Tuesday, November 01, 2022

We're dealing with idiots (part 10,000)

The conspiracy addled brain, once having decided it has spotted a conspiracy, will cling to "there must be a conspiracy of some kind here" regardless of evidence.

Hence, despite the publication of interview admissions by the assailant himself, Right wing conspiracy stupified people are insisting there must be more to the Paul Pelosi attack.  Here's the dumb as a rock Gateway Pundit:

Update: The Department of Justice on Monday announced two federal criminal charges against David DePape.

“DePape was charged with attempted kidnapping, and with retaliating against a federal official by threatening or injuring a family member.” CNBC reported.

The US government will now control and hide the evidence – and shape the national media narrative.

As to any inconsistencies or changes to the initial reports about the incident - what moron could have missed that this is exactly what happened in the recent Uvalde shooting case, to a spectacular degree.  Initial stories often aren't 100% clear, with both journalists and police not always being accurate.    Hence, someone made up (then retracted) that the assailant was in his underwear - and millions of conspiracy addled Trumpists will never believe otherwise, as well as the ludicrous elaboration that all stem from that piece of misinformation.   

 

 

 

Monday, October 31, 2022

Ezra Klein decides to "both sides"?

So Ezra Klein, who I thought was reliably liberal, has a column in the NYT headed "Do the Democrats deserve re-election?".  His conclusion - 

What can be said, I think, is this: Biden and the Democrats got a lot done, despite very slim majorities. They rolled out vaccines and therapeutics nationwide but we remain far from finishing the job on pandemic preparedness. They have run the government in a dignified, decent way, but we remain far from turning the page on Trump.
I am completely on side with this comment that follows (and I am surprised that there are not more who are upset at the framing):

Paul
Phoenix, AZ2h ago

Notice the harm done to the country by op-eds like this one.

It is bad enough the mainstream media has made pro-democracy/anti democracy int just another political horse race issue like taxes or crime or climate change, but now they are asking if the pro democracy party deserves to even be re-elected.


Arguing over granular issues like the prioritizing of BBB components  while the Speaker's husband is getting his head bashed in by a Trump motivated supporter (his mental status is a non factor, as is Trump's, it seems), as well as stating openly they will not accept any result of the 2022 elections that does not make them the winner, shows how completely out of touch the media has become in its now out of control false equivalences.

Update:  many on Twitter get it:



Well, a sliver of good news

Brazil’s electoral authority has called the runoff for leftist Lula da Silva, which means he has won presidential election, defeating far-right incumbent Bolsonaro.
Far closer than it should have been, though.

Waiting for the Twitter alternative to arise

With Musk's disgraceful "I'm just asking questions" style of promoting Right wing conspiracy (you can read all about it at the WAPO - gift link), I'm sure that, more than ever, most of the people I follow on it would be happy to abandon Twitter so as to watch it become a valueless conspiracy sewer like the other failed social media outlets. 

Update:   Elon really is trying to seal the failure of Twitter in record time -

So, trying to joke his way out of the seriousness of promoting conspiracy mongering from a junk Right wing site by encouraging the Trumpian Right wing that the MSM is full of fake news and can't be trusted.    That'll work.

 

Sunday, October 30, 2022

What a bad news day

I know that bad news is often a case of out of sight, out of mind, so that you can get some tragedy in some distant country that doesn't register;  but it seems this morning was just full of one bad news story after another.   The (apparently spontaneous) party crowd crush fatalities in Korea; Putin being a jerk who prioritises winning his culture/land war over people getting fed; Iran promising violence against its citizens; car bombing of the education ministry in Somalia.  Not to mention the worry about the state of the USA after mid term elections.  (Although I am holding out slight hope that the very high early vote in some areas might be heavily Democrat - it usually is, isn't it?)

We need some good news....

Friday, October 28, 2022

A small - no, major - life hack

I'm pretty sure we bought this tiny, one egg size frying pan on a bit of a whim when my daughter was young and thought it cute when she saw it in a kitchen shop:


But...I love it and use it at least three times a week, usually to get an egg cooked for a lunch sandwich quickly and easily and with the quickest clean up possible.  It's used on the smallest burner, too, so is very gas efficient.  

It's my "life hack of the decade" and it's utility should be on the high school curriculum.  

Now: Back to watching how Musk is going to destroy Twitter.
 
PS:  yes, I know the stove needs cleaning.  I could try to clean the metal handle of the fry pan too, I suppose.   But it is probably 10 years old, I reckon.

Another victim of Right wing conspiracy has to sue to get justice

That's the problem with America - there is too much reliance on litigation as being the only way for victims of conspiracy mongering to get any justice, and that takes years to get through the courts.

Read this article - I have gifted the link - about a guy who is suing Dinesh D'Souza for maligning him in 2000 Mules.    

Of course it is too late to change the minds of millions of Trumpists - and this way that disinformation and lies operates is something that evidently is of little concern to the likes of Elon Musk.

Thursday, October 27, 2022

Culture warriors are ranting

Well, that Brittany Higgins aborted trial is a spectacular example of the problems with jury trials.   But man, is it causing the angry old reactionary ants of the post-Catallaxy blogs to be very, very upset.  (They hate Brittany, and think this is a the biggest injustice since George Pell was convicted - although I still strongly suspect that he and his barrister made a bad, bad decision in not giving evidence in defence.  Also: no one ended up nude in an office the next morning in his case, making the circumstances of this allegation significantly different.)

I find it very easy to not be emotionally invested in cases like this, as having a good feeling for why a jury is inclined to decide one way or another (or can't decide) is very hard to do without being an observer in the court.  This cautionary concept seems completely novel to many people - and true, this can apply to Lefties as well as to mad angry Rightwingers. 

We do seem to be at some sort of peak of hyperbolic culture warring at the moment.   Well, I hope it's a peak.

To be fair, an example of this on the Left is to be found by those on Twitter who have gone berserk that the media is not spending all day calling the beating death of a 15 year old aboriginal boy in Perth at the hands of a white guy a racist lynching.   Many seem to think the story hasn't been reported at all.  

Unlike cases in America of the "white guy shoots random black guy thinking he's the one who broke into the neighbour's house" type, the arrest here was swift and the trial will likely be on pretty soon too.  A lengthy sentence is assured.

It is a shocking case, but seems to me to be of a kind that's pretty rare, too.   Calm down people.

 

        

 

Idle UFO thoughts

While I suppose I would generally lean more towards the "experimental secret - probably defence - technology" than "alien surveillance craft" explanation for the current UFO increase, there is at least one aspect of that which gives me major reservations.

 That is, if the "craft" are executing extraordinary physics in what they do - like turning on a dime, or pretty much instantaneous acceleration - it would indicate that the technology involved is truly revolutionary, and probably involving "new" physics not taught in text books.  

But - wouldn't such new physics be of massive relevance to electricity production?   And if so, given the obvious need for a global turn to clean energy in a very short space of time, why would you keep such physics hidden from the broader research community which could be looking at using it for something more useful than a small craft that can do surprising tight turns in the sky?     

There is also the matter of how well you can really expect secret programs to remain secret.   Big, mysterious triangle craft moving through the night skies (or being seen from an oil rig!) have been around for a good few decades now, and it seems we still have no confirmation that there is a secret hypersonic aircraft - or more dramatically, one that can move slowly and silently.   There surely are secret government craft, but how do they manage to keep them officially undisclosed for so long?   And really, why keep them secret for so long?  I mean, the cutting edge aircraft of the 1960's don't seem to have been kept hidden for so long.

So, yeah, it's all pretty puzzling.  It might all turn out to be relatively mundane stuff - but why the secrecy?  Cue X Files music...

Interesting UFO stuff is going on

Seems to me that the highly worrying state of world politics is causing significant distraction from interesting UFO news.   Yeah, I know:  the media is reporting how NASA is now investigating*, etc, but there are a few stories of pretty recent, intriguing, pilot sightings (over the Pacific Ocean, mainly) which I think would normally attract more attention.   They don't sound easily explained either, as Starlink or other rocket launches.

Here's a very short video about it:

 

The guy who makes an appearance in that report does longer videos about it, but I can't find his channel right now.

The Warzone website contains lots of interesting stuff from FAA records about unidentified aircraft, and drones, around the USA, too.  See this post, for one.   Or just search "unidentified aircraft" or "UFO" in their search bar.  (Of course, the massive market in private drone ownership would be behind much of the recent upsurge in UFO "sightings" - but there is something bigger going on, it seems.)

Update:  Oh, I see now that I search his name that the guy who did a long video that I can't find on the pilot sightings is a "paranormal researcher" who has made whole TV series about it, and claims his own sightings too.   I have to downgrade his credibility.  But still, recordings from pilots puzzling over what they are seeing are strong evidence.

*  The people chosen seem to not come with any "baggage" as to prior speculative claims about UFOs, as far as I can tell.

Wednesday, October 26, 2022

Today I learned...

...that Petra has a sister "city" in the middle of the desert in Saudi Arabia, that has only recently opened to tourists.  It includes eye catching structures like these:



 

The place is called Hegra, and here's an article in the Smithsonian magazine (from which I nabbed most of the photos) about it. 

PS:  Looks very much like what you would expect ancient civilisation ruins on Mars to look like, no?

Extraordinary that there are voters who like this character

This has been circulated on Twitter a lot recently, and it almost looks like a parody of The Entitled Upper Class Twit who Was Born to Rule from Monty Python.  But it's real!

The harm conspiracy and lies cause

It just continues to gobsmack me that key figures in Republican leadership (and ordinary party members who would prefer Trump to go) are silent on the massive personal harm and harassment that comes from the lies and conspiracy spread by Trump, his followers, and the pandering Right wing media.  It's just such extraordinarily immoral and cowardly behaviour - and to be honest, it's cowardly of journalists to not confront the leadership about this at every opportunity.

Just watch the 60 Minutes report:

Tuesday, October 25, 2022

The Qanon of the 1790's

Gee, one of the (increasingly rare) good reads from Slate - an account of the American conspiracy belief in the Illuminati - and how remarkably similar it is to modern conspiracy belief.  

Morse unspooled a bizarre conspiracy theory alleging that a shadowy cabal of villains called the “Illuminati,” an offshoot of the Freemasons, were aiming to destroy everything that Americans held dear. This group of philosopher zealots, according to Morse, had “secretly extended its branches through a great part of Europe, and even into America.” Their goal was to abolish Christianity, private property, and nearly every foundation of good order around the world. According to Morse, they opposed marriage, encouraged people to explore all kinds of “sensual pleasures,” and proposed a “promiscuous intercourse among the sexes.” Just a few masks short of a Stanley Kubrick film, Morse’s story of the Illuminati played upon the darkest nightmares of the nation’s many devout Christians.

Morse told his congregation that the Illuminati hoped to infect the people of America through a kind of cultural warfare. They were spreading their doctrines by worming their way in among “reading and debating societies, the reviewers, journalists or editors of newspapers and other periodical publications, the booksellers and post-masters” and infiltrating all “literary, civil and religious institutions.” The most prominent Illuminatus named by Morse was Thomas Paine, whose radical pamphlet The Age of Reason (published in installments in 1794, 1795, and 1807) had caused a political stir in the United States.

If the Illuminati were beginning to corrupt the United States, according to Morse, they had gone much further already in Europe. The evil society’s greatest triumph to date, Morse wrote, was its recent work to hatch the French Revolution and disguise it as a mild, moderate event following the model of the American Revolution. With France’s increasing radicalism, anticlericalism, and disorder, it seemed obvious to Morse that the French Jacobins, the political faction that seized control of the nation in 1792, were simply Illuminati by another name.

Morse got most of this story from a book written by a Scottish academic named John Robison, who in turn took many of his ideas from the abbé de Barruel, a French priest. Robison’s book provided rich source material for Morse’s imagination. It was full of dramatic details, such as an account of the Illuminati possessing “tea for procuring abortion” as well as a mysterious “composition which blinds or kills when spurted in the face.” The Illuminati, according to Robison, defended suicide and discouraged patriotism and property owning. Claiming to worship human reason above all else, they practiced a blinkered ethics in which the means always justified the ends, as long as those ends were the growing power of the organization.

That is extraordinarily similar to the types of conspiracy mongering the modern American Right (and their nutty Australian acolytes) believe now.   Indeed, towards the end of the article it notes:

The names and characters change over time, but the basic template has remained remarkably durable over the centuries: A small, yet nearly omnipotent, group of amoral globalist elites secretly directs world events. This paranoid vision has persevered in large part because it helps their believers to make sense of a rapidly changing world. The faceless structural forces remaking our present—such as globalization, accelerating inequality, deindustrialization, racial justice movements, and cultural fragmentation—require explanation.   

 The article explains, by the way, that the reason the Illuminati conspiracy took off so well was that it was seen as an explanation as to why the French Revolution had gone off the rails.   

But it just seems a significant chunk of Americans have always, for odd reason, been especially prone to paranoid conspiracy beliefs.

Quantum interpretations - and Sabina finally considers Cramer

This week's Youtube from Sabine Hossenfelder finally deals with a quantum interpretation that has has always appealed to me, but attracted little attention - John Cramer's transaction interpretation.   (You can search his name in my sidebar search and find past posts about it).

 

One thing I'm not sure about, though:  Sabine's attitude to it seems to be "well, no harm in imagining that this is what happens, if that makes you happy, but I'm just sticking to the simpler Copenhagen interpretation."  I thought the problem with the Copenhagen interpretation was it was more like a refusal to speculate on what is "really" happening with the wave function.  In that sense, Cramer's idea seems to at least offer something to fill in a gap.

One other thing I have been meaning to note.  I didn't realise until she did a video on it that the "quantum eraser" experiments were the subject of debate as to what they really show.  Sabine's debunking video seemed pretty convincing that they were not showing retrocausation in any sense.

However, while browsing arXiv last week, I noticed a paper that proposed a different version of the experiment which raises more of a "mystery" than the former versions:

Considering the delayed-choice quantum eraser using a Mach-Zehnder interferometer with a nonsymmetric beam splitter, we explicitly demonstrate that it shares exactly the same formal structure with the EPR-Bohm experiment. Therefore, the effect of quantum erasure can be understood in terms of the standard EPR correlation. Nevertheless, the quantum eraser still raises a conceptual issue beyond the standard EPR paradox, if counterfactual reasoning is taken into account. Furthermore, the quantum eraser experiments can be classified into two major categories: the entanglement quantum eraser and the Scully-Drühl-type quantum eraser. These two types are formally equivalent to each other, but conceptually the latter presents a "mystery" more prominent than the former. In the Scully-Drühl-type quantum eraser, the statement that the which-way information can be influenced by the delayed-choice measurement is not purely a consequence of counterfactual reasoning but bears some factual significance. Accordingly, it makes good sense to say that the "record" of the which-way information is "erased" if the potentiality to yield a conclusive outcome that discriminates the record is eliminated by the delayed-choice measurement. We also reconsider the quantum eraser in the many-worlds interpretation (MWI), making clear the conceptual merits and demerits of the MWI.
The author acknowledges the debate over the correct interpretation of the previous experiment:

Ever since the idea of quantum erasure was proposed, its interpretation and implication have been a subject of fierce controversy that continues to today [6–13] with divided opinions ranging from “a magnificat affront to our conventional notions of space and time” [14] to “an experiment that has caused no end of confusion” [15]. Particularly, by analogy to the the EPR–Bohm experiment [16, 17], Kastner argued that the quantum eraser neither erases nor delays any information, and does not present any mystery beyond the standard EPR correlation [12]. Later on, by considering a Mach-Zehnder interferometer, which conveys the core idea of the quantum eraser more elegantly than a double-slit experiment, Qureshi further elaborated on the analogy between the quantum eraser and the EPR-Bohm experiment and claimed that there is no retrocausal effect whatsoever [13].

 So, I take it from this that Sabine H is correct that you don't have to interpret it as retrocausation, but I would like her to comment on the different set up which this author claims does re-introduce "mystery".