have heard of.
Still, she's on the righteous side of the tattoo issue, and for that she's OK in my books.
I wonder how many people have the physical discomfit she describes:
Underneath my ink smears are raised scars; the whole thing bubbles up and itches in summer. Even in a tailored suit it peeps out like mould. Blue ink has seeped between the layers of skin and spread into my armpit. My generation will be at the NHS at 80 getting our gammy legs seen to while doctors try to find a vein under the faded, stretched, misshapen detritus of our unartistic body art; a postmodern mash-up of badly translated Chinese words, bungled Latin quotes, dolphins, roses, anchors, faces of favoured children or pets, and Japanese wallpaper designs.Yes, I award her honorary membership to the League.
The comments that follow the article are often pretty amusing, too; partly driven by the fact that the writer seems to be a child prodigy that few have heard of.
Still, she's on the righteous side of the tattoo issue, and for that she's OK in my books.
Tuesday, June 10, 2014
Somehow, I doubt he has the solution
Warren Mundine has a whine today about how money spent on aboriginal housing still hasn't made a difference and he'll see that cuts to "failed programs" and "eliminating waste" will make a difference.
It is amazing that cost effective aboriginal housing programs just never seem to happen.
But let's face it: there have been decades of talk of the need for a different approach to providing appropriate aboriginal housing in remote areas; surely at least some of the new ideas have been tried and failed. In light of this, I am very skeptical of anyone who comes along and suggests, like Mundine, that he can see where it's all going wrong and something new must be tried and wasteful administration must stop and it'll improve.
In fact, it's hard to avoid the feeling that the problems with housing arise from some very fundamental issues which are near intractable unless there were to be pretty major movement towards changing these things: settlements which exist in areas with next to nothing resembling an economic attachment to the rest of the nation; chronic drug and alcohol problems in those places, and the dire effects that has on child raising as well as engagement with what slim economic opportunities which may be nearby; and family arrangements which can led to overcrowding of housing and maintenance needs well beyond those of, say, the Western nuclear family.
None of these problems are easily addressed, and some suggestions (educating children in towns away from family) have sensitivities due to past aboriginal treatment.
So Warren's complaints and proposed actions are rather unlikely to represent any major change to what has gone on before, is my bet.
And see - for once I got through this topic without mentioning yurts. Well, nearly.
It is amazing that cost effective aboriginal housing programs just never seem to happen.
But let's face it: there have been decades of talk of the need for a different approach to providing appropriate aboriginal housing in remote areas; surely at least some of the new ideas have been tried and failed. In light of this, I am very skeptical of anyone who comes along and suggests, like Mundine, that he can see where it's all going wrong and something new must be tried and wasteful administration must stop and it'll improve.
In fact, it's hard to avoid the feeling that the problems with housing arise from some very fundamental issues which are near intractable unless there were to be pretty major movement towards changing these things: settlements which exist in areas with next to nothing resembling an economic attachment to the rest of the nation; chronic drug and alcohol problems in those places, and the dire effects that has on child raising as well as engagement with what slim economic opportunities which may be nearby; and family arrangements which can led to overcrowding of housing and maintenance needs well beyond those of, say, the Western nuclear family.
None of these problems are easily addressed, and some suggestions (educating children in towns away from family) have sensitivities due to past aboriginal treatment.
So Warren's complaints and proposed actions are rather unlikely to represent any major change to what has gone on before, is my bet.
And see - for once I got through this topic without mentioning yurts. Well, nearly.
Hilarious
I noticed this morning The Guardian report that News Corp is accusing the Daily Mail Australia of plagiarism.
Yes, that would be the company that saw this Daily Mail site layout, which has been used for years:
Oh I see - on the side bar the photo is on the left and the words on the right on the Tele version. And they like pinky-red too. That's OK then.
Yes, that would be the company that saw this Daily Mail site layout, which has been used for years:
and recently decided to start setting out its Daily Tele like this:
Good question
Someone at the Christian Science Monitor is wondering why the US media seems reluctant or slow to call the weekend Vegas shootings an act of domestic terrorism.
And of course, the guns will turn out to have been legally purchased, I bet.
Update: looks like I was wrong on the legally purchased guns. Mother Jones report indicates they may have received them in response to a plea on Facebook, of all places, for any gun "that can reach out and touch evil tyrant bastards." Of course, it really takes a country with an unusual number of Right wing paranoid gun loving nutters for such a request to be made and receive helpful responses...
And of course, the guns will turn out to have been legally purchased, I bet.
Update: looks like I was wrong on the legally purchased guns. Mother Jones report indicates they may have received them in response to a plea on Facebook, of all places, for any gun "that can reach out and touch evil tyrant bastards." Of course, it really takes a country with an unusual number of Right wing paranoid gun loving nutters for such a request to be made and receive helpful responses...
Monday, June 09, 2014
The blockbuster not doing so well at the box office...
Suggestions for lines for Peta to be saying welcome.
I think it's Twitter worthy as it is, though.
Update: that was a hint to someone, anyone, with a Twitter account to post it to auspol. :-)
BTW, I haven't seen the movie yet. Next weekend.
Update 2: I have previously been critical of politicians who call a broken promise a lie. (And yes, I don't give credit to Labor when they do that to Abbott either.)
But just on the radio this morning, I heard Abbott repeat what is a clear lie from 2011 when giving his press conference with (his only) international buddy on climate change, Stephen Harper:
“We should do what we reasonably can to limit emissions and avoid man-made climate change but we shouldn’t clobber the economy, and that’s why I’ve always been against a carbon tax and an emissions trading scheme, because it harms our economy without necessarily helping the environment.”This is a lie. As Bernard Keane noted in 2011, Abbott tried to "un-lie" (my word, not Bernard's) the same claim he made back then by a later qualification:
Oddly, despite the media attention, most missed Mr Abbott’s particularly risible remark. It wasn’t merely that Abbott claimed he had never supported a carbon tax or an ETS — a claim so demonstrably untrue even The Australian mentioned it. He belatedly qualified that by adding the caveat “as leader” hours later, the worst recovery since Basil Fawlty, learning his American guest enjoyed the works of Harold Robbins, pretended to be lambasting someone else. “Oh Harold Robbins. I was talking about… Harold Robinson.”Years later, and he's back with the same claim, with no qualification.
For all of the gigantic (and undeserved) kerfuffle from the public about Gillard (allegedly) breaking a promise when her general sympathy to the idea of carbon pricing was well known, Tony Abbott with his "say anything" approach to climate change and a host of other issues is truly the one who has earned the "liar" title.
Sunday, June 08, 2014
Weekend update
* I am happy to report that the chicken recipe as noted last week is quite nice. But can someone explain to me why, for as long as I can remember, baking chicken always takes about 1 1/2 to 2 times longer than recipes suggest?
* I didn't even want to go to the Lifeline Bookfest which is on again this long weekend at the Convention centre. (I have probably 10 books from previous years' visits awaiting my attention.) But my wife wanted to go, and while there, I remembered that I wouldn't mind reading a biography of Einstein. Located! (And it was the only bio I saw about him in the whole place.) Cost $6. Also got a couple of short Graham Greenes I hadn't heard about before. A successful visit.
* Had a couple of nice craft beers at the Hoo Ha Bar yesterday afternoon. A nice, comfy bar close to Southbank which one could imagine being happy at every Saturday afternoon. (And the craft beer movement is a fantastic thing that I trust will never end. Why did it take so long to happen, though, I wonder?)
* Long weekends are good, aren't they? They avoid that neither-here-nor-there feeling of a Sunday afternoon in a normal workweek. I have never got the hang of Sunday afternoons. Maybe it's because I used to do homework at that time when I was a student if there wasn't anything else on that weekend, but even as an adult it goes something like this: Saturdays are a welcome break, and good for shopping and either eating out (if you are single or in childless coupledom) or cooking something that take more time; Sunday mornings are relaxing for a special breakfast and a political review on TV, followed by a relaxed lunch; but Sunday afternoons are just too close to Monday to feel entirely comfortable with them.
* I have not yet seen Edge of Tomorrow. I might, tomorrow. (Or maybe next weekend when daughter is on a sleep over.)
* I didn't even want to go to the Lifeline Bookfest which is on again this long weekend at the Convention centre. (I have probably 10 books from previous years' visits awaiting my attention.) But my wife wanted to go, and while there, I remembered that I wouldn't mind reading a biography of Einstein. Located! (And it was the only bio I saw about him in the whole place.) Cost $6. Also got a couple of short Graham Greenes I hadn't heard about before. A successful visit.
* Had a couple of nice craft beers at the Hoo Ha Bar yesterday afternoon. A nice, comfy bar close to Southbank which one could imagine being happy at every Saturday afternoon. (And the craft beer movement is a fantastic thing that I trust will never end. Why did it take so long to happen, though, I wonder?)
* Long weekends are good, aren't they? They avoid that neither-here-nor-there feeling of a Sunday afternoon in a normal workweek. I have never got the hang of Sunday afternoons. Maybe it's because I used to do homework at that time when I was a student if there wasn't anything else on that weekend, but even as an adult it goes something like this: Saturdays are a welcome break, and good for shopping and either eating out (if you are single or in childless coupledom) or cooking something that take more time; Sunday mornings are relaxing for a special breakfast and a political review on TV, followed by a relaxed lunch; but Sunday afternoons are just too close to Monday to feel entirely comfortable with them.
* I have not yet seen Edge of Tomorrow. I might, tomorrow. (Or maybe next weekend when daughter is on a sleep over.)
Friday, June 06, 2014
Always the same answer
Well, if you ask me, Adam Creighton's latest column is a complete schemozzle, and illustrates again why his type of analysis is best ignored: it doesn't matter what the problem is, the answer is always going to be less taxes, less bureaucracy, and less welfare bludgers. Oh, and suppress wages in the meantime too.
Antarctic sea ice noted
What is the paradox of increasing Antarctic sea ice really telling us?
Not a bad look at the question of why Antarctic sea ice has been increasing, while Arctic sea ice (in summer) has been dramatically decreasing.
By the way, the Arctic is well into melt season, and tracking at pretty low levels. (I would paste a pic here, but the NSIDC site is currently down.)
Not a bad look at the question of why Antarctic sea ice has been increasing, while Arctic sea ice (in summer) has been dramatically decreasing.
By the way, the Arctic is well into melt season, and tracking at pretty low levels. (I would paste a pic here, but the NSIDC site is currently down.)
A cultural change
Back on the Colorado marijuana experiment, it's interesting to read this:
Ironically, I read elsewhere that the legalisation law requires that the first slice of government profit from it has to go to school funding. Yet my prediction (which will take some time to see if it comes true) is that the major concern about the social effect of legalisation will come from its effects on teenage education (and teenage health effects generally). We will see.
This suggests that legalisation of the product will have a significant cultural effect towards encouraging teenage use of it, which is exactly what you do not want.In Colorado, reviews of pot are fast eclipsing fuddy duddy reviews of wine, restaurants, cigars and pretty much everything else.Since January, the Denver Post has been running a culture-of-cannabis website called The Cannabist. It reviews every conceivable variety of pot (recreational marijuana is legal in the state) but also pot’s accouterments, including pipes, vapor pens, cuisine prepared with pot and outdoor activities made more enjoyable by being high.Ricardo Baca, 37, the Post’s marijuana editor and founder of The Cannabist, tells ABC News the site has been a huge hit (no pun intended) since its January debut. He declines to quote numbers for how much traffic it has gotten, but says, “We launched three or four days before recreational sales of marijuana started in Colorado, and we came out of the gate strong. The traffic has been unreal.”
Ironically, I read elsewhere that the legalisation law requires that the first slice of government profit from it has to go to school funding. Yet my prediction (which will take some time to see if it comes true) is that the major concern about the social effect of legalisation will come from its effects on teenage education (and teenage health effects generally). We will see.
A question
The oddest political story around at the moment, apart from the Bolt/Jones/Turnbull fight, is the one wherein the ABC is saying that "leading Liberals" told them that the Nationals had been gamed on the matter of the petrol excise increase.
Who in the Liberal Party has the motivation to be causing such trouble for the Coalition at the moment? (I find it hard to believe it would be Turnbull himself; and besides which, the ABC has always indicated it was not a single source.)
Who in the Liberal Party has the motivation to be causing such trouble for the Coalition at the moment? (I find it hard to believe it would be Turnbull himself; and besides which, the ABC has always indicated it was not a single source.)
What was I saying about early evidence?
Here's a rule of thumb: any reporter who uses "nanny state" in his writing deserves to be a blogger, not a serious journalist; and chances are they're aligned with libertarianism and/or the IPA.
Christian Kerr falls into that category with his report today under the shock! horror! headline "Labor's plain packaging fails as cigarette sales rise." Apparently, industry figures (gee, no room for manipulation there, I guess, Christian?) indicate a .3 percent rise in tobacco sales in the first full year of plain packaging.
0.3! A catastrophe.
Libertarian types, of course, might be rather loathe to consider a few factors here:
a. industry manipulation of their sales or sales figures. No, this industry has always been scrupulously honest, hey?
b. (I don't know if this is possible, I would have to check, but then I'm sure Kerr hasn't) stockpiling of cigarettes to avoid price rises;
c. even, possibly, a genuine smoker led rebellion against "nanny statism", but one which is so small that the true way plain packaging was expected to work will not be deterred for long.
I always understood that the point of plain packaging was mainly to deter teenagers from starting. I would not dismiss the possibility that, for a very, very small number of dumb teenagers (being inspired by parents in the IPA, probably), might take up smoking so as laugh in the face of "nanny statism". But for every one of them, how many teenage girls will be subtly put off by the ugly packaging?
Time will tell, but it was never reasonable to expect that huge numbers of smokers would immediately be butting out because of this change.
As for the Australian - I don't remember looking up before whether Rupert was a smoker, but I see he certainly has had tobacco connections in the past:
Update 2: of course, I knew Sinclair Davidson would be gobbling up this tobacco company promoted news without the slightest hint of skepticism, just like an ex smoker from a think tank with known past, if not current, ties to the tobacco industry, would. In fact, as a long time reader of Catallaxy, my expectation from the various self disclosures there is that something approaching 95% of its thread participants are ex or current smokers. The evidence from there suggests smoking is more harmful to cognition than people recognise.
And another thought - if (as someone suggests in that thread) the figures are right, and explained by smokers moving to cheaper brands and therefore smoking slightly more - a .3% on average increase in smoking by existing smokers is not going to matter one pinch in the public health issue.
What is much more important is the effect on total number of smokers - particularly new, young smokers taking it up. And that could only be answered by survey information, over time.
Is that so hard for an economist to work out?
Update 3: in a pretty desperate attempt to save his argument in light of the Koukoulas cited ABS figures, I see that SD has gone to themonthly quarterly figures to declare that plain packaging still led to higher consumption, and arguing that consumption only dropped off after the excise increase.
Seems to me this doesn't rebut my stockpiling possible explanation, and how with any certainly can you say the excise increase must be the sole reason for the drop off?
But let's not let considering all possible factors get in the way of simplistic story fed to us by tobacco companies, hey?
Update 4: don't believe me, just read The Guardian.
Christian Kerr falls into that category with his report today under the shock! horror! headline "Labor's plain packaging fails as cigarette sales rise." Apparently, industry figures (gee, no room for manipulation there, I guess, Christian?) indicate a .3 percent rise in tobacco sales in the first full year of plain packaging.
0.3! A catastrophe.
Libertarian types, of course, might be rather loathe to consider a few factors here:
a. industry manipulation of their sales or sales figures. No, this industry has always been scrupulously honest, hey?
b. (I don't know if this is possible, I would have to check, but then I'm sure Kerr hasn't) stockpiling of cigarettes to avoid price rises;
c. even, possibly, a genuine smoker led rebellion against "nanny statism", but one which is so small that the true way plain packaging was expected to work will not be deterred for long.
I always understood that the point of plain packaging was mainly to deter teenagers from starting. I would not dismiss the possibility that, for a very, very small number of dumb teenagers (being inspired by parents in the IPA, probably), might take up smoking so as laugh in the face of "nanny statism". But for every one of them, how many teenage girls will be subtly put off by the ugly packaging?
Time will tell, but it was never reasonable to expect that huge numbers of smokers would immediately be butting out because of this change.
As for the Australian - I don't remember looking up before whether Rupert was a smoker, but I see he certainly has had tobacco connections in the past:
Media magnate Rupert Murdoch joined the Board of Directors of Philip Morris in August 1989 and he continued to serve on their board into the 1990s. [1][2] The relationship appeared to serve PM well. A 1985 PM internal report shows that information that could negatively affect the tobacco industry was routinely withheld from Murdoch-owned newspapers worldwide:
As regards the media, we plan to build similar relationships to those we now have with Murdoch's News Limited with other newspaper proprietors. Murdoch's papers rarely publish anti-smoking articles these days. To sum up, then, on using our natural allies. We have made a start; we have proved that it can be done; we have found that they can be a very effective force; and we intend to do more in the future.Update: Stephen Koukoulas says some Bureau of Stats figures paint a completely different picture of substantial dropping consumption. There may be nothing to explain at all, apart from tobacco company spin, and The Australian's shameful shilling for them.
Update 2: of course, I knew Sinclair Davidson would be gobbling up this tobacco company promoted news without the slightest hint of skepticism, just like an ex smoker from a think tank with known past, if not current, ties to the tobacco industry, would. In fact, as a long time reader of Catallaxy, my expectation from the various self disclosures there is that something approaching 95% of its thread participants are ex or current smokers. The evidence from there suggests smoking is more harmful to cognition than people recognise.
And another thought - if (as someone suggests in that thread) the figures are right, and explained by smokers moving to cheaper brands and therefore smoking slightly more - a .3% on average increase in smoking by existing smokers is not going to matter one pinch in the public health issue.
What is much more important is the effect on total number of smokers - particularly new, young smokers taking it up. And that could only be answered by survey information, over time.
Is that so hard for an economist to work out?
Update 3: in a pretty desperate attempt to save his argument in light of the Koukoulas cited ABS figures, I see that SD has gone to the
Seems to me this doesn't rebut my stockpiling possible explanation, and how with any certainly can you say the excise increase must be the sole reason for the drop off?
But let's not let considering all possible factors get in the way of simplistic story fed to us by tobacco companies, hey?
Update 4: don't believe me, just read The Guardian.
Thursday, June 05, 2014
Learning about Leo
Last night, in my post about Einstein, I noted that I was not familiar with Leó Szilárd, who apparently wrote the letter that Einstein signed that convinced Roosevelt to get going with developing the atomic bomb. The letter has its own Wikipedia entry, and here's the key part of the fascinating story:
His own Wikipedia entry is pretty good, and I feel I should know his name, given he held the patent (with Fermi) for the nuclear reactor! (He had also developed a type of refrigerator with Einstein in the 1920's, and the linear accelerator. Quite a significant scientist.)
The most interesting part in the Wiki entry, though, is about Leo's attempt to get the US to merely demonstrate the atomic bomb in the hopes it would convince the Japanese to surrender:
The other interesting thing in the interview is that he disputes the argument that America could not afford to put on a mere demonstration because it only had two atomic bombs:
So Leo certainly sounds like an interesting, somewhat controversial character. Maybe good material for a movie, but then again he was not exactly matinee idol material. Here is he with Einstein in 1946, looking a bit like Jackie Gleason to me:
(And who knew Albert liked such long pipes.)
Here is Leo at some unspecified older age:
Note exactly Tom Hanks material.
After the war he got into biological research, although it's not clear how significant that work was, except that he managed to treat his own bladder cancer with radiation successfully.
Another slightly peculiar thing about him from this chronology of his life: he appears to have met his future wife in 1930 (when he was 32), but didn't marry her 1951 (aged 53.) No kids, I assume.
Here's a very old web page (not updated since 2000 apparently - it really takes you back to how the internet used to look) with many more links to further material about him.
The post about him at Restricted Data: the Nuclear Secrecy Blog (which looks like a good site generally) starts:
On July 12, 1939, Szilárd and Wigner drove in Wigner's car to Peconic Bay on Long Island, where Einstein was staying.[9] When they explained about the possibility of atomic bombs, Einstein replied: Daran habe ich gar nicht gedacht (I had not thought of that).[10] Szilárd dictated a letter in German to the Belgian Ambassador to the United States. Wigner wrote it down, and Einstein signed it. At Wigner's suggestion, they also prepared a letter for the State Department explaining what they were doing and why, giving it two weeks to respond if it had any objections.[9]
This still left the problem of getting government support for uranium research. Another friend of Szilárd's, the Austrian economist Gustav Stolper, suggested approaching Alexander Sachs, who had access to President Franklin D. Roosevelt. Sachs told Szilárd that he had already spoken to the President about uranium, but that Fermi and Pegram had reported that the prospects for building an atomic bomb were remote. He told Szilárd that he would deliver the letter, but suggested that it come from someone more prestigious. For Szilárd, Einstein was again the obvious choice.[6] Sachs and Szilárd drafted a letter riddled with spelling errors and mailed it to Einstein.[11]
Szilárd set out for Long Island again on August 2. Wigner was unavailable, so this time Szilárd co-opted another Hungarian physicist, Edward Teller to do the driving. Einstein dictated the letter in German. On returning to Columbia University, Szilárd dictated the letter in English to a young departmental stenographer, Janet Coatesworth. She later recalled that when Szilárd mentioned extremely powerful bombs, she "was sure she was working for a nut".[12] Ending the letter with "Yours truly, Albert Einstein" did nothing to alter this impression. Both the letter and a longer explanatory letter were then posted to Einstein....
The letter was signed by Einstein and posted back to Szilárd, who received it on August 9.[12] Szilárd gave both the short and long letters, along with a letter of his own, to Sachs on August 15. Sachs asked the White House staff for an appointment to see the President, but before one could be set up, the administration became embroiled in a crisis due to Germany's invasion of Poland, which started World War II.[14] Sachs delayed his appointment until October so that the President would give the letter due attention, securing an appointment on October 11. On that date he met with the President, the President's secretary, Brigadier General Edwin "Pa" Watson, and two ordnance experts, Army Lieutenant Colonel Keith F. Adamson and Navy Commander Gilbert C. Hoover. Roosevelt summed up the conversation as: "Alex, what you are after is to see that the Nazis don't blow us up."[15]But back to Leo.
His own Wikipedia entry is pretty good, and I feel I should know his name, given he held the patent (with Fermi) for the nuclear reactor! (He had also developed a type of refrigerator with Einstein in the 1920's, and the linear accelerator. Quite a significant scientist.)
The most interesting part in the Wiki entry, though, is about Leo's attempt to get the US to merely demonstrate the atomic bomb in the hopes it would convince the Japanese to surrender:
As the war continued, Szilárd became increasingly dismayed that scientists were losing control over their research to the military, and argued many times with General Leslie Groves, military director of the project. His resentment towards the U.S. government was exacerbated by his failure to prevent the destructive use of the atomic bomb through having a test explosion that could be witnessed by Japanese observers who would then have the opportunity to surrender and spare lives...And from that last link (another Wikipedia entry):
He drafted the Szilárd petition advocating demonstration of the atomic bomb.
The Szilárd petition, drafted by scientist Leó Szilárd, was signed by 70 scientists working on the Manhattan Project in Oak Ridge, Tennessee, and the Metallurgical Laboratory in Chicago, Illinois. It was circulated in July 1945 and asked President Harry S. Truman to consider an observed demonstration of the power of the atomic bomb first, before using it against people. However, the petition never made it through the chain of command to President Truman. It also was not declassified and made public until 1961.Leo was hoping to get to Roosevelt via his wife, but the timing was unfortunate. Here's the short version:
In reaction to the petition, General Leslie Groves, the director of the Manhattan Project, sought evidence of unlawful behavior against Szilárd.[2] Most of the signers lost their jobs in weapons work.
Using another letter from Einstein, Szilard scheduled a meeting with Eleanor Roosevelt for May 8. He planned to give her information that would caution President Roosevelt about the danger of a nuclear arms race if the a-bomb was used before an international control agreement could be discussed with the Soviets. But on April 12, President Roosevelt died.For the longer version, straight from a 1960 interview with Szilárd, go here.
An attempt to meet with President Truman led instead to a May 28, 1945 meeting with James Byrnes, who would soon become Sec. of State. But Byrnes thoroughly disagreed with Szilard's views.
The other interesting thing in the interview is that he disputes the argument that America could not afford to put on a mere demonstration because it only had two atomic bombs:
Q Did you have any knowledge of Secretary of War Stimson's concern at this time on the question of using the bomb?It's not explained how long, but it's nonetheless interesting that Leo strongly disputes this argument.
A I knew that Mr. Stimson was a thoughtful man who gave the bomb serious consideration. He was one of the most thoughtful members of the Truman cabinet. However, I certainly have to take exception to the article Stimson wrote after Hiroshima in "Harper's Magazine." He wrote that a "demonstration" of the A-bomb was impossible because we had only two bombs. Had we staged a "demonstration" both bombs might have been duds and then we would have lost face.
Now, this argument is clearly invalid. It is quite true that at the time of Hiroshima we had only two bombs, but it would not have been necessary to wait for very long before we would have had several more.
So Leo certainly sounds like an interesting, somewhat controversial character. Maybe good material for a movie, but then again he was not exactly matinee idol material. Here is he with Einstein in 1946, looking a bit like Jackie Gleason to me:
(And who knew Albert liked such long pipes.)
Here is Leo at some unspecified older age:
Note exactly Tom Hanks material.
After the war he got into biological research, although it's not clear how significant that work was, except that he managed to treat his own bladder cancer with radiation successfully.
Another slightly peculiar thing about him from this chronology of his life: he appears to have met his future wife in 1930 (when he was 32), but didn't marry her 1951 (aged 53.) No kids, I assume.
Here's a very old web page (not updated since 2000 apparently - it really takes you back to how the internet used to look) with many more links to further material about him.
The post about him at Restricted Data: the Nuclear Secrecy Blog (which looks like a good site generally) starts:
Leo Szilard is one of the most fascinating characters of the nuclear age. He was colorful, principled, clever, and often genuinely ahead of his time. And he always shows up early in the story.That sounds about right.
Nietzsche should've kept away from the cannabis
Heh. This post contains a nice thematic mix from several recent blog posts.
I don't even remember why I looked up the topic of whether or not Nietzsche died of neurosyphilis. OK, yes I do: it was because I Googled whether Beethoven had died a virgin (the jury's out on that), but someone's list of famous virgins contained Nietzsche too. (It suggested he got his syphilis medically - something I had never heard before, but I haven't tracked down who came up with that idea.)
Anyhow, it turns out that there has been a substantial body of doubt about whether N really did have the dreaded disease at all, and you can read on line a pretty good argument made out in 2003 by Leonard Sax in the Journal of Medical Biography as to why he did not. (It's a .pdf).
Given that the Wikipedia entry for N contains not only the common belief that he caught syphilis from a female prostitute, but also an alternative theory that he was gay and caught it in a male brothel in Genoa, it's pretty clear that is very broad uncertainty indeed as to what went on in Friedrich's sex life, if anything.
The Sax article is particularly interesting because it notes that there are examples of bizarre thoughts going on in Nietzsche's head, suggestive of mental issues, going right back to adolescence.
Not only that, but I also get to drag in my personal jihad against cannabis from this part of the paper, regarding N's sisters attempt to rehabilitate the image of her brother:
OK, so it turns out no one believes Elisabeth was right; but as I say, biographers can't even decide if he was a virgin or male brothel customer.
I therefore choose to believe what suits my biases: Nietzsche may well have gone mad due to using cannabis. Take that, Jason Soon... hahahaha.
Update: first version spelt his name about 4 different ways. I think I have finally got it right. Who can trust a philosopher whose name is so hard to remember, anyway?
I don't even remember why I looked up the topic of whether or not Nietzsche died of neurosyphilis. OK, yes I do: it was because I Googled whether Beethoven had died a virgin (the jury's out on that), but someone's list of famous virgins contained Nietzsche too. (It suggested he got his syphilis medically - something I had never heard before, but I haven't tracked down who came up with that idea.)
Anyhow, it turns out that there has been a substantial body of doubt about whether N really did have the dreaded disease at all, and you can read on line a pretty good argument made out in 2003 by Leonard Sax in the Journal of Medical Biography as to why he did not. (It's a .pdf).
Given that the Wikipedia entry for N contains not only the common belief that he caught syphilis from a female prostitute, but also an alternative theory that he was gay and caught it in a male brothel in Genoa, it's pretty clear that is very broad uncertainty indeed as to what went on in Friedrich's sex life, if anything.
The Sax article is particularly interesting because it notes that there are examples of bizarre thoughts going on in Nietzsche's head, suggestive of mental issues, going right back to adolescence.
Not only that, but I also get to drag in my personal jihad against cannabis from this part of the paper, regarding N's sisters attempt to rehabilitate the image of her brother:
Mobius’ book came as a shock to Elisabeth. [He had re-stated the belief that N died of syphilis.] She set about the task of writing a definitive biography of her brother herself, to refute Mobius’ ‘‘vile insinuations’’. Her subsequent biography portrayed her brother as a saint. She included letters and testimonials from Nietzsche’s closest friends to the effect that he had always been chaste. Elisabeth suggested that the trigger for Nietzsche’s collapse was a mysterious ‘‘Javanese tea’’, which she claimed to have identified as Cannabis indica. Subsequent scholarship showed that Elisabeth’s suggestion was fantasy. There is no mention of ‘‘Javanese tea’’ or any variety of cannabis in any authenticated letter to or from Nietzsche. Elisabeth herself never mentioned it until the publication of Mobius’ book in 1902.What is this "cannabis indica"? Well, the Hash Museum of Amsterdam website (not a regular cyberhaunt of mine, but I figured it was more likely to be reliable than the scores of pothead sites that came up) confirms that it is closely related to cannabis sativa and certainly contains lots of cannabinoids and is used to get high.
OK, so it turns out no one believes Elisabeth was right; but as I say, biographers can't even decide if he was a virgin or male brothel customer.
I therefore choose to believe what suits my biases: Nietzsche may well have gone mad due to using cannabis. Take that, Jason Soon... hahahaha.
Update: first version spelt his name about 4 different ways. I think I have finally got it right. Who can trust a philosopher whose name is so hard to remember, anyway?
Why bother?
I'm waiting to find someone who knows something about Indonesia to explain why Yudhoyono would even bother meeting with Tony Abbott, given that he's on the way out. (SBY, that is. Not Tony, as much as I wish Andrew Bolt was right that Malcolm Turnbull was about to stage some sort of bloody Game of Thrones style coup while Tone's away.)
The Jakarta Post reports that the meeting didn't mean much:
The Jakarta Post reports that the meeting didn't mean much:
While praising his host President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono as a great statesman and a true friend of his country, Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott has apparently chosen to wait for the new Indonesian president before reaching substantial agreements on such sensitive issues as intelligence gathering and boat people, which have rocked relations between the two countries since Abbott’s election last year.Maybe SBY was just happy to be meeting anyone, because the Post also reports:
With his final term winding down, President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono has three times this week chastised Cabinet ministers and military generals for getting involved in the presidential campaign and neglecting their duties.
In a Cabinet meeting on Wednesday, coinciding with the start of the 30-day presidential campaign period, Yudhoyono reiterated a statement he made on Tuesday that his ministers should take leave or resign if participating in campaign activities would prevent them from performing their main duties.
On Wednesday, Yudhoyono went even further by saying that according to his own “observation and judgment” some of his ministers were no longer focused on doing their jobs.
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