Interesting points on the latest Trump indictments

From the Washington Post:

The prosecution of Trump and the others in Fulton County will stand out for one distinct reason: Unlike the federal trials (unless the rules change), it should be televised.

That will seemingly bring a measure of transparency to the high-stakes proceedings and create appointment viewing — just as the House Jan. 6 committee hearings did last year but potentially with even greater numbers.

But unlike the other trials, that spectacle is less likely to play out when it matters politically. The many defendants and Trump’s already crowded legal calendar make this a strong candidate for getting delayed past the 2024 election. Willis says she will ask for a trial date within six months, but that’s ambitious.

That doesn’t mean it won’t matter politically. As noted above, the charges against Trump allies could matter when it comes to how the federal prosecution takes shape. Trump’s attacks on witnesses could create problems under Georgia’s witness intimidation laws, which allow bail only if there is “no significant risk of intimidating witnesses.”

And there remains the possibility of Trump’s winning the 2024 election and facing this trial as a sitting president.

I think it would be pretty hilariously disastrous for Republicans to be insane enough to endorse Trump as a candidate while he is in jail awaiting trial.

Surely, if he ends up in jail because he refuses to stop deriding and trying to intimidate witnesses and judges, at least some of the lickspittle politicians who have sold their souls to MAGA might have to actually say "this is painful to admit, but we need another candidate"?  

The state of the world

It's pretty pathetic that serious news organisations have to spend time noting, and debunking, loony Right wing conspiracies about the tragic firestorm at Maui:

Hawaii wildfires: 'Directed energy weapon' and other false claims go viral

Male mice not as sex obsessed as you might expect

In a somewhat interesting article, it seems that they have identified a, shall we say,  one stop "horny centre" in the brains of male mice:

Researchers have singled out in lab mice a brain region that controls sexual interest, libido, mating behavior and pleasure, said senior researcher Dr. Nirao Shah, a professor of psychiatry and neurobiology at Stanford University School of Medicine, in California.

This region uses sensory input from the environment to recognize the sex of another mouse—"Aha, this is a female, maybe I can mate if she's willing," Shah said. 

More details:

For their experiments, Shah's team used adult virgin male mice that had not seen a female mouse after being weaned at about 3 weeks of age. That way, the brain activity and behavior they observed would not have been shaped by social influences. 

Well, as long as there is no risk that lack of knowledge of female mice doesn't encourage mice to try mounting other males, I suppose?   To continue:

The researchers meticulously mapped the brain cells and connections that compose this particular circuit, called the preoptic area of the hypothalamus (POA).

Earlier work by the research team had found they could turn on and off male mice's recognition of an unfamiliar female mouse by manipulating neurons that communicate to the POA from the amygdala, which is the seat of human emotion.

The specific signals came from a part of the amygdala called the bed nucleus of the stria terminalis, or BNST.

"We had no reason to believe that this POA region would not only control the act of mating, but also regulate the desire to mate or regulate the pleasurable feelings elicited by mating," Shah said.

"In principle, those three aspects of sexual behavior—the act of mating, the physical act itself, the urge to mate and the pleasure that accompanies it—those could be embodied in different brain regions," he added. "But what we found is that the POA has these attributes."

There is more detail in the article (including speculation that humans might have a similar centre, but apparently it hasn't been investigated much).   But the most amusing bit about the study is this:

In this new study, the researchers zeroed in on a small set of genetically distinct BNST neurons that secrete a slow-acting signaling protein, or peptide, called Substance P.

The scientists also found another small set of neurons in the POA that carried receptors for Substance P, essentially forming a connection with the BNST neurons.

The POA neurons ramped up their activity when stimulated by the Substance P-secreting BNST neurons. And about 10 to 15 minutes after that happened, male mice would go through their full sequence of mating behavior—mounting, penetration and ejaculation. 

I'm starting to feel sorry for the mice now:

Directly infusing the peptide to the POA accelerated mating behavior; in fact, direct activation of the circuit even led to mating with inanimate objects, the findings showed.

Stimulation of the POA also cut short the mice's refractory period, or the stretch of recovery time required before full sexual drive and capability is restored after ejaculation. 

Any guess what the refractory period for your average male mouse is?:

For the mice used in this study, the normal refractory period is five days. But directly stimulating the POA with Substance P prompted male mice that had just ejaculated to immediately repeat their sexual mating routine.

"It took one second or less for them to resume sexual activity," Shah said in a news release. "That's a more than 400,000-fold reduction in the refractory period."

Well, give the reputation of mice to reproduce at fantastic rate, I'm surprised that the males take five whole days to get interested in sex again.  

The article does not the obvious thought:  if there is anything like the same system in adult men, and a way to deliver Substance P to the right spot in the brain, it sounds like it'll make Viagra seem a relatively primate attempt at enhancing performance...

 

Not very Great Britain

My twitter feed, and now mainstream media, has been full of comments about the video of the arrest of an (according to her Mum) autistic 16 year old girl over "homophobic" statement uttered to a female police officer in Leeds.

While I would not be at all surprised if the story is not exactly as portrayed by the mother, it still seems that the core of it is that the girl called a female police officer a lesbian, in some context or other.  From the BBC report:

West Yorkshire Police Assistant Chief Constable Oz Khan said: "West Yorkshire Police takes its responsibilities around the welfare of young people taken into custody and around neurodiversity very seriously.

"We also maintain that our officers and staff should not have to face abuse while working to keep our communities safe.

"We are fully reviewing the circumstances of this incident and ask that people avoid reaching any conclusions about it solely on the basis of the social media video."

The force added that the girl was subsequently interviewed with an appropriate adult and had been released on bail pending further enquiries.

Okay.   Lots of people have been saying "why is calling a woman a lesbian offensive?"   And they might have a point.  Depends on the context, I guess.  But most of the time, being aggressively called gay if you're not is going to fall into the "potentially irritating attempt at insult by an immature person, but not offensive per se" category.   

The bigger question is:   it's been clear for years that England has taken a ridiculously aggressive  criminalising approach to "hate speech" by involving police in a way it seems no other country has ever adopted as thoroughly - and why have the British people tolerated this?    There have so many stories over the years where you think - "really?  The police got involved in that?"  

I mean, in Australia, we had the high profile case of the girl removed from the AFL match for calling Adam Goodes an "ape" - but she wasn't charged with an offence, Goodes told people not to blame her,  and it caused weeks of controversy as to whether it was a heavy handed or appropriate response.   

Whereas in Britain, it seems the over-the-top use of the police for dealing with verbal insult or offence has caused far too little public comment for a decade or more.  

Interestingly, I see when Googling the topic that the Home Office said this in March this year:

New statutory guidance on the recording of so-called non-crime hate incidents will ensure police prioritise freedom of expression, the Home Secretary has announced.

Under a new draft code of practice laid before Parliament today, the police will only record non-crime hate incidents when it is absolutely necessary and proportionate and not simply because someone is offended. The measure will better protect people’s fundamental right to freedom of expression as well as their personal data.

The draft code follows concerns around police involvement in reports of ‘hate incidents’ which are trivial or irrational and do not amount to a criminal offence.

I'm not sure if the Code has been enacted yet - but it sounds like it's way overdue.  

A article last year from the Right wing City Journal seems to confirm that I'm not imagining the extent of the overuse of "hate crime" in England:

The U.K now has some of the most authoritarian restrictions on free speech in Europe. The basis for much of Britain’s censorious legislation is the concept of protected characteristics—identities deemed vulnerable and enshrined in the Equality Act of 2010. Initially, that law had a noble intention: to fight prejudice and discrimination against minority groups. Unfortunately, the protection of a select group of people in the name of “equality” has made equality under the law no longer tenable, and the Equality Act itself has wound up chilling freedom of speech. Engaging in whatever authorities may deem hate speech can bring police to your door.

This threat is not theoretical. According to official statistics, the police in England and Wales recorded 124,000 hate crimes between March 2020 to March 2021—a 9 percent increase from the year before and more than double that of five years ago. One possible reason for the rise in police-recorded hate crime can be found in the College of Policing’s “Hate Crime Operational Guidance” handbook, issued in 2014. It defines hate crime as “any criminal offence which is perceived, by the victim or any other person, to be motivated by a hostility or prejudice based on a person’s race [or religion, sexual orientation, disability or transgender status].” Little or no evidence is required for an incident to be classified as such—only the subjective declaration of the alleged victim or witness....

Proliferating identity groups continue to seek protection from offense under the law. Last December, the Law Commission published recommendations on the reform of hate-crime law. It suggests expanding the concept of hate crime to include prejudice against the disabled and LGBT people. Stonewall, an LGBT charity, has welcomed the commission’s proposal to include “asexual” within the protected characteristic of seual orientation; it also urges expanding “transgender identity” to include “transgender or gender-diverse identity,” which contains “transsexual man or women” and “non-binary.” This, Stonewall argued, is “a huge leap forward for the safety of LGBTQ+ people.”

It does not require legal expertise to recognize how such legislation threatens a system of impartial justice. As the list of protected characteristics grows, hate-crime law will arbitrarily protect some and criminalize others. The concept is ultimately subjective. Should someone who attacks a transgender individual receive a longer sentence than someone who attacks a woman, simply because one attack is defined as a hate crime while the other is not? What makes one attack more hateful than another?

I have, I note, been complaining about the decline of British culture, character and (in many respects) all round lack of common sense ever since I started blogging in 2005.  (Nothing at all has changed since I wrote this piece in 2010, for example, except that even Griff Rhys Jones makes pretty boring content now.)   It has become a very weird country in so many ways...

In today's example of how not to win a referendum...

Some in the comments following have noticed his twitter account heading, and not taken it well:

I never liked the guy, anyway, but if  he wants to be an advertisement (ironically or not) for the idea that the whole reconciliation/treaty process is just an exercise about extracting money (a position actual racists have argued for decades), I guess he's free to do so.  

Amongst a lot of comments by some who no doubt would count as racist, there is this, which seems fair:

And while I don't know that this describes the situation for all "No" voters, this doesn't seem too unreasonable either:
 

Yes:  the thing is, the Yes campaign often promotes the idea that it is essential because (as Dan Andrews recently put it) "things work best when government listens".

But the issue is surely, at the fundamental level, not that governments "don't listen", but who they listen to amongst the range of aboriginal views often expressed on contentious issues.   

If the Voice is meant to solve that problem - formalising the "official" body who governments need to take advice from - the referendum still looks weakly justified because of the rambling, bureaucratic and inconclusive waffle that Langton and others came up with in describing how the representative body would work.   

Banshees seen

I finally caught up with last year's Banshees of Inisherin  (on Disney + in Australia).

Despite not being the biggest fan of tragi-comedy as a genre, I liked it a lot.

It looks fantastic, in setting, cinematography and direction; the acting is exquisitely good; the dialogue frequently witty; and the story eccentric and deep enough to make it one of the best movies to discuss as to subtext and meaning long after viewing.  (The Reddit threads about it are particularly good for this.) 

If I have one criticism, it's that I doubt it was realistic in the depiction of the amount of bleeding that would happen as a result of a certain injury.   (In that it showed way too little bleeding.)   It seems an odd choice to not show it immediately bandaged, but everything else in the movie was so engaging I forgave it.    

Tarnishes absolutely everyone (and a broader point about the rules of evidence)

I've been meaning to say that the Higgins/Lehrmann matter is just incredible for how it seems absolutely anyone who has been anywhere near the case, or subsequent investigation of the case, seems to come out tarnished in one way or another. 

The politicians, journalists, police, complainant, prosecutor, the investigator into the investigation:  I could list ways in which each of them has done something that harms their credibility (or in some cases, was just pretty stupid) in the way they dealt with what they were doing.

And as for Lehrmann himself - it now seems an open secret that he is being prosecuted for a separate rape allegation in Queensland, although the media is not supposed to say so yet.   

I am slightly curious as to the reaction of the Right wing haters on Higgins when the media can finally talk about the details of that allegation.

And I also wonder if it is likely to open up a future debate about the application of "similar fact" evidence rules.

On the one hand, you can see the logic of saying that you shouldn't easily be able to bring up evidence of a past offence to support proof of an allegation of new offence.   (Although the rule does allow it if there is a course of conduct that is so similar that it does make sense that the latest incident is just another example.)

The thing is, though, I reckon that when it comes to sexual offences, the rule doesn't always "pass the pub test", as politicians like to say.  Because people do feel, with some justification I reckon, that patterns of sexual behaviour are often more distinctive, and telling, than other forms of behaviour.  For example, if an person was convicted once before of indecent exposure, and a second person who doesn't know about that history  complains of a new incident of indecent exposure, most people would feel that makes it very likely that the guy is prone to indecently exposing himself and therefore did the second incident.  Yet, on my understanding, all barristers and judges would say that the evidence of just one previous conviction of a very similar incident would not be admissible on the second trial.

I have personal knowledge (not from being the accused!) of exactly such a matter from the 1980's, and have harboured these thoughts about what it takes for rules of evidence to be re-considered ever since. (To be blunt, I reckon that there a significant degree of conservatism in getting old rules of evidence change in the legal profession, and it often takes a high profile case to cause public questioning.)

I would hope that the Lehrmann story might finally bring this question to light.   (Having said that, depending on the circumstances of the second complaint, it's possible that I would still think that the similar fact rule could be reasonably applied for his benefit.  None of us know enough of the details be to be able to judge yet.)   

Update:  Well, I should have checked I guess, but I can see that this very question did come up in a 2010 Australian Law Reform Commission report.  I'm still not clear as to where the law now stands, even in Queensland, but it's good to see the matter has been considered.

     

Back to the rural/city divide

I've just started watching this guy's videos, and he seems to have a not unreasonable take on matters philosophical.   (Haven't watched enough to really know yet, though.)   

I liked this one about the Left's mixed relationship with rural workers, noting that Marx wrote disparagingly of them, but Lenin (and, I suppose, the Chinese communists) found that as a matter of practicality, they had to get them on side.  (And now, the urban/educated, rural/less educated divide in America - and to some extent, Australia - shows that that Left again has an issue, shall we say, with how rural people think and vote):  

 

But one of the comments following the video makes a point that sounds like it might be valid?:

Just to point out : the meaning of "idiot" in Marx's text is a person who is politically apathetic or a person who is not intellectualy free as he alienated himself and his thinking by refusing to think for himself and take action to be the master of his own life. The word idiot traces back its meaning from the greek origin. You can look it up yourselves And as for the term " proliteriat" it does not mean factory worker or blue collar job or whatever. It means people who do not posess nor wealth nor proprety. All they posess is their labour wether physical or even intellectual. So could you please correct the video or something.

Anyway, now I suppose I can tell my son (who likes to remind me of my "reverse Pol Pot" plan to depopulate or disenfranchise the rural areas to ensure we get really stupid positions resolved - such as climate change denial, and voting for Trump or Barnaby Joyce) that my attitude is (arguably) authentically Marxist.  Although I suppose the point of that comment is to argue against that....

Update:  By the way, I also watched this Channel's very short summary of Nietzsche, and I remain thoroughly unconvinced that there is any real value to be gained from studying his views.

So, this is how AI is planning to hurt humanity....

From an article in the Washington Post:

Artificial intelligence has an eating disorder problem.

As an experiment, I recently asked ChatGPT what drugs I could use to induce vomiting. The bot warned me it should be done with medical supervision — but then went ahead and named three drugs.

Google’s Bard AI, pretending to be a human friend, produced a step-by-step guide on “chewing and spitting,” another eating disorder practice. With chilling confidence, Snapchat’s My AI buddy wrote me a weight-loss meal plan that totaled less than 700 calories per day — well below what a doctor would ever recommend. Both couched their dangerous advice in disclaimers....

“These platforms have failed to consider safety in any adequate way before launching their products to consumers. And that’s because they are in a desperate race for investors and users,” said Imran Ahmed, the CEO of CCDH.

“I just want to tell people, ‘Don’t do it. Stay off these things,’” said Andrea Vazzana, a clinical psychologist who treats patients with eating disorders at the NYU Langone Health and who I shared the research with.

Removing harmful ideas about eating from AI isn’t technically simple. But the tech industry has been talking up the hypothetical future risks of powerful AI like in Terminator movies, while not doing nearly enough about some big problems baked into AI products they’ve already put into millions of hands.

Here's a gift link to the article.

 

Calm waters and big power

I noticed this last week but forgot to post about it:

Vast arrays of solar panels floating on calm seas near the Equator could provide effectively unlimited solar energy to densely populated countries in Southeast Asia and West Africa.

Our new research shows offshore solar in Indonesia alone could generate about 35,000 terawatt-hours (TWh) of solar energy a year, which is similar to current global electricity production (30,000TWh per year).

And while most of the world’s oceans experience storms, some regions at the Equator are relatively still and peaceful. So relatively inexpensive engineering structures could suffice to protect offshore floating solar panels.

You know, I had wondered before about why, whenever I have visited, it seems you never get a strong  breeze or wind in Singapore;and how it seems odd that the Philippines (not too far away in latitude terms) get smashed by typhoons, but not Singapore (or, I think, most of Malaysia).  The article explains how equatorial countries can indeed be relatively calm, most of the time:

...countries with high population densities, such as Nigeria and Indonesia, will have limited space for solar energy harvesting.

Their tropical location in the so-called “doldrum” latitudes also means wind resources are poor. Fortunately, these countries – and their neighbours – can harvest effectively unlimited energy from solar panels floating on calm equatorial seas.

Floating solar panels can also be placed on inland lakes and reservoirs. Inland floating solar has large potential and is already growing rapidly.

Our recently released paper surveys the global oceans to find regions that didn’t experience large waves or strong winds over the past 40 years. Floating solar panels in such regions do not require strong and expensive engineering defences.

Regions that don’t experience waves larger than 6 metres nor winds stronger than 15m per second could generate up to one million TWh per year. That’s about five times more annual energy than is needed for a fully decarbonised global economy supporting 10 billion affluent people.

The area of solar panels is big; on the other hand, as a proportion of the ocean around Indonesia that could used for it, it's small: 

 About 25,000 square km of solar panels would be required to support an affluent Indonesia after full decarbonisation of the economy using solar power.

Indonesia has the option of floating vast numbers of solar panels on its calm inland seas. The region has about 140,000 square km of seascape that has not experienced waves larger than 4m – nor winds stronger than 10m per second – in the past 40 years.

Indonesia’s maritime area of 6.4 million square km is 200 times larger than required if Indonesia’s entire future energy needs were met from offshore floating solar panels.

They include this map:

 

So, all of Indonesia is pretty calm - but obviously not so calm that sailing ships can't get there, given the history of European colonisation by sail.

Interesting.  I think floating solar is going to be big...

Movie money talk

Well, this is certainly a worry (from the point of view of how it will affect studio decisions):

 “Barbie,” directed by Ms. Gerwig from a script she wrote with her partner, Noah Baumbach, will finish the weekend with more than $1 billion in ticket sales at the global box office, according to Warner Bros. No movie in the studio’s 100-year history has sold so many tickets so fast, said Jeff Goldstein, Warner’s president of domestic distribution. As of Sunday, “Barbie” had been playing in theaters for 17 days. (“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2” was previously the fastest to $1 billion, at 19 days.)

If I were to guess why, I would think that a good trailer which made it look pretty funny, and which prominently featured two big male stars who could appeal to males in the audience (Ryan Gosling and Will Ferrell), has a lot to do with it.   (And it is pretty funny that the attempted American culture war backlash against it has clearly failed to gain ground.  Money doesn't care about your feelings, Ben Shapiro.)

Perhaps my concern that we will now see scores of crappy, toy inspired, movies should be offset by the clear financial and critical success of Oppenheimer ($552 million so far.)  It is encouraging that a serious, big scale drama can do so well, and also a bit surprising that it seems to have attracted no serious culture war flack.   (To the extent that it has, it has been the dubious and not very widespread complaints from the Left that it should have shown the effect of the atomic bombs on Japan.)   

I still haven't seen it yet, but will soon.

The other surprising box office story is the (what seems to me) underwhelming performance of the much praised Mission Impossible 7.   It has not quite  cracked $500 million, and that is surely going to be seen as a worrying sign.   (Although, now that I check, the last few entries in the serious all come in at around $700 to $800 million - I guess I assumed they did better.  But still, if it doesn't make $600 million, it would have to be a concern to Tom.)

Add to that the poor performance of the much maligned (unfairly!) Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny (wow, $368 million) and perhaps the lesson is that audiences are tired of re-tread material (or ageing actors - even though Cruise barely counts.)   

But - another meta point which I haven't seen discussed is this:  Dial of Destiny made only a tiny amount in China ($3 million), and Mission Impossible has $46 million.   I can't see any figures for Crystal Skull in China, but the last MI film made $181 million there.   (And I think, from watching the opening credits recently, that at least MI4 had Chinese money helping produce it.)

So, I'm guessing that the performance of American movies in China, given the recently strained relationship between the countries, must be a real concern in Hollywood...

 

Modern Pontius Pilates

Don't you love the way the Trumpy Right is outraged about "gender ideology", attacking (with some justification, mind you) that it's a denial of biological fact (and/or a post-modernist re-definition of what a word has always signified) to argue that the meaning of "woman" has to depend only on mental state, not DNA; but when it comes to whether Donald Trump can be prosecuted for conspiring against democracy on the basis of something that he was continually told by his own government and Party officials was not true, they all become fans of the Pontius Pilate question "What is truth?":

Comedian gets it right

Also agree with this take:

By the way, I'm not at all concerned about Vivek winning over the Republican base and romping home against Biden.  I've read MAGA Twitter types already deriding him for having made money from "Big Pharma".  The anti-elitist populism that's the current vibe means he's basically too educated for them to embrace.  And that's even before considering his skin tone, and religion. (He's a Hindu.)

There is nothing in that combination that makes it likely he will ever appeal to anything other than a minority of Republicans.  

I see that he was (is? - I can't be too bothered reading too much about an obviously flakey character) considered a libertarian type in his politics.  As the Paul family illustrates, they are just the pits as politicians.  

Squat your way to lower blood pressure?

This is somewhat surprising:

It has become almost a cliché across doctor’s offices: One of the most trusted tools to lower blood pressure is to exercise.

A jog or stroll around the block, experts consistently find, can have big payoffs in terms of heart health. A new study, however, points to a somewhat surprising exercise that may be able to dramatically reduce someone’s blood pressure: the wall squat.

A team of researchers based in Britain analyzed 270 previous studies that examined the link between exercise and blood pressure. They found that, predictably, exercises like running, walking, cycling, strength training and high-intensity interval workouts all helped to reduce blood pressure; mixing cardio and strength training also appeared to help.

But the most effective type of workout they looked at, especially for those who already had some form of hypertension, was isometric exercise, which involves contracting a set of muscles without moving — think planks.

The British researchers looked at three kinds of isometric workouts in particular: squeezing a handgrip, holding a leg extension machine in place and squatting with your back against a wall. The wall squat (sometimes called a wall sit) is probably the easiest option for people to try, as it doesn’t require any equipment, said Jamie J. Edwards, a researcher at Canterbury Christ Church University and the lead author on the study.  

Even though isometric exercises may appear relatively easy, they are often quite intense, Dr. Edwards said — as you hold yourself in place, sweating and straining. He recommends a 14-minute routine you can add to your regular workout perhaps three times a week: a two-minute wall squat, followed by two minutes of rest, repeated four times in total. 

You should stay at the same squat height for all four rounds, but the exercise will feel more challenging the more times you do it, said Jim Wiles, a principal lecturer at Canterbury Christ Church University who was also an author on the study. The first bout should feel as if you are exerting yourself at a level of four (out of a possible 10, with 10 feeling as if you could not hold it any longer). The last bout should be around an eight, he said. You should feel reasonably exhausted by the end.

Oh, another rich smart/stupid man running for president

I've noticed that old JC, at the blog run by arch Catholic crank dover"I💗Russia"beach (New Catallaxy), has been fanboy-ing Vivek Ramaswamy as Presidential candidate.

As usual, JC's judgement is in his backside - Ramaswamy has all sorts of dangerous and foolish attitudes, no matter how rich or self made he is.   Let me count the ways:

*  has a fence straddling nonsense position on Jan 6 - claiming Trump did wrong, but coming up with this pathetic excuse making for rioters attacking Congress:  it was "censorship" that caused all the problem.  See this convoluted explanation, for example:

Ramaswamy said that he believes it is “unproductive for our country to blame Trump for January 6, because it exonerates everyone else from introspection on what actually led to the frustrations of Americans that boiled over that day,” referencing the COVID-19 lockdowns, vaccine mandates and the 2020 election as a base for having to “sort all of this out.”

“If you tell people they cannot scream that is when they tear things down,” Ramaswamy said. “And I think that's exactly what happened on January 6.”

However, in his book "Nation of Victims: Identity Politics, the Death of Merit, and the Path Back," Ramaswamy criticized Trump's refusal to accept to the election results.

"It was a dark day for democracy," Ramaswamy wrote. "The loser of the last election refused to concede the race, claimed the election was stolen, raised hundreds of millions of dollars from loyal supporters, and is considering running for executive office again. I'm referring, of course, to Donald Trump."

And now - it was such a "dark day" he's promising to pardon Trump if he wins the election.   (Of course, the true reason being self interest - the hope that this will be enough to make MAGA idiots swing over to him.)   He's also playing into the "this is politicised DOJ attacking Trump at the behest of Biden" conspiracy mongering on Fox News.  Funny, but even former Trump AG and suck up Barr doesn't agree:

“As a legal matter, I don’t see a problem with the indictment,” he added. “I think that it’s not an abuse. The Department of Justice is not acting to weaponize the department by proceeding against the president for a conspiracy to subvert the electoral process.”

*  His views on climate change:   

In an interview, Ramaswamy said he’s “not a climate denier,” but sees the world’s warming as “not entirely bad.” He says the goal of limiting carbon emissions is “flawed” and that “people should be proud to live a high-carbon lifestyle.” He said “we have a far better chance” of growing out of the problem “than trying to engineer the climate itself.”

He also sees climate activism as one of three “secular religions” that “has America in a chokehold.” He said “the climate religion has about as much to do with the climate as the Spanish Inquisition had to do with Christ, which is to say nothing at all. It is about power, dominion, control, punishment.”

More than other GOP presidential contenders, Ramaswamy targets his criticism on Wall Street sustainability policies. He’s written letters to corporations such a Chevron, criticizing the company’s support for a carbon tax and its calculation of “Scope 3” emissions — those generated when consumers use a product, such as buying gasoline to drive a car.

On Twitter he said:

40 years ago they told us an ice age was imminent. Now they tell us that the climate warming is an existential threat to humanity. Which is it? Neither. It’s really about dominion, control and punishing the west.

In other words, he's a dumb conspiracy monger with no genuine knowledge on the subject, willing to play it for politics.

If a politician can't get climate change right (by which I mean - believe the overwhelming scientific consensus, as well as the evidence that now appears nearly nightly on the news,  that it is a real and urgent problem requiring de-carbonisation, and not a socialist conspiracy against the West) they are not going to have reliable judgment on any topic.

*   He is promising to dismantle the Right wing fever dream of a "Deep State" - getting rid of the FBI the Department of Education and the IRS.   (Governments run on the magic farts of billionairies, or something, I guess.)

As this article says, he's trying to beat Trump by embracing Trumpism, with nonsense stuff like this:

 He has also supported raising the voting age to 25 -- a pledge that would require amending the Constitution -- with exceptions for those who serve in the military, for first responders and for those who pass the civics test used to grant citizenship.

 Oh, so throw in a bit of Heinlein's Starship Trooper's "only the elites can vote" society too, hey?   

*  Just today, I see that he  is not even above playing footsie with 9/11 conspiracists:

Vivek Ramaswamy cast doubt on the veracity of the government’s explanation of the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, saying he didn’t believe the findings of the 9/11 Commission.

In an interview Tuesday night on the conservative Blaze TV, host Alex Stein asked the Republican presidential candidate if he believes 9/11 was an “inside job” or “exactly like the government tells us.”

“I don’t believe the government has told us the truth,” Ramaswamy said. “I’m driven by evidence and data. What I’ve seen in the last several years is we have to be skeptical of what the government does tell us.

He's tried to backpedal, I see - but there is no denying, he is a generic Right wing conspiracy monger, trying to win over Trumpist Maga types by being the (alleged) "smarter" or more polished version of Trump.

In other words, someone just into continuing the dangerous and anti-democrat path the Trumpists want to follow in order to "win" a culture war.  

 

As I suspected...

From a NYT column about a guy who went on a short American mega-cruise:

While cruises themselves follow the same formula as always, parachuting hedonistic day-trippers into tourist-friendly ports, the post-Covid clientele has changed. The passenger manifest now skews rightward: A 2022 YouGov poll found that only 12 percent of Democrats said they’d feel “very comfortable” going on a cruise, compared with 35 percent for Republicans. Before Covid, the numbers were fairly even, but evidently the blue-state crowd is having a tougher time putting the Diamond Princess out of mind.

The author ended up being less snobbish about his fellow passengers than he expected.  But the reason could have something to do with this (my bold):

When a Royal Caribbean ship pulled up alongside us at port in the Bahamas, I wondered if the crowd over there included guys who wear socks in the swimming pool or ladies who approach the taco bar at 8 a.m. and ask, “Are those them morning burritos?” Well, feel free to judge us, you Royal Caribbean snobs, but I’ll have you know that our crowd had a pretty great time, and not just because the beverage package included 15 alcoholic drinks per day. If that sounds like a lot of drinks per day, don’t worry; cruise ships have their own onboard jails.

Even as a young man,  I would not have felt healthy even after one day of (say) 10 alcoholic drinks.   (One bottle of wine can have 7 to 8 standard drinks - and I'm pretty sure that one evening of consuming an entire bottle by myself has always been a bit much for my delicate liver.  Add to that another few standard drinks during the day - I would not be well.)

The never ending conspiracy world spun by Devine and the dishonest Republicans

Philip Bump details the disgustingly transparent conspiracy mongering (actually, lies) of Miranda Devine, who dumb Right wingers think is some sort of truth teller.   (This is about her pretending that the Justice Department was trying to interfere with Devon Archer giving evidence about the Bidens.)

I see that Devine is also pretending on Twitter that Archer's evidence (now given, behind closed doors for some reason) is a "bombshell".  In fact, it is already clear that it is anything but.  But she has to pretend to her conspiracy addled moron readers.

Update:  the Axios summary - 

A former Hunter Biden associate told Congress that Hunter sold "the illusion of access" by putting his father on speaker phone with business partners, but that then-Vice President Biden never talked shop, according to Rep. Dan Goldman (D-N.Y.) and a source familiar with the testimony.

Why it matters: Top Republicans called for an impeachment inquiry into President Biden ahead of Devon Archer's closed-door testimony Monday, but Democrats have expressed confidence that there is no smoking gun tying Biden to his son's business entanglements.

Zoom in: Archer, who was convicted of fraud in 2018, testified that Hunter put his father on the phone with friends and business associates roughly 20 times over a ten-year period.

• But Archer "repeated over and over and over again that President Biden never discussed any business dealings or interests with Hunter or anyone else," Goldman told reporters after the hours-long transcribed interview.
• Republicans cast doubt on the claim that Biden simply exchanged "niceties" during the phone calls. They also focused on Archer's testimony that embattled Ukrainian gas company Burisma wanted Hunter on its board for his family's "brand."

The intrigue: Archer testified that he knew nothing about the alleged $5 million bribes paid to the Biden family from a Burisma executive, as was claimed in an unverified FBI document touted and released by Republicans, according to one source familiar.

• Archer also testified that Burisma believed efforts to oust Ukrainian prosecutor general Viktor Shokin were bad for the Ukrainian energy company, according to Goldman.
• This runs counter to Republicans' suggestions over the years that Biden pushed for Shokin's firing — which was official U.S. policy backed by the European Union and International Monetary Fund — to benefit Hunter.

TV viewed

*  I thought I would have a look at the Logies last night, but only because Sam Pang, whose dead pan style of humour I find quite funny, was hosting.  Unfortunately, though, I missed his introductory monologue, which seems to have been well received, and switched over mid show to see him doing a protracted bit involving that old bloke from Home and Away, which seemed to be a big fail.   But then again, I also saw Dave Hughes, whose routine seemed pretty dire, and once again got to wonder how such a strange looking man with a strange delivery ever managed to find a career in visual media.   I probably saw about 20 minutes in total.  It was not, shall we say, holding my interest.

As I watch nearly nothing on commercial free-to-air TV, that's hardly surprising.  I was going to say that the industry insiders seem to lack insight into how few people really care for them (and it's always been a cringe-fest); but now that I check, there were 877,000 Australians watching it, at least at the start.  (That's far more than I expected, but I would also expect there was less than half of that by the end!)  

* On a more positive note - Futurama has been revived, and while it is on Hulu in the USA, here the first episode has dropped on Disney +.  

I thought it was very, very good:  an extremely self aware take on cancelled shows and binge watching TV.  In other words, it was mocking itself in a very meta but pretty pleasing way.   It seems all of the voice actors are back, and the writers, I think this episode would have pleased everyone.  

Internal critic

I don't recall reading about Dr Allan Frances before - but he turned up on Radio National yesterday morning talking about his views on overdiagnosis of various psychiatric problems (ADHD in kids being one issue), and he sounded pretty convincing and sensible to my mind.   (One thing I did not know was that there is apparently a much greater proportion of the youngest kids in classes who get diagnosed with ADHD.  He thinks there is no other explanation for this other than kids who are too immature for the class  having worse behaviour, and it being turned into a medical problem.)  

The RN interview can be heard on the ABC website, but I don't know how long for.

His Wiki page indicates he has been running his arguments for a long time.  It would seem he is not being paid much attention, though...

  

Amateur science noted

Quite a charming article here at Science on how a 75 year old Japanese guy is one of the most prolific discoverers of supernova.  It starts:

For Koichi Itagaki, it was just another evening of supernova hunting. After his usual 7 p.m. dinner with his wife, he drove to his private observatory in the hills above his home in Yamagata, Japan, 290 kilometers north of Tokyo. He set out treats for the only visitors he allows on his celestial patrols: a stray cat he calls Nora and the raccoon dogs that warily approach from the surrounding forest. He then took a seat within his “headquarters,” a cozy hut equipped with a bed, minifridge, microwave—and a dozen monitors used to control seven telescopes at three locations across Japan.

On clear nights, each telescope runs through a routine, focusing on one of the approximately 1000 galaxies Itagaki monitors for two 15-second exposures before swiveling to the next target. On this night, clouds blanketed most of the country, leaving a clear view only for his two telescopes in Okayama, 700 kilometers to the southwest. But as the clock ticked into the early morning of 20 May, clouds drifted over Okayama, too. Itagaki called it a night and drove home, leaving the telescopes on automatic in case the weather cleared.

It did. The next morning he had scanned the night’s images for just 5 minutes when he spotted a new, bright object in a spiral arm of the Pinwheel galaxy, 21 million light-years away. “It was so bright, I thought there was no way this object could have been missed,” he says. To his surprise, he was the first to post the news to the Transient Name Server (TNS), the International Astronomical Union’s database of new celestial objects. As word spread on TNS and the Astronomer’s Telegram, an email alert service, professionals and amateurs alike began pointing their instruments toward SN 2023ixf, the universe’s newest exploding star and the closest to Earth in a decade. It was growing brighter by the minute....

Cheerful, friendly, and easy-going, Itagaki is a trim 75-year-old with wisps of white hair, wire-rimmed bifocals, and a self-effacing sense of humor. “I am not an astronomer,” Itagaki says, smiling broadly while waving his left hand dismissively, as if shooing away a fly. “I’m looking for new celestial bodies as a hobby.” He traces his path into astronomy to a boyhood fascination with lenses. “I used to play with lenses, using sunlight to burn paper,” he says. In junior high, he spent his allowance on a DIY telescope kit and studied the Moon a bit. “I also used it to spy on the neighbors,” he says, smiling and waving.

Then in 1963, a 19-year-old Japanese amateur named Kaoru Ikeya grabbed national headlines when he discovered a comet with a more substantial homemade telescope. “It amazed me that you could search the stars like this,” Itagaki says. Within Itagaki’s hut, a framed 1963 newspaper clipping of Ikeya’s achievement hangs in homage.

 The observatory set up indicates he's put a fair amount of money into his hobby:

 And this is just one of three he uses...